The hottest Finance Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top Finance Topics

Winner Takes All

Doomberg • 5270 implied HN points • 17 Mar 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Cryptocurrency Economics
  1. In the stock market, rapid swings in market value can be astonishing, such as Nvidia's $270 billion intraday swing – highlighting the unpredictable nature of markets.
  2. Rampant speculation in assets like Bitcoin can be a sign of impending currency devaluation, drawing parallels to historical financial crises like the Weimar Hyperinflation.
  3. Michael Saylor's aggressive strategy of leveraging debt to buy Bitcoin with MicroStrategy serves as a unique case study of riding high in the volatile crypto market, showcasing the power of 'pumpamentals.'

Atlas Won’t Shrug

Doomberg • 7754 implied HN points • 20 Feb 24
💰 Finance Energy Commodities Economics Markets Policy
  1. The human need for energy continues to grow despite various historical crises and catastrophes.
  2. Energy is not just an input into the economy but is actually the foundation of the economy itself.
  3. The idea of peak cheap oil being a crisis is challenged, with the belief that humanity would adapt swiftly to any temporary constraints in energy availability.

Measurement Army

Doomberg • 5751 implied HN points • 25 Feb 24
💰 Finance Environmental Investment Regulation Markets Economy
  1. Modern economic systems struggle to account for environmental costs, leading to government interventions and frustrations among capitalists and landowners.
  2. The global focus on carbon emissions has led to the rise of carbon counting professionals, but many argue their value is limited.
  3. A proposal to create Natural Asset Companies (NACs) faced controversy when seeking to put a market price on nature, highlighting potential unintended consequences and opposition.

Three reasons the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates soon

Noahpinion • 8647 implied HN points • 03 Feb 24
💰 Finance Economy Interest Rates Inflation Monetary Policy
  1. The U.S. economy is showing strong signs of a soft landing with low unemployment, surging job numbers, high employment rates, and accelerating wages.
  2. Inflation has fallen back to the 2% target, providing a remarkable macroeconomic achievement.
  3. Despite the strong economy, there is speculation that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates soon due to reasons like accelerating productivity growth.

Cogent Analysis

Doomberg • 7086 implied HN points • 07 Feb 24
💰 Finance Economic Analysis Forecasting Energy markets
  1. Analysts focus on continuous learning and understanding, while advocates tend to rationalize or attack inconvenient facts.
  2. Economies heavily reliant on energy resources like Russia may evade recession despite sanctions due to their unique market dynamics.
  3. US economy's short-term resilience and avoidance of recession can be attributed to various energy-related factors, such as LNG export approvals.
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STEALTH QE

The Dollar Endgame • 319 implied HN points • 11 Apr 24
💰 Finance Monetary Policy Federal Reserve Balance Sheet
  1. The Federal Reserve implemented liquidity injections in response to financial chaos post-COVID-19, leading to a tapering process that raised questions about the true nature of the measures.
  2. Despite the apparent tapering by the Fed, financial markets didn't react as expected, hinting at an expansion in the authorities' toolkit that analysts might not fully comprehend.
  3. The evolution of liquidity measures and updated understandings about the Fed's balance sheet reveal a broader range of tools and potentially hidden liquidity injections.

Gold in Resolution

Doomberg • 8751 implied HN points • 13 Jan 24
💰 Finance Investing Geopolitics Market Dynamics
  1. 2024 may be a significant year for gold investors, due to potential moves by the Group of Seven countries.
  2. There are discussions about seizing Russian assets worth billions, which could impact the global financial system.
  3. The decisions made by the G7 regarding these assets could influence gold prices and highlight its role in the financial system.

The Gold Endgame Begins

The Dollar Endgame • 559 implied HN points • 02 Apr 24
💰 Finance Gold Market Manipulation Central Banks
  1. Gold prices have been soaring recently, possibly due to China's influence and central banks accelerating their gold purchases.
  2. The gold market has been subject to manipulation by central banks through various means like buying/selling gold, gold leasing, and engaging in derivatives.
  3. There is evidence of market manipulation in the gold industry, including spoofing tactics by traders leading to inflated or deflated prices, and the potential for a significant impact on the gold market if large investors start taking physical delivery.

The DRS Mystery

The Dollar Endgame • 718 implied HN points • 29 Mar 24
💰 Finance Securities Market Manipulation Investors Stock Market
  1. There is a movement to directly register the entire float of a company through the Direct Registration System (DRS), which allows investors to hold their securities in book entry form directly with the issuer.
  2. The growth in DRS registrations started to stall, leading to investigations about why the consistent buy volume and DRS transfer images were not reflecting in reports. Theories emerged about how shares are manipulated and moved between book and plan shares.
  3. Complexities in the market and opaque practices by institutions make it challenging for retail investors to understand the full picture. The DRS numbers may not reflect the complete truth due to potential manipulation and changing market dynamics.

Slick Landing

Doomberg • 8377 implied HN points • 06 Jan 24
💰 Finance Economy Interest Rates GDP Market Analysis Macroeconomics
  1. In 2022, the US economy was expected to fall into a deep recession, but it didn't.
  2. Despite doubts, the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes had a positive impact on the economy.
  3. Forecasts for the US economy are challenging, and unexpected outcomes provide unique learning opportunities.

🤖⏭ Nvidia's surge hints at AI's transformative potential. But what's next?

Faster, Please! • 913 implied HN points • 15 Mar 24
💰 Finance Stock Market AI Economics Technology Investing
  1. Nvidia's surge in the stock market indicates the potential of AI and its transformative impact.
  2. The stock market reflects high optimism towards AI, but it hasn't reached the levels of previous tech bubbles.
  3. The increase in Nvidia's market value seems to be supported by actual earnings, not just speculative investments.

Money as Addiction

Altered States of Monetary Consciousness • 864 implied HN points • 15 Mar 24
💰 Finance Monetary Systems Economic History Currency
  1. Addiction can distort our sense of agency, making us act out of instinct rather than choice.
  2. Solutionism creates a narrative that presents our dependencies as voluntary choices, leading to a cycle of justification for those dependencies.
  3. Monetary systems, like addiction, can create a state of involuntary dependence presented as a state of voluntary choice, reshaping our societies and individual lives.

A Billion-Dollar Fraud In Plain Sight

Where's Your Ed At • 10237 implied HN points • 01 Nov 23
💰 Finance Cryptocurrency Investment Fraud Bankruptcy Regulation
  1. Gemini's
  2. Earn
  3. program misled customers into investing in risky lender Genesis Capital.
  4. The NY Attorney General filed a significant fraud suit against Gemini, Genesis, and Digital Currency Group for misleading customers and covering up losses.
  5. The Winklevoss twins actively deceived customers, putting billions of dollars into an unstable lender and reaping profits while customers faced losses.

Problems at an ARK Invest Favorite

The Bear Cave • 1026 implied HN points • 07 Mar 24
💰 Finance Investing Stocks Analysis Market
  1. The Bear Cave raises concerns about an ARK Invest favorite, suggesting it may not live up to the hype and bold promises of innovation.
  2. The company in question has been spending on questionable celebrity partnerships, leading to doubts about its true potential.
  3. Despite predictions of high growth, The Bear Cave predicts a potential crash for this company, signaling a caution for investors.

Housing Snapshot

Daily Chartbook • 1048 implied HN points • 04 Mar 24
💰 Finance Housing Market Mortgage Rates Housing Affordability
  1. The average rate on a 30-year mortgage has increased for 4 weeks in a row, reaching 6.94%.
  2. Mortgage delinquencies rose for the second straight quarter across all product types, with an increase in new loans entering delinquency.
  3. Nearly 40% of US homes do not have a mortgage, showing a substantial portion of homeowners are mortgage-free.

💥Watch Out!💥

PETITION • 1906 implied HN points • 11 Feb 24
💰 Finance Bankruptcy
  1. Bankruptcy activity for big names like New York Community Bancorp Inc., Spirit Airlines Inc., and others remains low despite speculation.
  2. The amount of high yield bonds trading distressed has significantly decreased since the start of 2024.
  3. Distressed exchange activity has become a popular alternative to Chapter 11 filings, with experts predicting even busier times ahead for 2024.

💥Leaky Container💥

PETITION • 2456 implied HN points • 28 Jan 24
💰 Finance Stocks Retail Investing Company analysis Economy
  1. The post discusses underperforming retailers like The Container Store Inc. ($TCS) specializing in storage solutions.
  2. The Container Store Inc. is known for its premium pricing compared to competitors for products like coat hangers and laundry baskets.
  3. The company's history involves acquisitions by PE firm Leonard Green and Partners LP and an IPO in 2013.

The Bear Cave #213

The Bear Cave • 583 implied HN points • 17 Mar 24
💰 Finance Activist Reports Recent Resignations
  1. Activist reports on companies like LPP S.A. and Enfusion Inc. shed light on potential issues affecting their businesses.
  2. Recent resignations of notable executives from companies like Hertz Global Holdings and Turning Point Brands raise questions about leadership stability and financial health.
  3. Interesting reads include SEC charging former Tallgrass Energy board member with insider trading and Senator Josh Hawley calling for DOJ investigation into FICO for anticompetitive practices.

Onward and Upward Past 5,000 As Communist China Swoons and AI Destroys More Jobs

Peter Navarro's Taking Back Trump's America • 1768 implied HN points • 09 Feb 24
💰 Finance Stock Market Geopolitics Inflation Investing Artificial Intelligence
  1. The stock market has shown a technical rally with S&P 500 surpassing 5000, driven by trend traders focusing more on technical aspects than fundamentals.
  2. Artificial intelligence is significantly impacting the job market, with companies using AI for tasks like layoff decisions, with some notable companies like United Parcel Service and BlackRock making significant staff reductions.
  3. China's economy is being compared to past scenarios like Japan's real estate market crash, highlighting concerns about potential global repercussions.

Weekend thoughts follow up: $NYCB insider buying and mea culpa

Yet Another Value Blog • 1395 implied HN points • 10 Feb 24
💰 Finance Investing Banking Stocks Economy Insider trading
  1. The loan book for NYCB is in worse shape than expected, potentially facing huge losses due to rent-regulated properties and increasing expenses.
  2. Despite the challenges, NYCB has over $7 billion in tangible equity, which could help the bank navigate through the crisis.
  3. Insider buying at NYCB following a special update call shows confidence in the institution, highlighting efforts to stabilize the stock amid a tough situation.

Long Take: Will BlackRock, Fidelity, Bitwise or GBTC win the Bitcoin ETF launch?

The Fintech Blueprint • 2181 implied HN points • 17 Jan 24
💰 Finance Bitcoin ETFs Regulation
  1. Recent approval of 11 Bitcoin ETFs by the SEC reflects growing acceptance of cryptocurrency among younger demographics.
  2. Bitcoin ETFs integrate crypto assets into traditional financial infrastructure, appealing to high-net-worth individuals and institutional investors.
  3. ETFs enable easier access to crypto assets through traditional sales channels and contribute to financial adoption of the crypto asset class.

My favorite FAANG stock

Compounding Quality • 1690 implied HN points • 28 Jan 24
💰 Finance Stocks Investing Technology
  1. FAANG stocks (Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, Google) have shown impressive performance, but sustainability is a key consideration
  2. Facebook (Meta Platforms) has a massive user base, over 3.96 billion monthly active users
  3. Companies like Apple, Netflix, and Google have interesting founding stories and have evolved significantly over time

Will AI Cause Massive Deflation?

cryptoeconomy • 1493 implied HN points • 02 Feb 24
💰 Finance Economics Technology Central Banking Inflation
  1. There will not be durable deflation in the future unless major changes happen to the dollar or the Federal Reserve.
  2. Technology like AI can lead to deflation by lowering prices, but central banks like the Federal Reserve counteract this by absorbing the deflation.
  3. A special type of bad deflation occurs when dollars are taken out of circulation, often due to events like financial panics, leading to economic challenges.