The hottest Diplomacy Substack posts right now

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The Octavian Report 0 implied HN points 23 Dec 25
  1. The Kurds proved to be reliable partners in the fight against ISIS and deserve recognition and concrete support, yet Western governments have often prioritized ties with Turkey, Iran, and Iraq over Kurdish rights.
  2. Iraqi Kurdistan functions more effectively than the Iraqi state and has a credible claim to statehood, but geopolitical barriers and security issues prevent full international recognition, so continued institution-building and advocacy are needed.
  3. Turkey's assaults on Kurdish communities expose contradictions in alliances like NATO and underline a wider problem: liberal democracy is fragile and must be defended by strengthening institutions, public knowledge, and direct ties (cultural, academic, and economic) with the Kurds.
The Octavian Report 0 implied HN points 23 Dec 25
  1. Unpredictable, contradictory policy decisions have eroded U.S. credibility, making allies doubt commitments and giving adversaries room to exploit American inconsistency.
  2. A small, sustained U.S. presence in northeast Syria and Iraq helps prevent the return of ISIS and protects local partners, but withdrawing forces without a clear, resourced strategy risks instability and undoing hard-won gains.
  3. Long-term competition with China and managing threats like Iran require stronger alliances and more investment in diplomacy; cutting diplomatic resources and acting unilaterally weakens U.S. power.
Pekingnology 0 implied HN points 17 Dec 25
  1. Taiwan’s recent elections and shifting domestic politics have created a more pluralistic legislature and opposition leaders who favor dialogue and closer ties, opening space for cross‑strait engagement.
  2. International attention seems to be cooling as major powers avoid making Taiwan a central issue and scale back high‑profile support that could escalate tensions.
  3. Beijing is promoting peaceful reunification through practical integration measures like easier travel, economic and social links, and says external interference is the main obstacle.
The Weekly Dish 0 implied HN points 27 Feb 26
  1. Israel might choose to launch another war against Iran, framing it as a "war of choice" rather than a defensive necessity.
  2. Such a attack would be a last-ditch, desperate move that reflects a country increasingly isolated as it loses American support.
  3. Pursuing that path would be a high-stakes gamble with major regional and global consequences.