Ukraine Conflict Monitor

The Ukraine Conflict Monitor provides detailed weekly updates and analyses on the dynamic frontlines of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, focusing on territorial changes, military operations, and strategic shifts. It also covers the military-political situation in Belarus and its cooperation with Russia, offering insights into defense postures, civilian impacts, and international military support.

Military Operations Territorial Changes Civilian Impact International Military Support Defense Postures Strategic Shifts Belarus-Russia Cooperation

The hottest Substack posts of Ukraine Conflict Monitor

And their main takeaways
216 implied HN points 14 Jan 24
  1. Limited frontline changes in Ukraine last week; Operational-strategic situation remained unchanged.
  2. Russians targeted Ukrainian civilian infrastructure in Kharkiv Oblast, including a hotel where foreign journalists stayed.
  3. Russians made slight progress in certain areas, but overall tempo of attacks decreased; Ukrainian defensive posture remained unchanged.
117 implied HN points 10 Feb 24
  1. Russian advances continued in Ukraine, capturing territory but facing local Ukrainian counterattacks due to shortages of ammunition and manpower.
  2. Russians targeted Ukrainian civilian infrastructure and conducted cross-border operations, with small advances in various key areas.
  3. The Southern Direction saw marginal gains for both sides, while Ukrainian positions near Krynky on Dnipro's left bank were maintained successfully.
Get a weekly roundup of the best Substack posts, by hacker news affinity:
884 implied HN points 14 Jun 23
  1. The Ukrainian Black Sea Lowland plays a significant role in military operations in Southern Ukraine.
  2. A well-developed road and rail network enhances the maneuverability and logistics support for combat forces.
  3. Hydrography, like the Dnipro River, shapes operational directions in the area of operation.
334 implied HN points 28 Jul 23
  1. Russian forces made no significant frontline changes in the Kharkiv Oblast despite ground and artillery attacks.
  2. In the Velyka Novosilka axis, Ukrainians captured Staromaiors'ke, but the main focus remained on the Orikhiv area.
  3. Ukrainian operations saw the deployment of the 10th Corps to revive their attacks and sustain continuous pressure on Russian forces.
353 implied HN points 23 Jun 23
  1. Ukrainian forces had minimal gains in the southern region, and the counteroffensive momentum has slowed down.
  2. Reports of an operational pause in the southern direction are unlikely as rotations of attacks continue on a regular basis.
  3. Russian artillery and ground units returned to previously occupied positions, with limited missile and drone attacks reported.
334 implied HN points 12 Jun 23
  1. Ukrainians launched a counteroffensive spanning Zaporizhihia and Donetsk Oblasts, liberating over 60 sq km of territory
  2. Russian attacks in Kharkiv and Luhansk Oblasts had no frontline changes; Ukrainian counterattacks were limited but successful
  3. Challenges faced by Ukrainians in terms of losses, air defense capabilities, and the need to maintain momentum in the ongoing counteroffensive
39 implied HN points 23 Jan 24
  1. The posture of the Belarusian Armed Forces remained unchanged over the past week.
  2. Military-political developments in Belarus focused on upcoming strategic military documents like the military doctrine and national security concept.
  3. Belarusian military officials had active engagements, including readiness inspections, international meetings, and training events.
294 implied HN points 09 Jun 23
  1. The collapse of the Nova Kakhovka Dam impacts military operations in the Kherson Oblast, allowing for potential redeployment of Russian forces.
  2. Ukrainian efforts to conduct a river-crossing operation across the Dnipro faced challenges due to the heightened military presence and destruction of the dam.
  3. The destruction of the dam temporarily restricts Ukrainian operations, impacting their ability to engage Russian forces in the Kherson direction.
314 implied HN points 01 May 23
  1. No significant changes on the ground in Ukraine last week; Both sides preparing for Ukrainian counteroffensive.
  2. Russian operations in Kharkiv Oblast focused on artillery and missile attacks; No gains in ground attacks.
  3. Russian gains seen in Bakhmut where they control 75% of the city; Belorussian Armed Forces remained in readiness with no changes in posture.
275 implied HN points 29 May 23
  1. Frontline in Ukraine had minimal changes; Situation seemed stable but signs indicate a possible major Ukrainian push
  2. Russian forces did not advance in Kharkiv Oblast; Some unconfirmed gains made in Bilohorivka in Luhansk Oblast
  3. Russians did not change frontlines in Donetsk Oblast; Ukrainians may have progressed in Avdiivka; Wagner forces transferred responsibility to Donetsk People's Republic in Bakhmut
275 implied HN points 11 Apr 23
  1. Frontline in Ukraine remained mostly static last week with some tactical gains by Russians in certain areas and repelled attacks in others.
  2. Russian offensive potential in Bakhmut did not peak last week, while ground attacks near Avdiivka were pushed back.
  3. Belarusian Armed Forces conducting readiness checks and training, with no major changes seen in their military posture.