The hottest Ratings Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top U.S. Politics Topics
Silver Bulletin 86 implied HN points 15 Mar 26
  1. Final regular-season COOPER power ratings have been published for all 363 Division I women's basketball teams, tracking each team’s highs and lows over the year.
  2. COOPER is a new Elo/Bayesian-style rating system that blends wins, margin of victory, tempo, preseason polls, and conference strength, and it weights recent, close, conference, and tournament games more heavily with some customization for the women’s game.
  3. Paid subscribers get the full dataset and extras — offensive/defensive ratings, strength of schedule and home-court factors, an objective-only version, historical season-end ratings back to 2002–03, a spreadsheet to convert ratings into win probabilities, and NCAA tournament forecasts coming after the brackets.
Silver Bulletin 26 implied HN points 10 Mar 26
  1. COOPER is a new Bayesian college basketball rating system that combines margin-of-victory, opponent strength, pace, and preseason expert polls to produce offensive/defensive (PPPG/PPAG) and Elo-based ratings.
  2. The model changes include separate offensive and defensive ratings, removal of the rule that winners must always gain points, game impact factors that weight close and high-stakes games more, and a time-varying k-factor that updates ratings more aggressively early in the season.
  3. Tournament forecasts combine COOPER with Pomeroy/Her Hoop Stats (COOPER gets 5/8 weight), run conditional (“hot”) simulations that update ratings as simulated games occur, and explicitly model injuries probabilistically to adjust win probabilities.
Zwischenzug 314 implied HN points 29 Apr 23
  1. At lower levels, expect to face 1. e4 often and focus more on Black opening preparation.
  2. In mid ratings, the London system is common, so be prepared for it.
  3. As you climb the rating ladder, face a variety of moves, so focus on preparing for the most common ones at your level.
Huddle Up 11 implied HN points 27 Dec 24
  1. The NBA has traditionally been the main sports attraction on Christmas Day. It has built a strong audience over the years for their holiday games.
  2. The NFL is gaining popularity and has started to compete with the NBA for viewership on Christmas. This shows that preferences in sports are shifting.
  3. Netflix is also becoming a competitor for viewers on Christmas, highlighting how streaming services are changing how people spend their holiday time.
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Gideon's Substack 3 HN points 20 Feb 24
  1. Presidential rankings can be subjective and change over time based on historical perspectives and societal values.
  2. Greatness in a president can be defined by their impact, leadership style, and ability to navigate complex political landscapes.
  3. Moderates may provide a more objective evaluation of presidents due to potentially weaker ideological filters.
Musings on Markets 0 implied HN points 06 Aug 11
  1. A ratings downgrade doesn't bring new information; it's usually something people already knew. Instead of panicking, it's best to recognize the downgrade as confirmation of existing issues.
  2. Ratings agencies measure risk but don’t provide real solutions. It's important to remember they are not decision-makers, and relying on them could hurt long-term planning.
  3. The downgrade can actually offer a chance to focus on better decision-making. Instead of being fixated on maintaining ratings, leaders can prioritize effective policies that improve the economy.