The hottest Regional Security Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top World Politics Topics
Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 1929 implied HN points • 06 Mar 26
  1. The US has begun bombing Iran and claims fast success, while Iran has retaliated across the region but with a largely ineffective showing.
  2. Trump is loudly taking personal credit for the strikes and even talks about influencing who replaces Iranian leaders, treating the conflict like a personal victory lap.
  3. The war is reshaping American politics: some GOP figures are being sidelined into symbolic 'war room' roles while older leaders keep control, leaving parts of the Republican right politically damaged.
Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 843 implied HN points • 03 Mar 26
  1. A single cross-border attack on October 7 set off a 28-month war that drew in at least 18 countries and cost tens of thousands of lives.
  2. The conflict expanded largely because of miscalculations by multiple actors, turning a brief, localized assault into a sprawling, unpredictable war.
  3. By the later stages, regional power shifted: Israel emerged as the dominant military force while Iran was weakened and many leaders who started or supported the fighting were killed.
Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 370 implied HN points • 08 Mar 26
  1. Kurdish party leaders say they have no interest in operating outside the Kurdish region and are not planning a march on Tehran.
  2. U.S. officials have discussed supporting Iranian Kurdish fighters, but there’s no concrete agreement or deployment yet and the idea remains hypothetical.
  3. Groups like Komala and the KDPI have bases in Iraqi Kurdistan near Iran’s border, yet their forces have not crossed into Iran to start an uprising.
Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 153 implied HN points • 01 Mar 26
  1. Previous rounds of tit‑for‑tat strikes were carefully choreographed to avoid killing Americans, often causing little damage or no casualties.
  2. After U.S. and Israeli strikes that killed Iran’s supreme leader and other senior figures, Iran launched wide retaliatory attacks using ballistic missiles and drones across the region.
  3. Unlike earlier exchanges, the regime now appears to be risking a major escalation and is effectively betting on causing American casualties to press its advantage.
Phillips’s Newsletter • 143 implied HN points • 05 Mar 26
  1. Airpower strategy is basically about targeting — by seeing what a state attacks you can infer its strategic aims.
  2. Airpower expands the battlefield across air, sea and space, letting strikes reach far from front lines and cause wide-ranging effects.
  3. Iran seems to emphasize indirect, diversionary air attacks (like drones and long-range strikes) to force opponents to waste resources on defense and repairs rather than only destroying specific targets.
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God's Spies by Thomas Neuburger • 60 implied HN points • 28 Feb 26
  1. The U.S. and Israel have entered a wide-scale Middle East war, with missile strikes and attacks reported across the Gulf and on multiple bases and countries.
  2. Israel appears to have pushed U.S. leadership into attacking Iran, with the U.S. strike reportedly planned months in advance and the attack date set weeks beforehand.
  3. Iran has retaliated and warned it has far stronger weapons to follow, and reported targeting of the Ayatollah and IRGC leaders raises the risk that hardliners could take control and dramatically escalate the conflict.
I Might Be Wrong • 7 implied HN points • 05 Mar 26
  1. Toppling Iran could be worth it only if it’s replaced by a genuinely better government; a limited outcome like a weapons deal wouldn’t justify the destruction and death.
  2. The outcome of war is highly unpredictable — removing leaders might bring hopeful change, chaotic collapse, or an even worse, competent authoritarian replacement.
  3. Any postwar government linked to the U.S. or Israel will face a huge legitimacy problem and likely be rejected at home, and history shows foreign‑backed regime changes often fail.
Diane Francis • 919 implied HN points • 15 Sep 22
  1. China has distanced itself from Russia, especially after Putin's struggles in Ukraine. Xi Jinping assured Kazakhstan of support against potential Russian threats, showing he won't back Putin's aggressive moves.
  2. While China signed a partnership with Russia, it has not openly supported the war in Ukraine. Instead, China wants to keep good relations with Europe and the U.S., which means they won't provide military aid to Russia.
  3. Many Central Asian countries are growing closer to China while pulling away from Russia. As Russia's situation worsens, Beijing may look to expand its influence in regions previously dominated by Moscow.
The Cosmopolitan Globalist • 3 implied HN points • 09 Jan 26
  1. The group's upcoming session will focus on recent events in Venezuela and may also cover Iran and other major global developments.
  2. Anyone is welcome to join a Zoom discussion on Sunday at 4:30 pm Paris time, and the group stresses that it's friendly and open to interested subscribers.
  3. Readers are invited to continue reading this post for free, with a paid subscription offered for additional content.
Pekingnology • 0 implied HN points • 17 Dec 25
  1. Taiwan’s recent elections and shifting domestic politics have created a more pluralistic legislature and opposition leaders who favor dialogue and closer ties, opening space for cross‑strait engagement.
  2. International attention seems to be cooling as major powers avoid making Taiwan a central issue and scale back high‑profile support that could escalate tensions.
  3. Beijing is promoting peaceful reunification through practical integration measures like easier travel, economic and social links, and says external interference is the main obstacle.