In My Tribe

In My Tribe explores complex societal, political, and economic issues with a focus on skepticism, the importance of epistemology, and the critique of managerial elites and institutional dynamics. It addresses contemporary social debates, including drug policy, gender roles, and the influence of libertarianism, while promoting intellectual discussions.

Societal and Epistemic Analysis Political and Economic Views Drug Policy and Regulation Gender Dynamics in Institutions Racial Perceptions in Legal Systems Generational Cultural Shifts Evolutionary Perspectives on Behavior Managerial Class Critique Cultural and Political Discussions Religious Authority in Modern Societies Financial Regulation Economics and Sociology Political Beliefs Formation Libertarianism Health Insurance Policy

The hottest Substack posts of In My Tribe

And their main takeaways
372 implied HN points β€’ 28 Feb 24
  1. Having a strong prior belief is fine, but bias comes in when one refuses to consider evidence against that belief.
  2. Using Bayesian reasoning means weighing new evidence against what you believed before, termed your 'prior.'
  3. Bias occurs when someone puts a negative weight on new information, ignoring evidence that contradicts their prior beliefs.
312 implied HN points β€’ 25 Feb 24
  1. In some areas, class status is heavily influenced by college education and the prestigious Yankee settled areas.
  2. Martin Gurri envisions a future where the online electorate has more direct engagement in government and information is more transparent.
  3. It's important to consider the long-term effects of defense spending on the economy, as resources might be more beneficial if allocated elsewhere.
89 implied HN points β€’ 27 Feb 24
  1. Compound AI systems are proving more effective than individual AI models, showing that combining different components can lead to better results.
  2. Providing extensive context can enhance AI capabilities, enabling new use cases and more effective training through models like Sora.
  3. The emergence of an AI computer virus is predicted to become a major concern, potentially causing widespread panic and technological shutdowns.
163 implied HN points β€’ 24 Feb 24
  1. Efficient search tools like Arc Search could change how we browse the web, potentially impacting content providers. It's important to consider the implications of relying heavily on large language models for search.
  2. aims to revolutionize customer relations with an AI agent that can handle complex interactions and customer inquiries effectively. This could improve customer satisfaction and the quality of customer service.
  3. FutureSearch's forecasting bot impresses with its ability to identify important factors, calculate base rates, and show its work, demonstrating transparency and reliability.
238 implied HN points β€’ 22 Feb 24
  1. The concept of equalitarianism promotes the idea that groups are equal, but in reality, this ideology leads to harmful outcomes and false narratives.
  2. Traditional economic measurements may not fully account for unpaid work like caregiving, which can distort GDP calculations and signify the need for broader economic perspectives.
  3. Philosophy, unlike settled scientific areas, remains a field of exploration for unresolved questions, making classic philosophical texts important for contemplating ongoing uncertainties.
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416 implied HN points β€’ 19 Feb 24
  1. Government can be categorized into Limited-Access (L) and Open-Access (O) Orders based on who is allowed to form significant organizations.
  2. In Limited-Access Orders (L), the ruling coalition can extract resources and form organizations, while in Open-Access Orders (O), citizens have the right to form political parties and corporations independently.
  3. Profit-seeking government tends to align with one-party government and can lead to corruption and favoritism, making a competitive, open-access order preferable.
29 implied HN points β€’ 26 Feb 24
  1. There will be a Zoom discussion tonight on Patricia Crone's book about pre-modern societies and another tomorrow on Jews and Communism.
  2. The Zoom discussion on Patricia Crone's book is free but requires registration.
  3. The Zoom discussion on Jews and Communism is for paid subscribers.
238 implied HN points β€’ 18 Feb 24
  1. Misinformation experts can be biased and self-serving when classifying content, leading to selective communication in modern democracies.
  2. The social consensus on freedom can be fragile, with liberties suddenly deemed 'Problematic' by media outlets.
  3. Political beliefs are often about tribal alignment rather than logical reasoning, making persuasion through reason challenging.
282 implied HN points β€’ 16 Feb 24
  1. Specialization and trade have changed how we interact with others over time, leading to less local solidarity but more wealth.
  2. Publication selection bias impacts different fields like economics and psychology, affecting the presence of certain effects.
  3. Being critical of documentaries and trusting experts with verified beliefs are important in forming opinions on controversial issues.
669 implied HN points β€’ 01 Feb 24
  1. Bob's conduct in debates should focus on understanding the other side's motives, not assuming the worst.
  2. Meaningful debates involve explaining and understanding different viewpoints without resorting to personal attacks or asymmetric insights.
  3. Maintain focus on the main issue of the debate and avoid veering off into unrelated topics for a productive discussion.
580 implied HN points β€’ 03 Feb 24
  1. GDP is not the best indicator of the economy's health, especially due to factors like healthcare spending.
  2. GDP measures economic activity in markets, which includes specialization and trade.
  3. GDP changes are most meaningful when observed over long periods, not short-term fluctuations.
178 implied HN points β€’ 15 Feb 24
  1. Bill Gates supports building general-purpose humanoid robots capable of multiple tasks, modeling them after people.
  2. Mark McNeilly predicts that AI will seduce humans rather than destroy us, leading to a decline in human interaction.
  3. There is potential to use large language models for tasks like contract reviews in legal and financial sectors, but resistance to fully relying on AI in certain professions may persist.
267 implied HN points β€’ 10 Feb 24
  1. There is promise in people with different political views engaging romantically, as it can lead to new ideas and perspectives.
  2. Trump supporters are motivated by a desire to find competent leadership and feel a sense of cultural pride.
  3. The decline in fertility rates can be attributed to changing societal perceptions of children and the burdens associated with parenting.
193 implied HN points β€’ 13 Feb 24
  1. Individuals may prioritize social rewards over truth in belief adoption, leading to collective delusions. It's hard to overcome irrationality at the individual or group level, so focusing on institutional change is crucial.
  2. There is a pattern in how some view different races, depicted by Coleman Hughes in his book. This mirrors the concept of the Moral Dyad, simplifying moral situations to assign feelings or agency.
  3. Challenges in education include the negative impact of excessive parental spending on education. To promote equality, the idea of a luxury estate tax on high-tuition schools was proposed years ago and still holds potential.
148 implied HN points β€’ 12 Feb 24
  1. AI can expand human capabilities and creativity by serving as a partner in various tasks.
  2. Future AI technology is predicted to have the capability to understand human emotions and subtle communications, potentially intruding on privacy.
  3. LLMs can easily be steered politically through supervised fine-tuning, highlighting the influence of human biases on these models rather than training data.
238 implied HN points β€’ 06 Feb 24
  1. Mark Mills raises concerns about the environmental impact of electric vehicles.
  2. Zvi Mowshowitz advocates for grade skipping in education for better outcomes.
  3. Peter Gray argues for reducing the role of coercive schooling to promote children's passionate interests.
476 implied HN points β€’ 26 Jan 24
  1. Some college graduates lack basic skills due to learning deficits and grade inflation.
  2. Cultural inheritance and genetic factors may influence executive function and social mobility.
  3. Economic development impacts societal norms and individualism based on cultural practices like cousin marriage.
357 implied HN points β€’ 31 Jan 24
  1. Consider implementing a walk-and-talk activity to engage in intense conversations in a new environment.
  2. Plan logistics for the walk such as staying in a hotel, carrying belongings in a van, and driving the van in rotation.
  3. Adjust the walk to suit personal preferences, like duration, location, terrain, and meal preferences.
848 implied HN points β€’ 13 Jan 24
  1. Great economists of the 20th century were motivated by the conflict between capitalism and communism.
  2. There was a trade-off between freedom and economic pain, with differing views on how to handle it.
  3. The focus of 21st century intellectuals has shifted to issues like climate change and terrorism, moving away from the economic debates of the past.
387 implied HN points β€’ 22 Jan 24
  1. American colleges and universities have traditionally been prestigious, but recent actions have diminished their value, creating opportunities for disruption.
  2. The surge in new business formation in the US, following the pandemic, showcases the adaptability and innovation of American capitalism.
  3. Complex social problems require precise knowledge for effective solutions, and both government interventions and social activism may fall short in addressing them.
133 implied HN points β€’ 04 Feb 24
  1. Children learn by sensing and manipulating objects, which is expected to influence AI development.
  2. AI alignment issues are compared to human alignment issues, showing the importance of getting along in society.
  3. There are hard resource constraints that may limit extreme AI-driven growth, highlighting the importance of understanding these limits.
178 implied HN points β€’ 29 Jan 24
  1. Large language models (LLMs) do not work by remembering and spitting back information, but by analyzing word patterns and coding them into vectors.
  2. Artificial intelligence has significantly improved human gameplay in board games like Go, leading to more creative and strategic play.
  3. Learning from artificial intelligence in board games involves recognizing and correcting suboptimal moves, rather than trying to imitate the AI's every move.
267 implied HN points β€’ 19 Jan 24
  1. Wokeness and victimhood culture are not just influenced by laws, but also by disparities in outcomes.
  2. Core gender beliefs have historically influenced societies and changes in those beliefs affected women's opportunities.
  3. Government benefit policies can inadvertently discourage work and incentivize receiving benefits, creating a cycle of dependency.
372 implied HN points β€’ 07 Jan 24
  1. In extreme cases of emergency, the law may not be able to handle the situation effectively.
  2. Political officials in some states are making decisions that can be seen as declaring a 'state of exception.'
  3. The issue of sovereignty and decision-making power has been a point of contention during crises like the 2020 election and the COVID pandemic.
342 implied HN points β€’ 08 Jan 24
  1. The key to effective leadership is genuinely caring about your subordinates, not just pretending to care.
  2. Comparing profit-seeking businesses with non-profits, profit-seeking businesses are more incentivized to solve customer problems than non-profits are to create benefits that exceed costs.
  3. Wokism stems from the equality thesis of race and sex differences and a background of Christian morality, leading to challenges in discussing disparities and natural differences among groups.
357 implied HN points β€’ 05 Jan 24
  1. American high incarceration rate is driven by violent crimes, not only drug offenses.
  2. Innocence holds power in American society's struggle with its history.
  3. Today's successful businesses focus on software capital and a different management culture.
253 implied HN points β€’ 14 Jan 24
  1. Emily Oster discusses a reader's second thoughts on parenting.
  2. Lorenzo Warby examines the issue of accountability in democracies.
  3. Dan Williams explores the dynamics of human cooperation and social networks.
119 implied HN points β€’ 25 Jan 24
  1. Arnold Kling and James Cham will discuss _The Geek Way_ on January 30 at 3 PM New York time.
  2. The discussion is free and includes a Q&A session.
  3. Registration is required to join the discussion.