The hottest Elections Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top World Politics Topics

Putin Cannot Win

Diane Francis • 799 implied HN points • 20 Feb 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Foreign Policy Military Affairs Elections Government International relations
  1. Biden's visit to Kyiv showed strong support for Ukraine and highlighted Putin's lack of a winning strategy. It emphasized that Ukraine is standing strong against Russian aggression.
  2. Russia's military is facing huge losses and has not successfully won a battle in a long time. Poor leadership and overwhelming Ukrainian defenses are crippling Russian forces.
  3. Ukraine aims to reclaim all its territories, including Crimea, to ensure its long-term safety. There's international support for Ukraine's military actions to target Russian positions in Crimea.

Nyhetsbrev steigan.no 02.02.2025

steigan.no • 5 implied HN points • 02 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Foreign Policy Defense Trade policy Elections Public Opinion
  1. The war in Ukraine is showing signs of collapse for Ukraine's front lines. This highlights the challenges that Western military support has faced.
  2. African countries are distancing themselves from France, with many ending military agreements and calling for the removal of French troops. This marks a significant shift in former colonial relationships.
  3. Trump's trade policies could destabilize the global economy by harming the ability of countries like Mexico to pay off debts. This could lead to broader economic issues and potential defaults.

Politicians care about (some) debt

Klement on Investing • 3 implied HN points • 28 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Economy Public Policy Elections Debt Management
  1. Politicians pay attention to government debt, but mostly when it's short-term. A small increase in debt can lead to a slight decrease in budget deficits, showing they take action to manage it.
  2. The maturity of debt matters a lot. If debt matures within 3 to 5 years, politicians are more responsive to it because it affects their chances of getting re-elected.
  3. Once the debt maturity goes beyond 10 years, politicians tend to ignore it. This can create long-term issues if they keep running large deficits, leading to unsustainable debt levels.

Elon vs. the USG, pt. 2

Gray Mirror • 53 implied HN points • 02 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Elections Policy Political strategy Legislation
  1. Elon Musk is approaching Washington without a clear plan, which can make him seem naive or overly optimistic. In a complicated environment like D.C., sticking to a solid strategy is crucial.
  2. A lot of recommendations generated in D.C. often end up as pointless paperwork or ideas that don’t really lead to change. Real progress usually requires aligning with existing political interests.
  3. Elon may be brilliant in the tech world, but navigating the bureaucracy of Washington could frustrate him. The gap between his innovative style and the slow pace of politics might lead to misunderstandings.

Donald Trump, The President Of The Ashes.

C.O.P. Central Organizing Principle. • 30 implied HN points • 21 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Policy Government Economy Global relations
  1. Japan and other countries are selling off US debt, which shows that they are losing faith in the American economy. This could make it harder for the US to sell treasury bonds and maintain the dollar's value.
  2. The world sees the US as weak, with problems like homelessness and a large debt. Many countries want to join trade alliances that do not rely on the US dollar.
  3. To improve the economy and attract buyers for US treasury bonds, one suggestion is to raise taxes on the wealthy and cut military spending. However, it's unlikely that such changes will be made.
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Snippets 15: US election & Narrative Whiplash inside the Simulacrum 

Dominic Cummings substack • 26 implied HN points • 28 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Media Public Opinion Political strategy Government
  1. The political landscape is changing, with new elites forming beyond traditional media and political circles. Many people are seeking fresh perspectives outside mainstream narratives.
  2. People are increasingly skeptical of established leaders due to perceived incompetence and age, which could impact future elections significantly.
  3. There is a disconnect between elite opinions and the average voter's views, highlighting a growing need for politicians to truly listen to and understand the concerns of everyday people.

AOC Agonistes

Political Currents by Ross Barkan • 46 implied HN points • 11 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political strategy Political Leadership Voting behavior Progressive politics
  1. AOC has been campaigning actively for the Democratic Party, showing her commitment to supporting candidates like Kamala Harris. Her efforts have drawn attention but have not significantly swayed voter behavior in key demographics.
  2. Ocasio-Cortez seems to have shifted from her earlier revolutionary stance to fitting more comfortably within the Democratic establishment. This transition raises questions about her future role and influence on the left.
  3. There is a growing disconnect between AOC and younger voters who may not align with her political style. If she doesn't reach out to different audiences, she might struggle to maintain her relevance in the future.

HHS and MAHA Appointments

Who is Robert Malone • 33 implied HN points • 26 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Populism Political culture Government Elections Health Policy
  1. Populist movements often promise big changes but usually fall short in meeting people's expectations. History shows these movements can struggle against powerful political systems.
  2. New appointments in the HHS are raising concerns among supporters who expected leaders focused on 'medical freedom.' Many feel let down as the new choices seem to favor established interests.
  3. The journey towards significant reform in politics takes time and requires patience. It’s essential to focus on long-term goals while staying true to personal values and principles.

A simple test to determine whether you have truly lost your mind (and assess the extent of the reversible damage)

Beck of the Pack • 176 implied HN points • 10 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Media Government Elections Foreign Relations Corruption
  1. The article discusses the importance of being critical of mainstream media and not allowing oneself to be swayed by false narratives.
  2. There is a focus on recognizing the questionable actions and behaviors of powerful individuals, such as politicians and media personalities.
  3. The writer emphasizes the need for readers to stay informed, question information sources, and be aware of potential brainwashing tactics that can influence perceptions.

Freedom and safety

Thinking about... • 172 implied HN points • 18 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Democracy Elections International relations Civic engagement
  1. Ukrainians are fighting for their freedom and defending democracy, helping to maintain global stability. Their courage allows other countries to focus on their own issues while they bear the burden of the fight.
  2. Supporting Ukraine through donations or by voting for pro-Ukrainian candidates is crucial. Even small contributions can make a big difference in helping them feel safer and more secure.
  3. Democracy is about cooperating and caring for others, not just arguing for our own beliefs. By working together and helping one another, we can all create a world where everyone has more freedom.

I Hope I'm Wrong

Unpopular Front • 153 implied HN points • 06 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political theory Political Communication Authoritarianism Campaign strategies
  1. It's important to trust your instincts, even when others disagree. Sometimes, being confident in your own analysis brings clarity in uncertain times.
  2. Having a strong, clear vision is crucial in politics. If you don't present a bold idea of the future, it makes it hard for people to rally behind you.
  3. Adapting to new situations and challenges is key. Old tactics might not work anymore, and new strategies need to be developed to build support and create change.

Five things I liked from Donald Trump's first week as President

Unreported Truths • 63 implied HN points • 26 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Elections Policy Reform Public Opinion
  1. Trump's immigration policies focused on stricter deportations, which some believe are necessary to manage the system better.
  2. Federal workers are now required to return to the office, ensuring they fulfill their job duties rather than working from home.
  3. He signed an executive order to protect free speech and prevent government censorship, which many see as an important measure for citizens.

Blame Biden

Political Currents by Ross Barkan • 47 implied HN points • 06 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Candidates Democrats Republicans Campaigns
  1. The 2022 midterms gave Democrats a false sense of confidence that led them to misjudge their chances in the 2024 presidential race.
  2. Joe Biden's decision to run for a second term caused issues for the party, as it didn't allow for a healthy primary process to find a stronger candidate.
  3. Democrats need to reassess their approach to elections, as the current strategy isn't working, especially with Trump's return looming on the horizon.

Taiwan Election Results: How Lai won, what China thinks, and what’s at stake for the DPP

ChinaTalk • 415 implied HN points • 14 Jan 24
🌍 World Politics Elections China Taiwan Cross-strait relations
  1. Current VP William Lai Ching-te of the Democratic Progressive Party won the Taiwan presidential election with over 40% of the vote.
  2. The DPP lost control of the legislature in Taiwan's election, falling from 61 to 51 seats.
  3. The Taiwan election was a referendum on DPP governance and internal issues like population crisis, high real estate prices, and military conscription.

December 21, 2024

Letters from an American • 16 implied HN points • 22 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Legislation Government Elections Bipartisanship Political Influence
  1. The Senate passed a bill to fund the government until March, avoiding a shutdown. President Biden highlighted this as a compromise that protects essential functions while rejecting certain tax benefits for billionaires.
  2. Elon Musk influenced the negotiations, leading to key provisions being removed from the final bill that would have restricted investments in China. This shows how powerful individual interests can impact government decisions.
  3. Bipartisan support emerged for issues like Social Security benefits for public workers and funding for childhood cancer research. This suggests that lawmakers will listen to public pressure on certain critical issues.

Election Update #9: No, Trump is Not Leading Now

Phillips’s Newsletter • 67 implied HN points • 10 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polls Campaigns Political Analysis Public Opinion
  1. Polls can make people feel either hopeful or scared. Some people focus on good polls, while others worry about bad ones.
  2. Currently, there isn't much change happening in the election race. Even events that seemed impactful didn't really alter the polling results significantly.
  3. It's important to avoid getting too excited or too worried about polls. Small shifts don't always mean big changes in the election outcome.

Years Of Planning Behind Democrats’ Turn Against Democracy

Public • 480 implied HN points • 20 Dec 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Media Partisanship Democracy Trump presidency
  1. Democrats were behind an effort to prevent Trump from running for president in Colorado based on insurrection claims.
  2. The argument that Trump is a unique threat to democracy lacks substantial evidence.
  3. The adversarial relationship between the media and Trump actually benefited democracy by ensuring scrutiny and accountability.

Elon Musk is Ross Perot on Crack

Unpopular Front • 99 implied HN points • 19 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Democracy Government Political Figures Public Opinion
  1. Elon Musk's influence is compared to Ross Perot's, showing how billionaires can challenge traditional political systems. They both wanted to cut through the bureaucracy and bring change by going directly to the public.
  2. The concept of using electronic voting or plebiscites can undermine representative democracy. This idea may give the illusion of direct democracy but can also lead to manipulation by powerful individuals.
  3. Historically, plebiscites have been tools used by authoritarian leaders to control public opinion. Similar trends today could weaken democratic structures and lead to more centralized power.

AFTER BIDEN

Seymour Hersh • 45 implied HN points • 07 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Foreign Policy Political parties Public Opinion Leadership
  1. Many voters preferred Trump over a flawed Democratic candidate. They want a change in direction, especially regarding foreign policy.
  2. The past Democratic leadership choices are criticized for lacking strong vice presidential candidates. This may have weakened their political position.
  3. There’s a belief that Trump may persist in some of Biden's policies, particularly regarding support for Israel, despite wanting to change the approach towards Ukraine.

And the winner is Kennedy….

Dr. Pippa's Pen & Podcast • 43 implied HN points • 05 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Candidates Political media Public Opinion Health Policy
  1. Kennedy has created a strong youth movement that affects the presidential race, influencing many young voters to support him and even some to back Trump.
  2. He's successfully brought health issues to the forefront of the political debate, changing how people think about food and health regulations in America.
  3. Kennedy has been given a significant role in a new commission related to presidential assassinations, which could reveal important information about U.S. history and politics.

The Big Lie Is Getting Told (Again)

Slack Tide by Matt Labash • 142 implied HN points • 30 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Democracy Political parties Political Behavior Public Opinion
  1. The upcoming election seems very tight, and there is a good chance for disagreement no matter who wins. Many people feel anxious about what the outcome might mean for the country.
  2. If Trump wins, there may be chaos and false claims about fraud, but even if he loses, the belief that elections are unfair can hurt democracy. Trust in the process is crucial for everyone.
  3. The election isn't just about candidates but about the country's acceptance of its democratic values. Failing to respect the system can lead to serious consequences for democracy as a whole.

Like Reagan With a Shotgun

God's Spies by Thomas Neuburger • 50 implied HN points • 07 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Government Political theory Neoliberalism Trump Era
  1. Trump's recent comments may seem like he wants to be a dictator, but many believe he’s just following a long history of neoliberalism in the U.S. since Reagan.
  2. Rather than creating something new, Trump is seen as continuing the trend of dismantling government powers, benefiting only the wealthy.
  3. Historically, those in power use chaos and confusion to implement conservative policies, and this is viewed as part of the same playbook used by past administrations.

How I made "The Probability Times"

Nerology • 142 implied HN points • 29 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Predictions Data Analysis Statistics Technology
  1. The project turns election predictions into real newspaper headlines, making stats feel more concrete. Each data point in the simulations gets a corresponding news story.
  2. Using a script, detailed election results from states can be generated, summarizing victories and close races. This gives journalists useful info to write about.
  3. AI tools were utilized to create news articles and images, making the project visually appealing and engaging. The tech helps bring the election outcomes to life with visuals and compelling stories.

Nyhetsbrev steigan.no 23.01.2025

steigan.no • 7 implied HN points • 23 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Government Foreign Policy Political parties Legislation International relations
  1. The EU's energy policies are causing political tension in Norway, particularly with the Senterpartiet party threatening to leave the government if certain energy proposals pass.
  2. Germany's economy is struggling due to high energy costs and the transition to green energy, but the arms industry is booming because of ongoing military conflicts, especially in Ukraine.
  3. India has become the world's third-largest economy by purchasing power, outpacing Japan and showcasing significant shifts in global economic power.

Tony Blinker's Battle with Reality

John’s Substack • 10 implied HN points • 10 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Foreign Policy Government Elections Diplomacy Public Opinion
  1. Tony Blinken is facing criticism over his role as Secretary of State, especially regarding his foreign policy decisions. Many believe he is struggling to defend his actions.
  2. The conversation touches on Israel's plans to expand into neighboring territories, which has raised concerns in the international community.
  3. There are discussions about the significant influence of the Israel lobby on American politics, highlighting the power dynamics at play.

The Hollow Regret of Biden Coverage

Marginally Compelling • 14 implied HN points • 20 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Analysis Media Critique Public Opinion Elections Political Leadership
  1. There's growing concern about President Biden's mental and physical health, especially after some recent news articles highlighted these issues.
  2. Many people have suspected for a while that Biden isn't fully in charge, and this realization is now being acknowledged more openly.
  3. The media faced pressure not to question Biden's condition, which affected their coverage and how they reported on him.

Cage Match

Slack Tide by Matt Labash • 146 implied HN points • 22 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political Discourse Voter Behavior Political Commentary
  1. There is a lot of focus on trivial topics in politics that distract from serious issues, like candidate qualifications and campaigns. These discussions can feel absurd and make it seem like we're living in a silly reality show.
  2. Debates about Trump often end with accusations of 'Trump Derangement Syndrome' to dismiss opposing views. This tactic is common and can hinder constructive conversation.
  3. People sometimes lose touch with objective reality in their political beliefs. Strong loyalty to a leader can make facts feel irrelevant, which complicates discussions and disagreements.

December 18, 2024

Letters from an American • 16 implied HN points • 19 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Elections Legislation Political parties Authoritarianism Political Commentary
  1. A report by Congressman Loudermilk aims to alter the narrative about January 6, 2021, trying to blame Liz Cheney while defending Trump. It claims Cheney might have broken laws, which many see as an attack on those who oppose Trump.
  2. Trump is unhappy with a government funding deal and is using his influence to pressure Republicans against it. He and his supporters believe the deal gives too much power to Democrats and want to block it.
  3. There are concerns about Trump's authoritarian tendencies, especially with him and Elon Musk influencing political decisions. Critics worry this chaos could hurt the country and undermine democratic processes.

The White House is betting the election on a theory of skewed polls 🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩

Silver Bulletin • 308 implied HN points • 05 Mar 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polls Campaigns White House Media
  1. Democrats have historically not been trailing in presidential race polls until now, leading to a sense of confidence within their campaign officials.
  2. In the current presidential race, Joe Biden is behind in the polls against Trump, hinting at potential challenges ahead.
  3. The White House has shown signs of poll denialism, reacting negatively to polling data that does not align with their expectations.

The *Actual* Day After

Gideon's Substack • 40 implied HN points • 06 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political parties Voter Behavior Policy Issues Political strategy
  1. Trump was seen as the likely Republican nominee early on, and once he was nominated, it seemed he would have a good chance of winning the presidency again. Many factors, including Biden's unpopularity, contributed to this belief.
  2. The recent election showed a strong shift to the right in voter preferences across many demographics, including young people and various minority groups. This indicates widespread dissatisfaction with the current state of leadership and policies.
  3. Democrats need to acknowledge the reasons behind the election results and work on offering solutions and fresh ideas, rather than just trying to reverse the outcome. It's essential to fill the gaps in governance and connect with the voters' concerns.

Friday brief exclusive: Fire chief candidate under investigation by police watchdog

NN Journal • 178 implied HN points • 09 Feb 24
📰 News Investigation Local government Crime Elections Journalism
  1. The fire chief candidate is under investigation by the police watchdog for behavior during her time as deputy chief constable.
  2. North Northamptonshire Council is facing scrutiny for a planning fiasco involving a warehouse approval mix-up.
  3. A University of Northampton student has been sentenced to prison for the murder of another student during a drug dispute.

sunday memepool: the red wave red pill

bad cattitude • 121 implied HN points • 17 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political trends Current Events Political Commentary Social Issues
  1. Change is a constant part of life, and it’s important to embrace it. Being open to new ideas can lead to growth and understanding.
  2. The last five years were marked by intense and sometimes overwhelming ideas. It shows how discussions and opinions can evolve and become more complex over time.
  3. Having a critical perspective on trends and ideas is valuable. It helps us navigate through confusion and make informed choices.

The Growing Desire For Radical Change

Creative Destruction • 38 implied HN points • 08 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Media Public Opinion Political Commentary Social Issues
  1. People are feeling a strong need for real change in their lives. It's important to address uncomfortable feelings instead of ignoring them.
  2. Sanewashing is when the media makes troubling issues seem normal. This is a problem because it can create a false sense of reality.
  3. Instead of escaping or getting distracted, we should engage with our feelings and the world around us. It's time to confront the truth, not shy away from it.