The hottest Markets Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top Finance Topics
Doomberg • 7754 implied HN points • 20 Feb 24
  1. The human need for energy continues to grow despite various historical crises and catastrophes.
  2. Energy is not just an input into the economy but is actually the foundation of the economy itself.
  3. The idea of peak cheap oil being a crisis is challenged, with the belief that humanity would adapt swiftly to any temporary constraints in energy availability.
Doomberg • 5751 implied HN points • 25 Feb 24
  1. Modern economic systems struggle to account for environmental costs, leading to government interventions and frustrations among capitalists and landowners.
  2. The global focus on carbon emissions has led to the rise of carbon counting professionals, but many argue their value is limited.
  3. A proposal to create Natural Asset Companies (NACs) faced controversy when seeking to put a market price on nature, highlighting potential unintended consequences and opposition.
Richard Hanania's Newsletter • 2487 implied HN points • 15 Jan 24
  1. Anti-woke sentiments can be divided into those focused on discrimination and those on government interference with markets.
  2. Market forces and incentives help maintain safety standards in industries like aviation, outweighing concerns over diversity initiatives.
  3. Regulations unrelated to diversity issues, like arbitrary training standards, can sometimes have more tangible and negative impacts on industries than DEI policies.
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Astral Codex Ten • 6056 implied HN points • 01 Aug 23
  1. CFTC's regulation on prediction markets sparks debate about potential rigging of US elections
  2. There is curiosity and activity in predicting the possibility of a room temperature superconductor
  3. PredictIt faces legal challenges but gets a stay of execution, highlighting the complexities in regulating real-money prediction markets
Points And Figures • 666 implied HN points • 13 Feb 24
  1. Inflation might be higher than reported due to isolated evidence like price increases in certain sectors.
  2. The government's policies are putting strong inflationary pressure on the economy, impacting various sectors and housing market.
  3. Business news sources may have biases and push narratives, so it's important to seek objective insights for informed decisions.
The Dollar Endgame • 399 implied HN points • 06 Mar 24
  1. Markets are anticipating increased liquidity injections from the Fed, with assets like Gold and Bitcoin hitting all-time highs even before the easing cycle starts.
  2. The surge in Bitcoin's value is attributed to significant inflows from U.S.-based Bitcoin ETFs, indicating a historic rally compared to gold ETFs.
  3. The financial markets are preparing for a potential Fed intervention, likely in response to the rising net liquidity despite the seeming balance sheet reductions.
Peter Navarro's Taking Back Trump's America • 884 implied HN points • 12 Jan 24
  1. The S&P 500 continues to rise despite bad news like inflation and unemployment.
  2. Big tech billionaires are heavily investing in AI that may impact the job market and lead to technological warfare.
  3. Geopolitical tensions, including the possibility of war in the Middle East, are influencing the market's stability.
Points And Figures • 426 implied HN points • 27 Feb 24
  1. Interest rate futures, including SOFR and Fed Funds, are indicating market expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve by the end of the year.
  2. The author predicts that the Federal Reserve will not lower rates in 2024 due to concerns about inflation and unemployment.
  3. Considering predictions about the Fed and interest rates, strategies like buying real estate without waiting for lower rates, buying out-of-the-money puts, and playing butterfly spreads are suggested.
Asian Century Stocks • 805 implied HN points • 10 Jan 24
  1. Cocoa prices have spiked due to poor crops in West Africa, leading to challenges for chocolate producers.
  2. The tightness in the cocoa market is expected to persist, but historically, markets tend to return to balance within three years.
  3. High cocoa prices impact processors and chocolate manufacturers, who eventually pass on costs to consumers over approximately two years.
Asian Century Stocks • 471 implied HN points • 11 Feb 24
  1. Investor sentiment in Hong Kong is currently negative, but the perception of the city changing or dying may be misplaced due to its advantages like low taxes, currency stability, and efficient infrastructure.
  2. Despite economic struggles in China, Hong Kong's economy is recovering with tourist returns, retail sales growth, and positive net migration, with potential for lower interest rates in the future.
  3. Hong Kong remains vital in Asia, benefiting from low taxes, reliable legal system, and financial hub status, even amidst challenges like interest rate impact and risks from geopolitics and National Security Law.
Invariant • 609 implied HN points • 21 Jan 24
  1. Analyzing investments should involve a holistic reflection and critical thinking.
  2. Consider the importance of probability and odds in decision-making.
  3. Recognize that in financial markets, competition influences opportunity and the importance of value over price.
chamathreads • 452 implied HN points • 06 Feb 24
  1. The meetup is private and focuses on discussing technology, markets, and global trends in the Bay Area.
  2. Chamath Palihapitiya has written deep dives on Energy Transition and AI and plans to cover U.S. healthcare next.
  3. The meetup is for paid subscribers who are part of the community of lifelong learners on Learn With Me.
The Dollar Endgame • 339 implied HN points • 19 Feb 24
  1. A controversial blogger in 1997 exposed a hidden gold-for-oil deal that impacted global geopolitics.
  2. Gold prices might have been suppressed to maintain the international monetary system's stability.
  3. The delicate balance between gold, oil, and currencies has historical roots and holds the power to disrupt financial systems.
Concoda • 286 implied HN points • 20 Feb 24
  1. Dollar liquidity remains high with low failures to deliver, stable bond volatility, tight dealer repo spreads, and tightening cross-currency bases
  2. Changes in the Fed's rescue mechanism are upcoming, as discussed in a recent post by Concoda
  3. Exploration of the transformation in the repo market and its potential impact on other dollar markets
Snowball • 314 implied HN points • 11 Feb 24
  1. Sprouts Farmer Market, an American supermarket chain focusing on healthy products, saw its stock increase by over 250% in 3 years due to a new CEO's strategy.
  2. Artificial intelligence has the potential to disrupt consumer behavior and economies, as explored through a study by the investment fund a16z.
  3. Events like the Super Bowl can indicate economic trends and provide insights into the financial health of companies through their marketing spend.
Digest // Storefronts of Bangkok • 79 implied HN points • 09 Apr 24
  1. Plenty of exciting activities to enjoy during the Songkran holiday in Bangkok, from cultural workshops to food tours and day trips to attractions.
  2. Experience breathtaking views and adventure at the Mahanakhon Skywalk in Bangkok for a memorable experience at 314 meters above the city.
  3. Embark on tours like the Tuk Tuk Tour in Chinatown or visit markets like Damnoen Saduak and Maeklong Railway Market for an immersive cultural experience in Thailand.