The hottest Finance Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Top Finance Topics
Doomberg β€’ 5270 implied HN points β€’ 17 Mar 24
  1. In the stock market, rapid swings in market value can be astonishing, such as Nvidia's $270 billion intraday swing – highlighting the unpredictable nature of markets.
  2. Rampant speculation in assets like Bitcoin can be a sign of impending currency devaluation, drawing parallels to historical financial crises like the Weimar Hyperinflation.
  3. Michael Saylor's aggressive strategy of leveraging debt to buy Bitcoin with MicroStrategy serves as a unique case study of riding high in the volatile crypto market, showcasing the power of 'pumpamentals.'
Doomberg β€’ 7754 implied HN points β€’ 20 Feb 24
  1. The human need for energy continues to grow despite various historical crises and catastrophes.
  2. Energy is not just an input into the economy but is actually the foundation of the economy itself.
  3. The idea of peak cheap oil being a crisis is challenged, with the belief that humanity would adapt swiftly to any temporary constraints in energy availability.
Noahpinion β€’ 8647 implied HN points β€’ 03 Feb 24
  1. The U.S. economy is showing strong signs of a soft landing with low unemployment, surging job numbers, high employment rates, and accelerating wages.
  2. Inflation has fallen back to the 2% target, providing a remarkable macroeconomic achievement.
  3. Despite the strong economy, there is speculation that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates soon due to reasons like accelerating productivity growth.
Doomberg β€’ 5751 implied HN points β€’ 25 Feb 24
  1. Modern economic systems struggle to account for environmental costs, leading to government interventions and frustrations among capitalists and landowners.
  2. The global focus on carbon emissions has led to the rise of carbon counting professionals, but many argue their value is limited.
  3. A proposal to create Natural Asset Companies (NACs) faced controversy when seeking to put a market price on nature, highlighting potential unintended consequences and opposition.
Get a weekly roundup of the best Substack posts, by hacker news affinity:
Doomberg β€’ 7086 implied HN points β€’ 07 Feb 24
  1. Analysts focus on continuous learning and understanding, while advocates tend to rationalize or attack inconvenient facts.
  2. Economies heavily reliant on energy resources like Russia may evade recession despite sanctions due to their unique market dynamics.
  3. US economy's short-term resilience and avoidance of recession can be attributed to various energy-related factors, such as LNG export approvals.
Doomberg β€’ 8751 implied HN points β€’ 13 Jan 24
  1. 2024 may be a significant year for gold investors, due to potential moves by the Group of Seven countries.
  2. There are discussions about seizing Russian assets worth billions, which could impact the global financial system.
  3. The decisions made by the G7 regarding these assets could influence gold prices and highlight its role in the financial system.
Quant Trading Rules β€’ 79 implied HN points β€’ 02 Jun 24
  1. Peter Thiel emphasizes the importance of future cash flows in valuing technology companies, projecting significant value from profits generated well into the future.
  2. Interest rates, linked to Treasury bond yields, affect stock valuations by altering discount rates for future cash flows, particularly impacting tech stocks with high growth expectations.
  3. Implementing trading strategies based on spreads and RSI signals between tech stocks (like QQQ) and Treasury bonds (like TLT) can show variations in returns, with opportunities for leveraging and rule adjustments to potentially improve performance.
Where's Your Ed At β€’ 10237 implied HN points β€’ 01 Nov 23
  1. Gemini's
  2. Earn
  3. program misled customers into investing in risky lender Genesis Capital.
  4. The NY Attorney General filed a significant fraud suit against Gemini, Genesis, and Digital Currency Group for misleading customers and covering up losses.
  5. The Winklevoss twins actively deceived customers, putting billions of dollars into an unstable lender and reaping profits while customers faced losses.
Irrational Analysis β€’ 159 implied HN points β€’ 23 May 24
  1. Irrational Analysis is heavily invested in the semiconductor industry, giving insights into the comical undervaluation of NASDAQ:ARM.
  2. Nvidia's massive demand for GB200 and Grace CPUs could have significant implications for ARM (LTD)'s value and future performance.
  3. Nvidia Grace CPUs might exceed sell-side expectations, potentially propelling ARM (LTD) value beyond current projections.
Japan Economy Watch β€’ 199 implied HN points β€’ 16 May 24
  1. Japanese GDP has experienced zero growth in the past six years, with household consumption and business investment showing no positive change.
  2. Government spending hikes have prevented a worse decline in GDP, increasing by 8% from 2018.
  3. Despite a significant depreciation of the yen, exports have only increased by 4% over six years, indicating modest growth.
PETITION β€’ 2456 implied HN points β€’ 28 Jan 24
  1. The post discusses underperforming retailers like The Container Store Inc. ($TCS) specializing in storage solutions.
  2. The Container Store Inc. is known for its premium pricing compared to competitors for products like coat hangers and laundry baskets.
  3. The company's history involves acquisitions by PE firm Leonard Green and Partners LP and an IPO in 2013.
PETITION β€’ 1906 implied HN points β€’ 11 Feb 24
  1. Bankruptcy activity for big names like New York Community Bancorp Inc., Spirit Airlines Inc., and others remains low despite speculation.
  2. The amount of high yield bonds trading distressed has significantly decreased since the start of 2024.
  3. Distressed exchange activity has become a popular alternative to Chapter 11 filings, with experts predicting even busier times ahead for 2024.
Quant Trading Rules β€’ 79 implied HN points β€’ 26 May 24
  1. The Turnaround Tuesdays trading strategy is based on stocks rebounding on Tuesdays after a down Monday, with simple entry and exit rules tested over 31 years.
  2. Expanding the strategy to include Tuesdays and Wednesdays improved results, increasing annual returns and win rates while maintaining high simplicity.
  3. Utilizing leverage by applying the strategy to a leveraged ETF like TQQQ can significantly boost annual returns, although it may lead to more frequent and deeper drawdowns.
Peter Navarro's Taking Back Trump's America β€’ 1768 implied HN points β€’ 09 Feb 24
  1. The stock market has shown a technical rally with S&P 500 surpassing 5000, driven by trend traders focusing more on technical aspects than fundamentals.
  2. Artificial intelligence is significantly impacting the job market, with companies using AI for tasks like layoff decisions, with some notable companies like United Parcel Service and BlackRock making significant staff reductions.
  3. China's economy is being compared to past scenarios like Japan's real estate market crash, highlighting concerns about potential global repercussions.
The Dollar Endgame β€’ 718 implied HN points β€’ 29 Mar 24
  1. There is a movement to directly register the entire float of a company through the Direct Registration System (DRS), which allows investors to hold their securities in book entry form directly with the issuer.
  2. The growth in DRS registrations started to stall, leading to investigations about why the consistent buy volume and DRS transfer images were not reflecting in reports. Theories emerged about how shares are manipulated and moved between book and plan shares.
  3. Complexities in the market and opaque practices by institutions make it challenging for retail investors to understand the full picture. The DRS numbers may not reflect the complete truth due to potential manipulation and changing market dynamics.
Faster, Please! β€’ 913 implied HN points β€’ 15 Mar 24
  1. Nvidia's surge in the stock market indicates the potential of AI and its transformative impact.
  2. The stock market reflects high optimism towards AI, but it hasn't reached the levels of previous tech bubbles.
  3. The increase in Nvidia's market value seems to be supported by actual earnings, not just speculative investments.
The Fintech Blueprint β€’ 2181 implied HN points β€’ 17 Jan 24
  1. Recent approval of 11 Bitcoin ETFs by the SEC reflects growing acceptance of cryptocurrency among younger demographics.
  2. Bitcoin ETFs integrate crypto assets into traditional financial infrastructure, appealing to high-net-worth individuals and institutional investors.
  3. ETFs enable easier access to crypto assets through traditional sales channels and contribute to financial adoption of the crypto asset class.
The Bear Cave β€’ 1026 implied HN points β€’ 07 Mar 24
  1. The Bear Cave raises concerns about an ARK Invest favorite, suggesting it may not live up to the hype and bold promises of innovation.
  2. The company in question has been spending on questionable celebrity partnerships, leading to doubts about its true potential.
  3. Despite predictions of high growth, The Bear Cave predicts a potential crash for this company, signaling a caution for investors.
Chamath Palihapitiya β€’ 3871 implied HN points β€’ 15 Nov 23
  1. Before the Federal Reserve, the U.S. had banking issues and crises, leading to the need for a central bank in 1913.
  2. The Great Depression prompted key reforms like the Banking Act of 1933 and the Gold Reserve Act of 1934.
  3. The end of the Bretton Woods system in 1971 marked a shift to Fiat currency and the decline of the gold standard.
Altered States of Monetary Consciousness β€’ 864 implied HN points β€’ 15 Mar 24
  1. Addiction can distort our sense of agency, making us act out of instinct rather than choice.
  2. Solutionism creates a narrative that presents our dependencies as voluntary choices, leading to a cycle of justification for those dependencies.
  3. Monetary systems, like addiction, can create a state of involuntary dependence presented as a state of voluntary choice, reshaping our societies and individual lives.
Daily Chartbook β€’ 1048 implied HN points β€’ 04 Mar 24
  1. The average rate on a 30-year mortgage has increased for 4 weeks in a row, reaching 6.94%.
  2. Mortgage delinquencies rose for the second straight quarter across all product types, with an increase in new loans entering delinquency.
  3. Nearly 40% of US homes do not have a mortgage, showing a substantial portion of homeowners are mortgage-free.
The Dollar Endgame β€’ 559 implied HN points β€’ 02 Apr 24
  1. Gold prices have been soaring recently, possibly due to China's influence and central banks accelerating their gold purchases.
  2. The gold market has been subject to manipulation by central banks through various means like buying/selling gold, gold leasing, and engaging in derivatives.
  3. There is evidence of market manipulation in the gold industry, including spoofing tactics by traders leading to inflated or deflated prices, and the potential for a significant impact on the gold market if large investors start taking physical delivery.
Japan Economy Watch β€’ 239 implied HN points β€’ 01 May 24
  1. The danger is not a sudden financial crisis, but rather slow erosion of Japan's economic competitiveness and living standards.
  2. The yen's recent fluctuations do not indicate a free fall, but rather show volatility in the currency market.
  3. Japan has the resources to prevent a currency free fall and stabilize the yen value through interventions and its international assets.