The hottest Markets Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top Finance Topics

Atlas Won’t Shrug

Doomberg • 7754 implied HN points • 20 Feb 24
💰 Finance Energy Commodities Economics Markets Policy
  1. The human need for energy continues to grow despite various historical crises and catastrophes.
  2. Energy is not just an input into the economy but is actually the foundation of the economy itself.
  3. The idea of peak cheap oil being a crisis is challenged, with the belief that humanity would adapt swiftly to any temporary constraints in energy availability.

Measurement Army

Doomberg • 5751 implied HN points • 25 Feb 24
💰 Finance Environmental Investment Regulation Markets Economy
  1. Modern economic systems struggle to account for environmental costs, leading to government interventions and frustrations among capitalists and landowners.
  2. The global focus on carbon emissions has led to the rise of carbon counting professionals, but many argue their value is limited.
  3. A proposal to create Natural Asset Companies (NACs) faced controversy when seeking to put a market price on nature, highlighting potential unintended consequences and opposition.

Why Technocapitalism is Stronger than DEI

Richard Hanania's Newsletter • 2487 implied HN points • 15 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics DEI Markets Labor Unions Government regulations Economic Policies
  1. Anti-woke sentiments can be divided into those focused on discrimination and those on government interference with markets.
  2. Market forces and incentives help maintain safety standards in industries like aviation, outweighing concerns over diversity initiatives.
  3. Regulations unrelated to diversity issues, like arbitrary training standards, can sometimes have more tangible and negative impacts on industries than DEI policies.

💦 Exciting Activities to Enjoy During the Songkran Holiday

Digest // Storefronts of Bangkok • 79 implied HN points • 09 Apr 24
🏝 Travel Activities Sightseeing Markets History
  1. Plenty of exciting activities to enjoy during the Songkran holiday in Bangkok, from cultural workshops to food tours and day trips to attractions.
  2. Experience breathtaking views and adventure at the Mahanakhon Skywalk in Bangkok for a memorable experience at 314 meters above the city.
  3. Embark on tours like the Tuk Tuk Tour in Chinatown or visit markets like Damnoen Saduak and Maeklong Railway Market for an immersive cultural experience in Thailand.
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QE is Coming

The Dollar Endgame • 399 implied HN points • 06 Mar 24
💰 Finance Markets Bitcoin Gold Inflation Central Bank
  1. Markets are anticipating increased liquidity injections from the Fed, with assets like Gold and Bitcoin hitting all-time highs even before the easing cycle starts.
  2. The surge in Bitcoin's value is attributed to significant inflows from U.S.-based Bitcoin ETFs, indicating a historic rally compared to gold ETFs.
  3. The financial markets are preparing for a potential Fed intervention, likely in response to the rising net liquidity despite the seeming balance sheet reductions.

CPI 3.1%

Points And Figures • 666 implied HN points • 13 Feb 24
💰 Finance Markets Inflation Investing Policy Economics
  1. Inflation might be higher than reported due to isolated evidence like price increases in certain sectors.
  2. The government's policies are putting strong inflationary pressure on the economy, impacting various sectors and housing market.
  3. Business news sources may have biases and push narratives, so it's important to seek objective insights for informed decisions.

Fighting The Fed

Points And Figures • 426 implied HN points • 27 Feb 24
💰 Finance Markets Investing Economics Trading Banking
  1. Interest rate futures, including SOFR and Fed Funds, are indicating market expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve by the end of the year.
  2. The author predicts that the Federal Reserve will not lower rates in 2024 due to concerns about inflation and unemployment.
  3. Considering predictions about the Fed and interest rates, strategies like buying real estate without waiting for lower rates, buying out-of-the-money puts, and playing butterfly spreads are suggested.

Mantic Monday 7/31/23: Room Temperature Superforecaster

Astral Codex Ten • 6056 implied HN points • 01 Aug 23
🕹 Technology Markets Predictions Regulations Cryptocurrency
  1. CFTC's regulation on prediction markets sparks debate about potential rigging of US elections
  2. There is curiosity and activity in predicting the possibility of a room temperature superconductor
  3. PredictIt faces legal challenges but gets a stay of execution, highlighting the complexities in regulating real-money prediction markets

A Sugar AI High Shrugs Off Bad Market News

Peter Navarro's Taking Back Trump's America • 884 implied HN points • 12 Jan 24
💰 Finance Markets Investments Economy Interest Rates Geopolitics
  1. The S&P 500 continues to rise despite bad news like inflation and unemployment.
  2. Big tech billionaires are heavily investing in AI that may impact the job market and lead to technological warfare.
  3. Geopolitical tensions, including the possibility of war in the Middle East, are influencing the market's stability.

Hong Kong's death has been exaggerated

Asian Century Stocks • 471 implied HN points • 11 Feb 24
💰 Finance Investing Economy Markets Taxation Companies
  1. Investor sentiment in Hong Kong is currently negative, but the perception of the city changing or dying may be misplaced due to its advantages like low taxes, currency stability, and efficient infrastructure.
  2. Despite economic struggles in China, Hong Kong's economy is recovering with tourist returns, retail sales growth, and positive net migration, with potential for lower interest rates in the future.
  3. Hong Kong remains vital in Asia, benefiting from low taxes, reliable legal system, and financial hub status, even amidst challenges like interest rate impact and risks from geopolitics and National Security Law.

The cocoa question

Asian Century Stocks • 805 implied HN points • 10 Jan 24
💰 Finance Commodities Markets Stocks Economics Supply Chain
  1. Cocoa prices have spiked due to poor crops in West Africa, leading to challenges for chocolate producers.
  2. The tightness in the cocoa market is expected to persist, but historically, markets tend to return to balance within three years.
  3. High cocoa prices impact processors and chocolate manufacturers, who eventually pass on costs to consumers over approximately two years.

ANOTHER: The Inside Gold-For-Oil Deal That Could Rock The World's Financial Centers

The Dollar Endgame • 339 implied HN points • 19 Feb 24
💰 Finance Economics Markets Geopolitics Gold Monetary System
  1. A controversial blogger in 1997 exposed a hidden gold-for-oil deal that impacted global geopolitics.
  2. Gold prices might have been suppressed to maintain the international monetary system's stability.
  3. The delicate balance between gold, oil, and currencies has historical roots and holds the power to disrupt financial systems.

Community Meetup

chamathreads • 452 implied HN points • 06 Feb 24
💼 Business Technology Markets Community Education
  1. The meetup is private and focuses on discussing technology, markets, and global trends in the Bay Area.
  2. Chamath Palihapitiya has written deep dives on Energy Transition and AI and plans to cover U.S. healthcare next.
  3. The meetup is for paid subscribers who are part of the community of lifelong learners on Learn With Me.

On Track

Invariant • 609 implied HN points • 21 Jan 24
💰 Finance Investing Stocks Analysis Markets Value
  1. Analyzing investments should involve a holistic reflection and critical thinking.
  2. Consider the importance of probability and odds in decision-making.
  3. Recognize that in financial markets, competition influences opportunity and the importance of value over price.

Money Market Update

Concoda • 286 implied HN points • 20 Feb 24
💰 Finance Markets Investing Banking Economics Money
  1. Dollar liquidity remains high with low failures to deliver, stable bond volatility, tight dealer repo spreads, and tightening cross-currency bases
  2. Changes in the Fed's rescue mechanism are upcoming, as discussed in a recent post by Concoda
  3. Exploration of the transformation in the repo market and its potential impact on other dollar markets

Daily Chartbook #392

Daily Chartbook • 209 implied HN points • 01 Mar 24
💰 Finance Economics Markets Investing Stocks
  1. Daily Chartbook provides a daily summary with 30 charts for subscribers to catch up on the day.
  2. The content of this post is for paid subscribers only, sign in or subscribe to access.
  3. Access to the Daily Chartbook is available through subscription on their website.

❄️🔮 +250 % pour cette action / Comment l'IA va bouleverser nos économies

Snowball • 314 implied HN points • 11 Feb 24
💰 Finance Markets Investment Economy Cryptocurrency
  1. Sprouts Farmer Market, an American supermarket chain focusing on healthy products, saw its stock increase by over 250% in 3 years due to a new CEO's strategy.
  2. Artificial intelligence has the potential to disrupt consumer behavior and economies, as explored through a study by the investment fund a16z.
  3. Events like the Super Bowl can indicate economic trends and provide insights into the financial health of companies through their marketing spend.

Daily Chartbook #393

Daily Chartbook • 183 implied HN points • 02 Mar 24
💰 Finance Investing Markets Data Analysis
  1. Daily Chartbook provides 30 charts to summarize the day's events for paid subscribers.
  2. The content on Daily Chartbook can be accessed through a subscription link on their website.
  3. To view specific posts on Daily Chartbook, individuals need to be paid subscribers.

Asian Financial Crisis Redux

The Dollar Endgame • 199 implied HN points • 21 Feb 24
💰 Finance Markets Economy Policy Banking
  1. The Chinese yuan is weakening, reaching its lowest level against the dollar in a while. China taking measures like reducing the five-year loan prime rate to stimulate credit demand and revive the property market.
  2. Economists were surprised by the significant decrease in the reference rate by China, indicating the most substantial cut since its introduction in 2019. China is facing challenges from a property crisis, falling consumer confidence, and increasing deflationary pressures.
  3. China's central bank has been injecting liquidity into the financial system consistently through measures like reducing the reserve-requirement ratio for lenders and implementing regulations to support the yuan. The recent net injection of 1 billion yuan aims to maintain balanced liquidity post the Lunar New Year holiday.