Noahpinion • 27294 implied HN points • 01 Feb 26
- Gold has re-emerged as the main safe-haven asset, with central banks and investors buying it, while Bitcoin has not behaved like “digital gold” during recent turmoil.
- The dollar’s international roles — payments, reserves, and collateral — are distinct, and because currencies can be swapped quickly, using the dollar for payments doesn’t necessarily force large reserve holdings; building non-dollar payment systems makes de-dollarization easier.
- China’s push to expand yuan payments and accumulate gold could enable a challenge to the dollar, but China hasn’t shown a clear desire to replace it, and a change in reserve currency wouldn’t automatically revive U.S. manufacturing — policy choices matter more.