The hottest Conflict Substack posts right now

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SITREP 10/28/24: Russia Unleashes Lightning Advances in South as 'Red Scare' Hits Fever Pitch

Simplicius's Garden of Knowledge • 13388 implied HN points • 29 Oct 24
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics Military International relations Conflict
  1. The situation in Ukraine is escalating with new claims of North Korean troop involvement, but there are doubts about the validity of these reports. It seems like a way to either justify war actions or divert attention from failures.
  2. Russian forces are making significant territorial gains in the south, suggesting they are currently in a strong position. This pressures Ukraine to maintain its last strongholds and potentially call for more foreign assistance.
  3. The European and American media narratives seem increasingly disconnected from reality. There are worries that misinformation and exaggerated claims are leading to misunderstanding and escalation of the conflict.

Kiel Institute Report on Ukraine War Manufacturing: A Deep Dive

Simplicius's Garden of Knowledge • 8572 implied HN points • 22 Oct 24
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics Military Defense International relations Conflict
  1. Russia's military production is increasing rapidly, even surpassing the losses they faced in Ukraine. This means they are becoming stronger despite the conflict.
  2. Ukraine's air defense is not as effective as reported, with lower interception rates than the government claims. This highlights a gap between what is being communicated and the reality on the ground.
  3. Germany's military capabilities are struggling to keep up, and in some areas, they are declining. They would need up to 100 years to rebuild their military stockpiles to past levels, in stark contrast to Russia's quick production capabilities.

The Long Shadow of Nakba – Part 2

Heterodox STEM • 163 implied HN points • 24 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Middle East Conflict Political Identity Debate
  1. The Nakba has affected scientific communities and education by promoting self-censorship and political influences, which can hinder rational debate and progress.
  2. The main issue for Palestinians in achieving statehood lies in their insistence on Israel losing its state, rather than just fighting for their own identity and rights.
  3. Many phrases related to the conflict carry different meanings than they seem to suggest, often masking deeper political agendas or historical inaccuracies.

Links to Consider, 11/6/2024

In My Tribe • 258 implied HN points • 06 Nov 24
🎭️ Culture Parenting Technology Conflict History Art
  1. Artificial intelligence can help humans communicate better with computers, but using it to interact with fake people may not achieve much. We still need to be careful in how we approach these technologies.
  2. Conflicts usually have deeper issues behind them, such as need for respect or control. Understanding this can help resolve disputes more effectively.
  3. Being a 'good enough' parent is more about feeling confident and calm. It's okay to have a relaxed view of parenting rather than striving for perfection.

Organized Oblivion

The Chris Hedges Report • 392 implied HN points • 18 Nov 24
🌍 World Politics Conflict Genocide Memory Cultural Identity
  1. The people of Gaza are facing destruction and will struggle to preserve their memories, similar to survivors of past genocides. They will create memoirs, maps, and stories to keep their history alive.
  2. Forgetfulness can lead to the loss of identity and culture, especially after traumatic events like genocide. Remembering the past is essential to understand who we are and protect our heritage.
  3. The erasure of places and people, like the fate of the Armenian community, shows the harsh reality of genocide. We must remember and fight against oblivion to honor those who suffered and to keep their stories alive.
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Can Trump do a deal with Iran?

Comment is Freed • 63 implied HN points • 27 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Diplomacy Middle East Conflict Government Elections
  1. A ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah offers a chance for better relations in the Middle East. This could lead to discussions about Gaza and possibly Israel recognizing Saudi Arabia.
  2. There is a possibility of talks between the U.S. and Iran, especially if Trump can position himself as a deal-maker. However, the complex history and current tensions make this challenging.
  3. Trump's approach to the Palestinian situation might not align with desires for full Palestinian rights. Normalizing relations with Saudi Arabia and Israel could depend on addressing these concerns.

A Nuclear War in Ukraine Is a Distinct Possibility

Glenn’s Substack • 1278 implied HN points • 23 Sep 24
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics Conflict Nuclear Issues International relations
  1. NATO's involvement in Ukraine has escalated tensions and contributed to the conflict. This involvement is seen as a major factor in Russia's decision to invade Ukraine.
  2. There were opportunities for peace that were sabotaged by Western leaders, showing that the conflict has become a proxy war. This raises concerns that Ukraine is being used as a tool in a larger geopolitical struggle.
  3. The situation risks escalating to a nuclear war as Russia views NATO's presence as an existential threat. The current standoff is very dangerous, and many feel it could lead to severe consequences.

The Air In Gaza Smells Like Corpses

Caitlin’s Newsletter • 1606 implied HN points • 08 Nov 24
🌍 World Politics Middle East Conflict Human Rights International relations News
  1. Gaza has a strong smell of death from the destruction and loss of life happening there. This image is powerful and haunting.
  2. The suffering in Gaza is connected to the wider state of the world, where we cannot escape the pain and consequences of war.
  3. Even as we try to move on in our daily lives, the horrors happening in places like Gaza stick with us, shaping our thoughts and feelings.

The Saturday Read: Blasted skylines

The Saturday Read • 459 implied HN points • 19 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Middle East Conflict Leadership International relations Human Rights
  1. Yahya Sinwar, the leader of Hamas, was killed by Israeli forces, highlighting ongoing violence in Gaza. His death might temporarily limit the threat from Hamas, but deep issues remain unresolved for both sides.
  2. A kibbutz resident expressed that after recent violence, his focus has shifted solely to protecting his own family rather than helping those in Gaza. This shows the intense personal strife and survival mindset amidst conflict.
  3. The region faces a complex situation where even after Sinwar's death, the future remains uncertain. It raises concerns about possible retaliation and the rebuilding of Gaza, which has suffered immense destruction.

The Assad Regime has failed

Theory Matters • 3 implied HN points • 01 Dec 24
🌍 World Politics Middle East Governance Geopolitics Conflict Sovereignty
  1. The Assad regime in Syria is losing control and authority. It relies heavily on foreign support from countries like Iran and Russia and hasn't regained full control of the country since the conflict started.
  2. The regime's tactics have led to a rise in extremist groups, which they initially released to undermine the rebellion. This strategy backfired and contributed to the ongoing violence and chaos.
  3. Despite appearances of strength, the Assad regime is weakening internally. It struggles to maintain power and legitimacy, leaving its future uncertain as it faces mounting challenges from within and outside.

The Increase in Ukrainian Casualties

Glenn’s Substack • 1378 implied HN points • 04 Sep 24
🌍 World Politics Conflict Diplomacy Military Strategy
  1. Ukrainian military losses are rising, which is common as wars reach their final stages. When a side is losing, they often struggle with resources, morale, and communication.
  2. The situation in Ukraine is worsening with fewer troops and equipment. As their frontlines weaken, many soldiers are defecting or surrendering, leading to a chaotic military environment.
  3. NATO faces difficult choices in response to the war. There's growing pressure to either negotiate peace or increase involvement, while the risk of a direct conflict with Russia looms large.

Germany and the EU Abandon Reason and Risk Collapse

Glenn’s Substack • 839 implied HN points • 09 Sep 24
🌍 World Politics Europe Ukraine NATO Diplomacy Conflict
  1. Germany and the EU need to rethink their approach to the Ukraine crisis or they might end up in serious trouble together. Changes are necessary to avoid breaking apart.
  2. Some experts believe NATO made mistakes that helped to spark the Ukraine war and that these mistakes are causing more issues for Europe now.
  3. There's growing concern about political violence and less freedom of speech in Germany. New political movements are also rising, which the current government does not approve of.

Weapons of War

backstory • 436 implied HN points • 19 Oct 24
🌍 World Politics Conflict Human Rights History Geopolitics
  1. Weapons can change hands in unexpected ways, often fueling conflicts between different tribes. For example, in Darfur, weapons once belonging to defeated forces became tools in local disputes over land.
  2. Modern conflicts can see the rise of brutal paramilitary groups that use advanced weaponry against civilians. Groups like the Rapid Support Force in Sudan highlight how everyday weapons can cause immense suffering.
  3. Despite the violence associated with weapons, there’s still hope for humanity and creativity. In the search for puppets, there's a desire to remember that people can create beauty even amidst chaos.

Western leftists have lost the plot

Noahpinion • 67295 implied HN points • 10 Oct 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics International Ideology Leaders Conflict
  1. Western leftists have shown support for violent actions that are considered inhumane, such as massacres.
  2. The Western leftist movement's support for violent actions has led to a lack of moral consistency and compassion.
  3. The Palestinian cause has become central to the Western leftist movement, but recent events have caused division and moral disgust.

The Dangerous Obsession with Territory in a War of Attrition

Glenn’s Substack • 1418 implied HN points • 20 Aug 24
🌍 World Politics Conflict Diplomacy Military Geopolitics
  1. In a war of attrition, the goal is to wear down the enemy, not just take land. Taking territory requires a lot of resources and can be costly.
  2. Territorial gains often get celebrated, but they’re not always strategic. Advancing too far can harm supply lines and weaken defenses.
  3. There's pressure in the West to support any gains by Ukraine, which complicates discussions about effective strategies. Sometimes, focusing on PR can overshadow the real military needs.

The Saturday Read: A furious year

The Saturday Read • 419 implied HN points • 05 Oct 24
🌍 World Politics Middle East Conflict International relations Geopolitics History
  1. The Middle East is facing ongoing violence and conflict, especially after significant events like the Hamas attack on Israel. Many believe lasting peace will require changes in Iran.
  2. There is no single 'Catholic vote' in American politics; Catholics often have diverse views that don't fit neatly into either party. This means candidates should engage with Catholic voters carefully.
  3. Green Day's album 'American Idiot' had a powerful impact by encouraging youth to oppose George W. Bush. Its fun style helped spread a serious political message.

God Save Us

Disaffected Newsletter • 2877 implied HN points • 13 Jul 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Rhetoric Civil Rights Social Issues Conflict
  1. Some people are very concerned about the actions and beliefs of those on the left, feeling that they pose a real threat. It’s important to be aware and cautious about who you trust among friends and family.
  2. There is a belief that the situation could escalate to serious conflict, possibly a civil war, and some are preparing to defend themselves. Being ready is viewed as a priority by some.
  3. It’s suggested to put distance between yourself and those who hold opposing views, as they might not have your best interests at heart. Staying safe means creating boundaries with certain people.

Weekend Update #107: Some Leaders Wants to Tell Ukraine What Peace Means for Ukraine

Phillips’s Newsletter • 147 implied HN points • 17 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Foreign Policy Elections Negotiations Leadership Conflict
  1. Some leaders are trying to negotiate peace for Ukraine without actually involving Ukrainians. This approach can weaken Ukraine's position and undermine their needs.
  2. There are three types of people in Trump's potential cabinet regarding Ukraine: those who support it, those who have flipped to anti-Ukraine views, and those who have always opposed it. This could affect future U.S. support for Ukraine.
  3. Russia's economy is struggling and might face more problems in 2025. If Ukraine stays supported by its allies, it could win the war, but it will need that help to get through.

How to understand the politics of Israel and Palestine?

Robert Reich • 16254 implied HN points • 04 Feb 24
🌍 World Politics Israel Palestine Conflict History Education
  1. Organizing for difficult subjects in universities is essential to foster open dialogue and avoid polarization.
  2. Collaborative teaching with diverse perspectives can create a more enriching and open-minded learning environment for students.
  3. Approaching the conflict between Israel and Palestine with a sense of tragedy can help students understand the complexity and motivations behind the narratives of both sides.

Point of No Return in Middle East & Ukraine

Glenn’s Substack • 519 implied HN points • 30 Aug 24
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics Diplomacy Conflict International relations Military Affairs
  1. Both Israel and Ukraine are in conflicts they can't win and are escalating their actions instead of seeking peace. This makes the situation more dangerous.
  2. The countries are trying to involve the US more deeply in their wars, hoping that American support will change their fortunes.
  3. There is a lack of serious discussions or diplomatic efforts to address the escalating tensions, which could lead to a wider conflict.

Are We Inching toward World War III?

Nonzero Newsletter • 395 implied HN points • 25 Oct 24
🌍 World Politics Conflict International relations Military Strategy Geopolitics Foreign Policy
  1. North Korean troops are now involved in the Ukraine war on Russia's side. This could increase tensions and lead to wider conflict if other countries respond.
  2. A new AI development allows chatbots to interact with computers like humans, but it's still not perfect. This could change how we use AI in everyday tasks.
  3. Kamala Harris is getting support from former congresswoman Liz Cheney, raising questions about her foreign policy direction. This might upset some progressive voters.

FORCE EVACUATION AND SMASH THE CAMPS

Seymour Hersh • 44 implied HN points • 20 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Foreign Policy Civil Rights Government Conflict International relations
  1. Israel is pushing many people from the north of Gaza to the south while bombing continues. This has led to a big crisis for those who can't leave.
  2. There are plans for more control over Gaza and the West Bank, with a strong push from Israel's religious right. They want to change the situation to eliminate the idea of a two-state solution.
  3. Violence against Arab communities in the West Bank is increasing, making daily life very difficult for many families there.

Genocide as Colonial Erasure (w/ Francesca Albanese) | The Chris Hedges Report

The Chris Hedges Report • 161 implied HN points • 29 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Human Rights International Law Conflict Colonialism Media influence
  1. Genocide is recognized as a process, and many actions taken against the Palestinian people, including mass killings and forced displacement, indicate a systematic effort to destroy them as a group.
  2. The situation in both Gaza and the West Bank shows a deteriorating humanitarian crisis, with conditions worsening and acts of violence against Palestinians increasing significantly over time.
  3. International responses, including arms embargos and legal actions, are crucial to address ongoing violence and prevent further genocide; the failure to halt these actions raises concerns about global accountability and respect for human rights.

Middle East Mayhem

Diane Francis • 719 implied HN points • 08 Aug 24
🌍 World Politics Middle East International relations Conflict Security Diplomacy
  1. There is concern that a regional war in the Middle East is actually already happening. Israel's actions have sparked wider conflict and retaliation is expected.
  2. The situation is escalating with more U.S. military presence and attacks on American soldiers in Iraq. Countries are advising their citizens to leave the area as tensions rise.
  3. Many people are leaving Israel, with reports saying nearly half a million have departed. This ongoing conflict has become more complex than just battles in Gaza and Lebanon.

CIA, Ukraine Exchange Pre-Divorce Propaganda

TK News by Matt Taibbi • 8743 implied HN points • 27 Feb 24
🌍 World Politics Espionage International relations Conflict
  1. The New York Times exposé revealed extensive details about the CIA-Ukraine relationship, including the presence of secret spy bases along the Russian border.
  2. Officials often emphasize the need to protect 'sources and methods' for national security, yet the Times published a wealth of detailed information about CIA operations.
  3. The public disclosure of such classified details raises questions about the future of the CIA-Ukraine alliance and the potential for a breakup.

Conflict Acceleration

Pieter’s Newsletter • 159 implied HN points • 03 Oct 24
🌍 World Politics Middle East Terrorism International relations Conflict Geopolitics
  1. Iran launched a missile attack against Israel, but it was mostly stopped, showing the reckless nature of their actions. The attack could've hit important places, highlighting the dangers in the region.
  2. There was a recent terrorist attack in Jaffa where seven Israelis were killed. This violence adds to the ongoing struggles and tensions, and it seems to strengthen Israel's resolve to fight back.
  3. Amid these dark events, there was a positive story of a victim from ISIS being rescued in Gaza. This offers hope that, despite the violence, there are people working for good and a chance for better days.

War of Attrition & War Propaganda

Glenn’s Substack • 619 implied HN points • 26 Jul 24
🌍 World Politics Conflict Diplomacy Propaganda Media Geopolitics
  1. In a war of attrition, defeating the enemy is more important than capturing land, but this can lead to heavy casualties and slow progress.
  2. The media often downplays the reality of casualties to maintain public support for the conflict, creating a false image of victory.
  3. Calls for peace and negotiations are often dismissed or punished, even though they could help save lives and end the fighting.

Moscow's Syria

Diane Francis • 1179 implied HN points • 20 Jun 24
🌍 World Politics International relations Conflict Military Strategy Terrorism Middle East
  1. Ukrainian forces, with help from Syrian rebels, recently attacked Russian mercenaries in Syria. This move aimed to stop Russia from building its military presence there.
  2. Syria has turned into a messy situation for Moscow, acting as a training ground for various militants. Russian involvement in Syria has escalated conflicts in other regions too.
  3. There is a shared enemy among Syrians, Ukrainians, and the West regarding Russian aggression. This common goal has sparked cooperation between these groups against Russia.

L’affaire Dokoupil: Is Ta-Nehisi Coates deeply ignorant, a bigoted antisemite, or both?

Carolina Curmudgeon • 59 implied HN points • 12 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Media Race Conflict Public Opinion Identity politics
  1. Ta-Nehisi Coates faced criticism for his views on Israel in a recent book, which some believe are biased and factually incorrect.
  2. Tony Dokoupil, the CBS host who questioned Coates, was admonished by CBS News, sparking a debate about media standards and questioning important figures.
  3. The discussion around Coates' statements raises concerns about the portrayal of Israel, with some arguing that he presents a one-sided narrative that ignores broader context.

Zelensky’s 'Victory Plan' is a sign of defeat

Aaron Mate • 200 implied HN points • 21 Oct 24
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics Conflict International relations Diplomacy Security
  1. Zelensky warned that some Western countries wanted a long war in Ukraine, even if it meant Ukraine could suffer severely.
  2. He chose to ignore this warning and sided with Western leaders who pushed for ongoing fighting instead of peace.
  3. Now, Zelensky seems to be facing the consequences of that choice, feeling abandoned by those same allies he listened to.

Special Anniversary Report: The Future of the SMO [Part 1]

Simplicius's Garden of Knowledge • 5195 implied HN points • 11 Feb 24
🌍 World Politics War Conflict Military Strategy
  1. The author has written over 1 million words in a year, equivalent to more than 10 novels, showing a high output of well-researched content.
  2. The report delves into Ukraine's potential to turn the conflict around and the strategies of the US and allies to catch up in the evolving modern battlefield.
  3. The author's previous articles on Russia's offensive strategies provide valuable insights into the current state of the conflict and future developments.

I was just given a lifetime ban from Instagram for thanking Yemen for trying to stop the genocide of Palestinians.

The North Star with Shaun King • 4676 implied HN points • 06 Feb 24
🌍 World Politics Human Rights Diplomacy Conflict Social media Censorship
  1. Shaun King was banned from Instagram for thanking Yemen for trying to stop the genocide of Palestinians.
  2. Meta's decision sets a dangerous precedent by deleting Shaun King's account and preventing any appeal.
  3. Shaun King stands by his support for Yemen and Palestine despite the unjust ban from Instagram.

The Death of Yahya Sinwar

Unpopular Front • 80 implied HN points • 18 Oct 24
🌍 World Politics Middle East Conflict Terrorism International relations Human Rights
  1. Yahya Sinwar's death has sparked mixed reactions, highlighting the ongoing cycle of violence in the region. While some celebrate his death, it won't bring lasting victory to Israel.
  2. Sinwar's legacy is marked by violence and suffering, particularly among the Palestinians he claimed to fight for. His methods often led to more harm than good for his people.
  3. The killing of Sinwar and others like him does not justify the widespread loss of innocent lives. It's crucial to remember that all individuals affected by this conflict have their own stories and humanity.

Bari Weiss: The Holiday from History Is Over

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 4196 implied HN points • 12 Mar 24
🌍 World Politics Israel Middle East Conflict War
  1. The ordinary citizens of Israel demonstrated remarkable heroism and courage during times of tragedy and conflict, embodying a spirit of resilience and sacrifice.
  2. The harrowing events of October 7 in Israel served as a wake-up call about the reality of war and the importance of defending a free society.
  3. The experience in Israel prompts reflection on the universal themes of courage, sacrifice, and readiness to defend one's home and values, posing important questions about individual and societal responses to crisis.