The Honest Broker Newsletter • 2070 implied HN points • 22 Dec 25
- The financial world reframed climate change as “climate risk” by tying it to extreme weather, but real-world trends in most extremes are unclear and rising disaster losses are mainly due to more people and assets in harm’s way.
- Framing risks as both physical and transition hazards gave finance a powerful, self-justifying way to push a global shift toward low‑carbon outcomes, and that pressure spread rapidly through businesses and governments with little consequence for exaggeration.
- Methods to quantify climate risk—scenario analyses and new proprietary models—are deeply flawed or outdated, yet regulatory demand created a large market for these unreliable products, so required disclosures tend to produce the very risks they claim to measure.