The Last Bear Standing

The Last Bear Standing offers comprehensive analysis on financial markets, focusing on Federal Reserve policies, liquidity issues, asset valuation, and the interplay of global economies. It delves into monetary policy impacts, banking sector dynamics, tech sector performance, and the role of transparency in financial stability, providing insights through economic data and market trends.

Federal Reserve Policies Liquidity and Banking Sector Asset Valuation and Market Trends Global Economic Dynamics Financial Regulations and Stability Monetary Policy and Inflation Tech Sector Analysis Transparency in Financial Systems

The hottest Substack posts of The Last Bear Standing

And their main takeaways

The Bear is Back!

89 implied HN points • 21 Apr 23
💰 Finance Economics Monetary Policy Markets Debt Ceiling
  1. The Last Bear Standing has been renewed for Season Two, with more insightful content on finance and economics.
  2. Season One of The Last Bear Standing made accurate predictions, demonstrating the writer's expertise in financial analysis.
  3. For Season Two, access will require a paid subscription priced at $200 annually or $20 per month.

Grading the Trade

101 implied HN points • 17 Feb 23
💰 Finance Monetary Policy Inflation
  1. Balancing risks and benefits involves trade-offs between conflicting goals.
  2. Monetary expansion during the pandemic led to rapid growth but also increased inflation.
  3. The decision to stimulate demand has resulted in inflation battles and uncertainty about future economic stability.

Re-Funding the Treasury

68 implied HN points • 02 Jun 23
💰 Finance Market Liquidity
  1. The U.S. Treasury has financial strategies in place to address debt ceiling concerns and maintain market liquidity.
  2. The Treasury plans to issue new debt to refill its Treasury General Account (TGA) and may impact bank reserves depending on funding sources.
  3. There is caution regarding the effectiveness of the plan as Treasury auctions are not selective, and market liquidity concerns persist despite RRP usage.

Banking on Pressure

70 implied HN points • 12 May 23
💰 Finance Banking Policy Liquidity Deposits
  1. Both cash liquidity and solvency are crucial for banks. If customers or investors worry about either, they may withdraw funds or sell stock.
  2. Bank liquidity has been fluctuating, impacted by events like the pandemic and quantitative easing/tightening, leading to concerns about insolvency and the need for temporary borrowings.
  3. Deposit fluctuations in banks are tied to the Federal Reserve's actions like quantitative easing and tightening, with large banks experiencing the fastest decline in deposits.