Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality ⢠292 implied HN points ⢠18 Feb 26
- Uncertainty about whether AI will plateau or trigger far-reaching, rapid change is freezing people up and making it hard to write or craft medium-run policy because so many scenarios point to very different prescriptions.
- Human collective knowledge and past waves of technology suggest AI is best seen as a powerful new tool that amplifies our existing, distributed intelligence rather than automatically becoming a silicon god, with historical tech shifts unfolding in distinct accelerations.
- Rather than throwing up hands, the practical move is to focus on concrete policy and investment now ā treating AI as a tool that can be guided to redirect human talent (for example toward teaching) and to shape the next decade of outcomes.