Phillipsβs Newsletter β’ 240 implied HN points β’ 20 Mar 26
- The US lacks the capability, skills, and strategic mindset to effectively oppose China in the Western Pacific and would struggle to defend Taiwan or Japan for any sustained period.
- Much of America's decline is self-inflicted: poor strategic choices, weakened institutions, and degraded military thinking have eroded its ability to wage effective campaigns.
- Changes in military technology and China's much greater capacity to generate and sustain forces give China a long-term advantage, so even if the US wins early battles, China is likelier to prevail over time.