The Honest Broker Newsletter • 2070 implied HN points • 22 Nov 25
- Saying the Paris Agreement alone caused a big drop in projected warming is misleading; the apparent improvement mostly reflects earlier scenarios that over‑predicted coal use and were therefore wrong, not clear policy-driven emissions cuts.
- Actual data show no acceleration in global decarbonization since Paris: emissions per unit of GDP have fallen at about 2% per year, far below the roughly 8% per year sustained cuts needed for deep decarbonization and never achieved by any country.
- We need honest, evidence‑based policymaking — stronger and effective measures to speed real decarbonization are required, while also protecting energy access, supply reliability, and affordability, instead of celebrating questionable success stories.