Obvious Bicycle • 328 implied HN points • 15 Mar 26
- One Battle After Another is the predicted Best Picture winner despite Sinners’ record nominations and recent wins, while Marty Supreme is widely regarded by many as the best film but is unlikely to take the top prize.
- Best Actor looks like the night’s wild card — Timothée Chalamet and Michael B. Jordan are the main frontrunners and a DiCaprio upset is possible, with Chalamet slightly favored in most predictions.
- Technical and craft awards are expected to be split mainly between Sinners and One Battle After Another, with Marty Supreme strong in editing and score, and there’s a broader sense that the Academy is playing it safe by concentrating nominations and wins among a small group of films.