The hottest International relations Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top World Politics Topics
Chartbook 486 implied HN points 17 Nov 24
  1. Asia's fast-growing economies may appear to offer solutions to the West's challenges, but that's not the complete picture.
  2. The concept of 'polycrisis' is relevant to both Asia and the West, suggesting interconnected issues that affect both regions.
  3. Understanding these global challenges requires looking beyond regional success stories and recognizing the shared complexities.
Noahpinion 15882 implied HN points 24 Nov 24
  1. The return of Trump as president signals a big change in American politics. Progressivism seems to be struggling, and many Democrats need to rethink their strategies to reconnect with voters.
  2. Global liberalism is facing serious challenges as countries like China and Russia assert more power. The cooperation among democracies to combat authoritarianism seems to be fading.
  3. Advances in technology, especially in AI and industrial policy, hold promise for the future. While concerns about job loss due to AI exist, there are reasons to be optimistic about how technology can enhance human workers' capabilities.
Nonzero Newsletter 214 implied HN points 03 Dec 24
  1. Bipartisan support in Congress is now framing China as the main enemy of the U.S. This shift has led to new laws that limit American cooperation with Chinese entities.
  2. Biden has taken a strong stance against China, continuing and intensifying policies started by Trump. This has solidified a consensus that sees China as a major threat.
  3. The growing tension between the U.S. and China is often overlooked, especially compared to conflicts in Europe. However, Biden's actions are key to understanding this new cold war dynamic.
Simplicius's Garden of Knowledge 13388 implied HN points 29 Oct 24
  1. The situation in Ukraine is escalating with new claims of North Korean troop involvement, but there are doubts about the validity of these reports. It seems like a way to either justify war actions or divert attention from failures.
  2. Russian forces are making significant territorial gains in the south, suggesting they are currently in a strong position. This pressures Ukraine to maintain its last strongholds and potentially call for more foreign assistance.
  3. The European and American media narratives seem increasingly disconnected from reality. There are worries that misinformation and exaggerated claims are leading to misunderstanding and escalation of the conflict.
Caitlin’s Newsletter 1164 implied HN points 28 Nov 24
  1. Many people in Ukraine and the U.S. want the war to end, but it continues to escalate. It's frustrating that instead of working toward peace, governments push for more conflict.
  2. The idea of protecting democracy through war seems hollow when the focus is on sending young people to fight instead of finding solutions.
  3. Independent media can often get caught up in mainstream narratives, leading some to lose sight of their original purpose. Authentic voices are important for meaningful discussions.
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TK News by Matt Taibbi 15042 implied HN points 21 Nov 24
  1. There's a lot of military tension right now, and the actions being taken could either mean nothing or signal serious problems ahead. It's a risky situation for everyone involved.
  2. Joe Biden's recent appearances and decisions have raised questions about who is really leading NATO and whether he is in control of the situation.
  3. With more advanced weapons being used in the conflict, the potential for escalation is high, and it’s important to pay attention to how this affects global relations.
Simplicius's Garden of Knowledge 12389 implied HN points 27 Oct 24
  1. Zelensky suggested that both Ukraine and Russia should stop attacking each other's energy facilities to avoid a harsh winter. This shows that Ukraine's strikes on Russian infrastructure were more about self-defense than actually crippling Russia.
  2. Putin is preparing to offer different negotiation terms depending on the outcome of the US presidential elections. He is looking to use these negotiations to maintain control over the territories gained in Ukraine.
  3. Ukraine is facing significant troop shortages, which is leading to a decrease in military mobilization. There are discussions about lowering the draft age, highlighting the urgency for Ukraine to bolster its forces.
Chartbook 286 implied HN points 17 Nov 24
  1. Trump's decisions can greatly affect the world economy. It's important to understand how political actions influence global markets.
  2. Transitioning to clean energy might be more affordable than many believe. New technologies and strategies can help lower costs.
  3. The ongoing conflict in the Philippines is complex and has lasting implications. It shows how prolonged wars can affect both local and international stability.
Simplicius's Garden of Knowledge 11630 implied HN points 25 Oct 24
  1. The BRICS summit showed a strong sense of unity and cooperation among member countries, contrasting with the often more formal and structured atmosphere of Western summits like the UN.
  2. New partnerships were announced, with 13 countries gaining partner status, which could lead to future full membership in BRICS, signaling a shift in global power dynamics.
  3. The summit also emphasized acceptance and diplomacy, with countries like Iran and Venezuela receiving respect and legitimacy on the world stage, promoting a message of collaboration and open dialogue.
TK News by Matt Taibbi 10342 implied HN points 20 Nov 24
  1. The situation in Ukraine is getting riskier as peace talks are expected after Trump's inauguration. This is causing both Russia and the U.S. to escalate their military actions.
  2. Recent attacks involving U.S.-made ATACMS missiles have heightened tensions and alarmed Russian media. They are worried about this being a significant moment in history.
  3. There's a growing fear that we might be approaching a major conflict, with some comparing it to the dangers of the Cuban Missile Crisis. A nuclear response from Russia is now more likely, raising serious concerns.
Noahpinion 16117 implied HN points 18 Nov 24
  1. Targeted tariffs focus on specific industries or products, helping to reduce dependence on foreign sources like China for critical goods, such as batteries.
  2. Broad tariffs can create problems by raising costs for American manufacturers, making them less competitive against foreign companies, which may worsen trade deficits.
  3. To effectively improve trade balances, policies should avoid broad tariffs and instead concentrate on targeted measures that do not negatively affect American industries.
Astral Codex Ten 25465 implied HN points 22 Nov 24
  1. Being cautious and warning about potential risks is important, even if past warnings seem wrong. These warnings can still highlight dangers that may eventually happen.
  2. Just because someone has made incorrect predictions in the past does not mean we should ignore future concerns. Some risks gradually increase over time, like health issues or the dangers of powerful technologies.
  3. It's crucial to maintain a balanced approach to assessing risks. We should not let past inaccuracies cause us to dismiss all warnings, as they can help us stay alert to genuine threats.
Global Inequality and More 3.0 724 implied HN points 05 Dec 24
  1. E. H. Carr's book highlights how the international system can be unfair and lead to conflict. He sees similar patterns in past events and today's world.
  2. Carr argues that for peace to last, stronger nations need to share power and resources with weaker ones. If they don't, it creates resentment and can eventually lead to war.
  3. The current situation with Russia shows parallels to what happened with Germany before World War II. Both situations involved dissatisfied powers that used force to change their circumstances.
Chartbook 414 implied HN points 16 Nov 24
  1. Global shipping is seeing a big surge, but this comes with challenges like trade wars. It's important to watch how these two trends affect the economy.
  2. The UK is facing stagnation, which means there isn't much growth happening. This could affect jobs and opportunities for people in the country.
  3. H5N1, an avian flu, is now in North America. It's crucial to stay informed on this as it can impact health and the poultry industry.
Simplicius's Garden of Knowledge 8572 implied HN points 22 Oct 24
  1. Russia's military production is increasing rapidly, even surpassing the losses they faced in Ukraine. This means they are becoming stronger despite the conflict.
  2. Ukraine's air defense is not as effective as reported, with lower interception rates than the government claims. This highlights a gap between what is being communicated and the reality on the ground.
  3. Germany's military capabilities are struggling to keep up, and in some areas, they are declining. They would need up to 100 years to rebuild their military stockpiles to past levels, in stark contrast to Russia's quick production capabilities.
Simplicius's Garden of Knowledge 11510 implied HN points 19 Oct 24
  1. Zelensky has suggested that Ukraine's security depends on either NATO membership or nuclear capabilities. This has raised significant concerns and discussions among Western allies.
  2. A Ukrainian official claimed that Ukraine could quickly create nuclear weapons if necessary, although this was later denied by Zelensky's office amid backlash.
  3. The nuclear threats appear to be aimed more at pressuring Ukraine's allies than at Russia itself, highlighting Ukraine's desperation for support in the ongoing conflict.
Simplicius's Garden of Knowledge 12909 implied HN points 17 Oct 24
  1. Zelensky presented a 'Victory Plan' for Ukraine that hopes to invite NATO membership and ramp up military support. Many people found his ideas unrealistic and lacking substance.
  2. One key point of the plan suggests deploying a strong military deterrent to protect Ukraine from Russia. This has raised concerns about the possible involvement of NATO forces on the ground.
  3. Concerns are growing over the U.S.'s ability to support Ukraine indefinitely, with officials stating they can't provide unlimited resources. This hints at potential limits to Ukraine's military ambitions.
TK News by Matt Taibbi 1340 implied HN points 23 Nov 24
  1. The use of missiles in Ukraine is escalating, with one missile being identified as potentially the first intercontinental ballistic missile used in a conflict. This is a significant step in warfare technology.
  2. Russia has updated its nuclear doctrine to include non-nuclear states in conflicts with its territory, raising fears that nuclear weapons could be used against Ukraine.
  3. Amid the serious global events, some people seem unbothered or unaware of the impact this escalation has on international relations and security.
Simplicius's Garden of Knowledge 12429 implied HN points 15 Oct 24
  1. Ukraine is facing increasing military pressure from Russia, and the situation for Ukraine seems to be worsening. There are discussions about possibly giving up some territory to reach a peace deal.
  2. Germany is cutting its financial support for Ukraine significantly, leading to concerns about the future of military assistance. This reduction could impact Ukraine's ability to sustain its defense.
  3. Zelensky is expected to address the Ukrainian parliament soon, where he may propose a new plan for victory, but there are hints that this plan might involve compromises regarding territory.
Caitlin’s Newsletter 2905 implied HN points 20 Nov 24
  1. Many people are starting to understand the harsh reality of life in Israel and Palestine, which is very different from what is often taught. This includes seeing the conflict and its impact more clearly.
  2. There are serious allegations of violence and human rights abuses by Israel against Palestinians. These claims include attacks on civilians, including children, and targeting aid workers.
  3. The situation has made it clear that peaceful resolutions are needed, and many believe that real change can happen only when people prioritize human rights and compassion over conflict.
Doomberg 5777 implied HN points 24 Nov 24
  1. Turkey is trying to become the main hub for natural gas in Europe. They want to take advantage of the energy crisis and their strategic location.
  2. The recent election in Georgia shows a struggle between pro-Russian and pro-European forces. The results have raised questions about interference and democracy.
  3. The energy routes in this region are very important. They connect different countries and are crucial for Turkey's goals and influence over Europe's energy supply.
Glenn’s Substack 2318 implied HN points 02 Oct 24
  1. The US faces a serious economic crisis due to high debt levels and declining fiscal responsibility. The country has been unable to effectively address these financial issues since the 2008 crisis.
  2. Efforts to boost US competitiveness, like subsidies and sanctions, often backfire and may harm the economy more. In contrast, countries like China are gaining strength by diversifying their economies and forming new partnerships.
  3. As the US struggles, other countries are building a new economic system that doesn't rely on America. This shift might create a world where multiple powers coexist, rather than one dominant force.
Unpopular Front 32 implied HN points 08 Dec 24
  1. The fall of Assad in Syria brings hope after years of a brutal civil war. People are celebrating and reuniting, showing how powerful and inspiring change can be.
  2. Even the strongest dictatorships can crumble quickly when the people rise up. This shows that real power comes from the consent of the people, not just force.
  3. The situation in Syria reminds us that democracy is about the people's will. When people collectively say 'no' to oppression, they can create significant change.
Global Inequality and More 3.0 694 implied HN points 03 Dec 24
  1. Western elites feel confused and uneasy with Trump's approach, much like Eastern European elites felt with Gorbachev. They see him as changing the norms that they are used to.
  2. European leaders are struggling to adapt to changes brought by Trump. They tend to view his presidency as a temporary disruption rather than a challenge to their rule.
  3. China's rise is shifting economic power away from the West, and many in the Western middle class may feel a decline in their global status as Asian economies grow rapidly.
Simplicius's Garden of Knowledge 13029 implied HN points 11 Oct 24
  1. Ukraine's situation is worsening as they struggle against renewed Russian advances. Zelensky is seeking support from allies to end the conflict but is facing growing pressures.
  2. There are discussions about a potential ceasefire, but Zelensky is caught between showing strength and the reality of needing to make concessions. He wants to maintain the appearance of not giving up land.
  3. Infighting and low morale are rising among pro-Ukrainian supporters. Many feel that the West won't provide the necessary support to achieve victory against Russia.
Wyclif's Dust 2146 implied HN points 09 Nov 24
  1. Wars aren't always won by the richest countries. Sometimes, less wealthy states focus more on military spending and fighting, giving them advantages in conflict.
  2. Countries that struggle economically may prioritize making weapons and preparing for war, using their limited resources to specialize in conflict instead of production.
  3. Trade and economics are deeply connected to politics. In a world with no clear authority, countries often use military power to protect or expand their economic interests.
Phillips’s Newsletter 48 implied HN points 03 Dec 24
  1. War games involving nuclear weapons should reflect real-life consequences so players appreciate the seriousness of their actions. This means making it personal, such as considering how decisions could affect family and friends.
  2. Current war games often feel detached from reality, as players can drop bombs and then return to their normal lives without any real stakes. This disconnect makes players less aware of the real-world implications of their choices.
  3. Introducing more realistic scenarios in war games could lead to deeper understanding and conversation about the impact of nuclear warfare, making it a topic people take more seriously.
The Corbett Report 8 implied HN points 24 Nov 24
  1. There is a growing concern about the 'AI gap' between the US and China, which is becoming a new focus for national security. People are worried that if the US doesn't catch up, it could lose its edge in technology.
  2. The idea of an 'AI gap' is likened to the old 'missile gap' scare from the Cold War. Both were used to create fear and justify increased spending on military and technology.
  3. Even though the 'AI gap' talk may feel exaggerated, the real dangers of AI technology, like autonomous weapons, shouldn't be overlooked. It's important to be aware of the genuine risks while questioning the motives behind the narratives.
Simplicius's Garden of Knowledge 13848 implied HN points 06 Oct 24
  1. Ukrainian troops are facing major issues, like mutinies and lack of resources. Many soldiers are unwilling to fight due to insufficient training and equipment.
  2. The fall of Ugledar shows how serious the losses are for Ukraine. Brigades are being dramatically reduced in numbers, with some units losing nearly all their members.
  3. There's a growing sentiment among Ukrainian soldiers and officials that negotiations might be necessary to end the conflict. Many are feeling the emotional and physical toll of the ongoing war.
Simplicius's Garden of Knowledge 11030 implied HN points 08 Oct 24
  1. Ukraine may consider giving up some land to stop the fighting, as they can't easily challenge Russia's control. Western allies are worried about the ongoing conflict and its costs.
  2. Russia wants a permanent solution to the conflict, not just a temporary ceasefire. They have specific demands, like Ukraine remaining neutral and giving up certain territories.
  3. There are doubts about whether the U.S. or NATO would back Ukraine joining their alliance, as this could lead to more tensions. Trusting outside nations to guarantee Ukraine's neutrality is also a big issue.
Chartbook 214 implied HN points 15 Nov 24
  1. Goldman Sachs is performing really well in the stock market, showing a big gain this month.
  2. There are rumors about peace talks regarding Ukraine, causing a positive shift in Ukraine bonds.
  3. The term 'warrior boards' is mentioned, suggesting an interest in military-related investments or decisions.
Simplicius's Garden of Knowledge 14008 implied HN points 04 Oct 24
  1. Israel faced significant challenges with its air defenses when Iranian missile strikes were more successful than previous attacks. This suggests that Iran has been learning and improving its strategies.
  2. There's a mix of opinions about whether Iran was really trying to hit specific targets or just sending a message. Some believe the strikes were accurate while others think they were done to avoid major damage.
  3. Tensions are rising as Israel and the US are contemplating serious military responses against Iran, while Iran has managed to strengthen ties with other countries like Saudi Arabia amidst these conflicts.
Fisted by Foucault 159 implied HN points 26 Nov 24
  1. The US is seeing some major changes in its foreign policy due to a new incoming administration, which could complicate the situation in Ukraine. This transition may affect how the US interacts with Russia and its allies.
  2. Recent arrest warrants by the ICC for world leaders, including Israel's Prime Minister, have raised questions about the fairness of international justice and America's role in it. This has made the US look hypocritical to other countries.
  3. Germany's economy is struggling, with job cuts and company shutdowns indicating a larger issue. Many Germans feel their country isn't what it used to be, leading to potential shifts in political support.
Doomberg 8315 implied HN points 09 Nov 24
  1. Trump's election may negatively impact climate change efforts, as many leaders are skipping important climate meetings. It seems fewer people are interested in tackling climate issues right now.
  2. While Trump used to criticize climate agreements, his focus might now lean towards boosting American industries, even if it increases carbon emissions. He believes prioritizing local manufacturing is more important.
  3. There's a belief that Trump's return to power could shift environmental policies significantly, possibly leading to a long-term impact on climate efforts and regulations. His supporters seem to back him partly due to discontent with current environmental strategies.
God's Spies by Thomas Neuburger 110 implied HN points 04 Dec 24
  1. Israeli drones are reportedly using recordings of crying children to trick Palestinians into coming out of hiding. This tactic has led to serious injuries and deaths when the drones then fire on them.
  2. A recent UN report highlights that a significant number of casualties from the Israeli assault in Gaza are women and children, with many of the victims being young kids.
  3. The actions being described are viewed by many as deeply immoral, and there is a strong sentiment that those who support or enable this violence are complicit in the harm done.
Phillips’s Newsletter 126 implied HN points 01 Dec 24
  1. Ukrainian President Zelensky suggested that Ukraine might consider giving up some territory in exchange for NATO membership. This could stop the current fighting but raises big legal questions about land ownership.
  2. There's some hope for Ukraine supporters with Trump's recent choice of Keith Kellogg as his Ukraine envoy. Kellogg is known for wanting to continue aid to Ukraine, but his overall influence may be limited.
  3. Ukraine has started limited attacks on Russian military targets. This may help them hold onto strategic areas, but it's still too early to tell how it will affect the conflict's direction.
Glenn’s Substack 1798 implied HN points 27 Sep 24
  1. The Nord Stream pipeline attack severed Europe's energy ties with Russia, leading to significant economic changes for both regions.
  2. Initially, the US and NATO blamed Russia for the attack, but later reports suggested that Ukraine might have been involved while evidence pointed to a possible US connection.
  3. As the narrative around the attack evolved, European nations began to turn against each other, showing tensions and doubts about their alliances.
The Honest Broker Newsletter 1207 implied HN points 11 Nov 24
  1. Energy policy shouldn't just be about undoing past actions. There needs to be a clear plan moving forward that addresses the future needs of the country.
  2. The new energy czar has a chance to shape America's energy policies in a positive direction. This involves creating a comprehensive energy plan that considers reliability and affordability.
  3. It's important to balance energy production with environmental concerns. Supporting cleaner energy technologies can help reduce emissions while also meeting economic goals.
Pieter’s Newsletter 259 implied HN points 28 Oct 24
  1. Israel's recent attack on Iran was smart and planned, aiming to weaken Iran's defenses without causing much harm to civilians.
  2. The attack has raised doubts about Iran's leadership and how they protect their citizens, leading to growing discontent among the Iranian people.
  3. The situation highlights a stark contrast between Israel's modern military and Iran's struggling forces, showing a potential for change in the region.
SemiAnalysis 10102 implied HN points 28 Oct 24
  1. Chinese companies, particularly Huawei, are successfully finding loopholes to avoid U.S. export controls on advanced semiconductor technology. This allows them to enhance their domestic chip production capabilities.
  2. The current U.S. sanctions have not significantly harmed Western wafer fabrication equipment suppliers; in fact, these companies have been thriving during the period of restrictions.
  3. Future U.S. export controls need to be stricter and updated regularly to effectively combat the evasion strategies used by Chinese firms, ensuring that national security interests are maintained.