Seeking Bird Perspectives | Revenue & Trends

The hottest Substack posts of Seeking Bird Perspectives

And their main takeaways

The bird perspective means looking at things from a higher viewpoint to understand the bigger picture. It helps you see how your situation fits into a larger context.
The outside view uses past experiences and similar cases to predict outcomes, but it can miss important details about your specific situation. It's important to find a balance between general predictions and unique factors.
Using these perspectives can help reduce biases in decision-making. They inspire clearer thinking, but they shouldn't be used as the only way to argue or win a debate.

Mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority
Understanding the danger from strong AI involves separating capability from motivation
Avoid anthropomorphism traps when assessing the danger from strong AI

Social media has played a significant role in increased polarization and dysfunction.
Social media has made it more difficult for people to change their minds as their opinions are publicly archived.
The lack of a 'track of reason' may be leading to unending conflict and challenges in societal progress.

Bad mental models can be harmful and lead to mistaken beliefs.
Examples like the pie fallacy and the CICO fallacy show how misconceptions can have real-world consequences.
It's important to critically assess common mental models to avoid harmful effects on society.

Scientific studies may produce false results due to various factors like subconscious cues and allegiances of researchers.
A body of scientific evidence can be built on air due to career incentives, making it seem valid even if it's false.
Differentiating between high-quality and low-quality scientific evidence is crucial, as quantity does not always indicate validity.

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American politics can be decomposed into three main modes: wokeness, charisma, and Trump.
Wokeness can lead to an advantage for the Republican party in elections.
Charisma and Trump's unique character are important factors in American politics.

Stick to clean and simple rules for poker, like best hand wins.
No-limit games are better for poker than pot-limit or fixed-limit rules.
A good poker format should have multiple betting rounds and allow for strategic gameplay.

Many people don't see things from a different viewpoint, or 'bird perspective', so don't assume they do. It's important to remember that others might be focused on their own views, which can be very narrow.
Religious beliefs and opinions on science can often be influenced by personal feelings rather than objective reasoning. These beliefs can sometimes act more like games people play than actual factual beliefs.
In ethics, trying to think universally can be tricky, as everyone has their own personal experiences that shape their views. It’s a challenge to find common ground while managing our unique viewpoints.

The book 'The Mathematics of Poker' emphasizes thinking about poker more than just providing practical formulas.
It delves into the mathematical aspects of poker and how it can be a game of decision-making under uncertainty.
Positional advantage and strategic bluffing are highlighted as key concepts in understanding the game.