The hottest Banking Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top Finance Topics
The Last Bear Standing β€’ 32 implied HN points β€’ 14 Feb 25
  1. The Federal Reserve's balance sheet reduction is mostly just moving money around rather than actually reducing the money supply. This means the impact on inflation might not be as significant as it seems.
  2. The Reverse Repo Facility, which helps maintain liquidity in financial markets, is running low. As it decreases, there could be less stability in short-term funding.
  3. While some people say the situation is either a disaster or not a problem at all, it's more complex. We might see tighter banking conditions and more market volatility as the Fed continues its quantitative tightening efforts.
In My Tribe β€’ 486 implied HN points β€’ 29 May 25
  1. Macroeconomics often treats the economy like a simple factory that can be controlled centrally, but the reality is much more complex with many different goods and services. It's not just about one measure like GDP.
  2. Many economics students learn about macro without understanding the important role banks play in the economy. Banks help manage risks and their crises can lead to major economic downturns.
  3. Macroeconomic theories are often presented as timeless, but they should consider historical changes and events that shape the economy. Each economic crisis is unique and influenced by different circumstances over time.
Fintech Business Weekly β€’ 52 implied HN points β€’ 16 Feb 25
  1. Varo Bank is facing challenges as its founder and CEO Colin Walsh steps down. New CEO Gavin Michael has a tough job ahead with the company still not profitable.
  2. Despite some improvements in revenue and customer growth, Varo's net losses remain significant, with $65 million lost last year. It needs to boost its deposits and customer engagement.
  3. The financial regulatory landscape is changing with new appointments, including Jonathan McKernan resigning from the FDIC and being nominated to lead the CFPB. This could impact how financial services are managed going forward.
Concoda β€’ 221 implied HN points β€’ 02 Jun 25
  1. The money market is moving from a period of cash abundance to more careful funding conditions. This could affect how money flows in the next few months.
  2. A big change is expected once the debt limit is resolved, which could lead to a surge in bills. This might reduce the reserves banks have available.
  3. Foreign investors may be less interested in U.S. Treasury securities because other local bonds offer better returns. This could impact future U.S. debt sales.
In My Tribe β€’ 212 implied HN points β€’ 02 Jun 25
  1. Closing the FCC could be beneficial, as it often invents new reasons to exist. Some of its functions could be better managed by other government departments.
  2. Trump's idea to make Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae public while keeping government guarantees could lead to problems. This could mean private companies profit while taxpayers take on the risks.
  3. There's some hope in the economy as service costs are stabilizing, suggesting capitalism might be doing better than thought. This could mean a brighter future for the middle class.
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Fintech Business Weekly β€’ 89 implied HN points β€’ 09 Feb 25
  1. Debanking is becoming a major topic, especially around the access of crypto companies to traditional banking. This issue has been fueled by public statements from influential figures like Marc Andreessen.
  2. There are claims of political bias in banking, particularly against conservative individuals and businesses. Some people argue that banks are closing accounts for political or ideological reasons, though banks deny this.
  3. Both Republicans and Democrats recognize debanking as a significant problem, but they have different views on its causes and solutions. Democrats are pushing for protections against unfair account closures, while Republicans want legislation to ensure fair access to banking.
Chartbook β€’ 300 implied HN points β€’ 17 Jan 25
  1. Primary dealers in finance are facing tough times managing a huge amount of government debt, which is pushing $50 trillion. This could change how they operate and their importance on Wall Street.
  2. There is a growing trend of people trading traditional currency for Bitcoin, indicating a shift in how we think about money. This could lead to big changes in the financial landscape.
  3. The concept of a 'nightmare underground' suggests that there are hidden issues or challenges in the financial world that need to be addressed. Recognizing these problems is essential for understanding the bigger picture.
The Bear Cave β€’ 443 implied HN points β€’ 02 Jan 25
  1. Sezzle is a payment platform that allows customers to buy now and pay later, but there are concerns about its roles in facilitating fraud and illegal businesses.
  2. Some online pharmacies using Sezzle have been found to sell unapproved or counterfeit drugs, leading to consumer complaints about quality and delivery issues.
  3. Regulatory actions against companies like Google and past illegal activities show the serious risks and penalties involved in dealing with rogue online pharmacies.
CalculatedRisk Newsletter β€’ 57 implied HN points β€’ 13 Feb 25
  1. Mortgage originations are showing different credit scores now compared to the bubble years from 2003 to 2006. This means people with lower credit scores are getting mortgages now.
  2. Delinquencies on mortgages are increasing, which means more people are having trouble making their payments on time.
  3. Foreclosures are still low, which is good news as it suggests that despite the rising delinquencies, people are not losing their homes at a high rate.
The Dossier β€’ 311 implied HN points β€’ 09 Jan 25
  1. BlackRock and several major U.S. banks have left the Net-Zero Banking Alliance. This signals a shift away from the previous focus on climate-focused banking practices.
  2. The Net-Zero Banking Alliance aimed to reduce carbon emissions and support climate initiatives. Some believe these goals may have hurt economic growth and innovation.
  3. The victory of President Trump is seen as a factor in the collapse of the ESG banking agenda. This change could allow for more freedom in the American economy from international influences.
Fintech Business Weekly β€’ 66 implied HN points β€’ 02 Feb 25
  1. Evolve Bank & Trust has faced serious legal issues, including accusations of illegal discrimination and failing to meet fiduciary responsibilities. This has raised concerns about their trustworthiness.
  2. The middleware platform Solid is shutting down, and its bank partner, Lewis & Clark, is also exiting its banking-as-a-service business. This indicates a tough environment for fintech companies.
  3. Wise has reached a settlement with the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau for advertising inaccuracies and failing to disclose fees properly. This highlights ongoing scrutiny in the fintech sector regarding consumer protection.
Noahpinion β€’ 11588 implied HN points β€’ 02 Mar 24
  1. Traditional banks aren't willing to take on the risks associated with financing small real estate development projects due to the complex and risky nature of construction work.
  2. Small developers struggle to access financing from traditional lenders because they lack the track record and financial resources required to secure loans, creating a barrier to entry in the industry.
  3. Institutionalization of real estate development by large firms can lead to a loss of community identity, charm, and personalized building designs, highlighting the importance of supporting small developers in creating unique and vibrant neighborhoods.
Klement on Investing β€’ 1 implied HN point β€’ 20 Feb 25
  1. Banks now have to keep more money in reserve, which helps prevent risky behavior and protects the economy. This rule came after the 2008 financial crisis.
  2. Even though higher capital requirements may lower banks' profits, they do not slow down overall economic growth. The economy remains stable without large drops in growth.
  3. Overall, increased capital requirements reduce the chances of serious economic downturns, which is a big win for financial stability. It seems like this regulation is working well.
Fintech Business Weekly β€’ 89 implied HN points β€’ 26 Jan 25
  1. CBW is accusing the FDIC of racial and gender discrimination in their handling of a significant penalty against the bank. They argue that their leadership has faced bias because of their backgrounds.
  2. A grand jury is investigating the situation surrounding Synapse Financial Technologies, and former employees are being subpoenaed for documents related to potential misconduct.
  3. Patriot Bank is under scrutiny from regulators and has been designated as 'troubled', which means it has to make major changes to its operations and compliance practices.
Slow Boring β€’ 5051 implied HN points β€’ 25 Jan 24
  1. Biden administration announced new regulatory caps on overdraft fees to protect consumers from financial exploitation.
  2. CEOs like Jamie Dimon are more concerned with business-friendly regulations for profit than political ideologies.
  3. The Biden administration's stance on bank regulation highlights a shift in priorities from the Trump era.
The Transcript β€’ 79 implied HN points β€’ 07 Oct 24
  1. The Federal Reserve is not rushing to cut interest rates anytime soon. They want to see more economic data before making any decisions.
  2. Many experts believe that the market may be expecting interest rate cuts too soon and that any drops in rates won't happen as fast as people think.
  3. Overall, the economy shows signs of strength with stable hiring and positive corporate earnings, making it unclear if rate cuts are actually needed right now.
Chartbook β€’ 500 implied HN points β€’ 27 Nov 24
  1. There have been 573 bank failures in the US, which is a significant number. This may affect the economy and people's trust in banking.
  2. Gas-powered trucks are still widely used, indicating ongoing reliance on fossil fuels. This might have implications for environmental discussions and policies.
  3. The Suriname debt crisis and struggles in Colombia show that economic challenges are not only local but also global. These situations need attention and understanding from a broader perspective.
CalculatedRisk Newsletter β€’ 43 implied HN points β€’ 06 Feb 25
  1. Mortgage delinquencies slightly increased to 3.98% in Q4 2024 compared to the previous quarter. This means more people are missing their mortgage payments.
  2. FHA and VA loans are seeing a bigger rise in delinquency rates compared to conventional loans. This is concerning, especially as the gaps in these rates are growing.
  3. States like Florida and South Carolina had the largest increases in delinquency rates. Natural disasters, like hurricanes, may be partly to blame for this rise.
Fintech Business Weekly β€’ 89 implied HN points β€’ 12 Jan 25
  1. Some people affected by the Synapse bankruptcy have struggled to get their money back, leaving many feeling hopeless. The trustee in charge is working on figuring out how to reconcile the missing funds.
  2. One man was able to get his money back by filing a small claims case against Evolve Bank, showcasing that taking legal action can sometimes help consumers regain their lost funds.
  3. In contrast, his daughter faced challenges in court with her similar case, highlighting how results can vary even with similar circumstances. This shows that legal situations can be unpredictable.
Chartbook β€’ 357 implied HN points β€’ 12 Nov 24
  1. There's a growing trend of lending money using chips as collateral, which shows a new way to finance activities. It's like using your poker chips to get cash when you need it!
  2. Cuba's oil industry is facing major challenges, leading to significant changes in the economy there. This might affect everyday life for many Cubans.
  3. India is undergoing a financial revolution that is reshaping how its economy works. This could create more opportunities for people and businesses in the country.
Fintech Business Weekly β€’ 89 implied HN points β€’ 05 Jan 25
  1. CBW is facing a huge $20.5 million fine from the FDIC, which could put its future at risk. This penalty is due to failures in its anti-money laundering practices.
  2. A small Kansas bank, CBW, has made a lot of money from international services but hasn't fixed issues raised by regulators in past reviews. They were supposed to improve but didn't make significant changes.
  3. The FDIC argues that the situation with CBW highlights serious compliance problems in the banking sector. They are trying to enforce rules to prevent money laundering, especially in high-risk areas.
Fintech Business Weekly β€’ 44 implied HN points β€’ 19 Jan 25
  1. The Cash App recently settled legal issues, which included fines for not properly handling anti-money laundering rules. They also agreed to improve their security and support for users.
  2. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau released a report on 'buy now, pay later' services, revealing that many loans are small but often lead users to take out multiple loans at once.
  3. There are ongoing concerns about transparency from banking regulators, especially regarding their responses to Freedom of Information Act requests, indicating a gap between what they promise and what they deliver.
Yet Another Value Blog β€’ 1395 implied HN points β€’ 10 Feb 24
  1. The loan book for NYCB is in worse shape than expected, potentially facing huge losses due to rent-regulated properties and increasing expenses.
  2. Despite the challenges, NYCB has over $7 billion in tangible equity, which could help the bank navigate through the crisis.
  3. Insider buying at NYCB following a special update call shows confidence in the institution, highlighting efforts to stabilize the stock amid a tough situation.
Chartbook β€’ 286 implied HN points β€’ 29 Oct 24
  1. Bangladeshi banks are going through a big restructuring. This could change the way they operate and help improve their services.
  2. Hurricane Helene had a significant effect on unemployment rates. Many people lost their jobs because of the hurricane's impact.
  3. High-speed trading continues to play a lively role in the financial markets. It’s a fast-paced area that creates both opportunities and challenges.
Snowball β€’ 1395 implied HN points β€’ 09 Jan 24
  1. Some credit cards offer unique benefits like free Amazon Prime or cashback in the form of investments.
  2. Revolut cards come with various advantages based on the subscription level, like free currency exchange or cashback on accommodations.
  3. American Express cards provide a range of benefits, from purchase guarantees to access to exclusive events. The higher-tier cards offer even more luxurious perks like worldwide lounge access.
Fintech Business Weekly β€’ 156 implied HN points β€’ 01 Dec 24
  1. Marc Andreessen claims that the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) is making it hard for fintech and crypto companies to succeed because it wants to protect big banks. He believes the CFPB causes banks to refuse services to risky customers.
  2. Andreessen argues that independent government agencies like the CFPB aren't accountable to the public and can act without checks. He feels this restricts innovation in financial services.
  3. Despite claims of 'debanking,' major companies are still engaging in crypto activities. The claims about being pushed out due to regulatory pressures may not reflect the whole truth about the market's adaptability.
Fintech Business Weekly β€’ 193 implied HN points β€’ 17 Nov 24
  1. The FTC has accused the fintech app Dave of misleading users about cash advances, fees, and subscription charges. They claimed many people were promised higher amounts than they could actually get and were not clearly informed about fees.
  2. The number of unbanked households in the U.S. has dropped to 4.2%, but there are still major differences across racial and ethnic groups. Black and Hispanic households remain much more likely to be unbanked than White households.
  3. During the Synapse bankruptcy, issues arose about how funds were managed and returned to users. A lot of users may face significant losses, and there’s a push for more transparency and accountability from banks involved.
The Informationist β€’ 1650 implied HN points β€’ 30 Apr 23
  1. Interest rate risks can lead to bank collapses due to mismanagement and lack of oversight
  2. Different types of interest rate risks affect banks' financial positions, such as repricing risk and basis risk
  3. It is important for individuals to be cautious with their bank deposits and consider diversifying investments based on personal risk tolerance and long-term goals

SVB

Market Sentiment β€’ 1552 implied HN points β€’ 12 Mar 23
  1. Understanding the different sides of risk is crucial - the likelihood of getting hit, the average impact, and the extreme consequences.
  2. Banks operate by lending out deposits at higher rates to make profits, but this system poses the risk of bank runs.
  3. SVB's rapid collapse was triggered by increased stress, a market sell-off, and a loss of customer confidence due to poor communication.
Jon’s Newsletter β€’ 119 implied HN points β€’ 12 Jul 24
  1. Marko Kolanovic's bearish predictions about the stock market didn't happen, leading to his departure from JP Morgan. In a strong market, being negative can be isolating.
  2. Tesla's stocks have been rising quickly due to excitement around AI and self-driving cars, but some analysts warn that the stock may be overrated at this point.
  3. Costco is raising its membership fees for the first time in seven years, which could lead to an increase in their profits. Many analysts continue to view Costco as a strong investment option.
Fintech Business Weekly β€’ 66 implied HN points β€’ 15 Dec 24
  1. Fraud and scams are becoming bigger issues for businesses compared to individuals. Companies need better tools to protect themselves from these threats.
  2. Many fintech companies are raising significant funding, which shows growth in the industry. Some are also getting ready for potential IPOs in the coming years.
  3. There's a legal battle between a crypto debit card company and its banking partner. It highlights the risks and challenges in the fintech sector, especially in compliance and service delivery.
Matt Ehret's Insights β€’ 1277 implied HN points β€’ 09 May 23
  1. The integration of leading Nazis into Anglo-American intelligence complex after WWII led to the rise of fascism then and now.
  2. Modern expressions of fascism seen in Ukraine and other post Soviet nations glorify Nazi collaborators.
  3. The financiers and industrialists of the 1920s -1940s were key in fueling fascism with their support and resources, showing that Hitler and Mussolini were not 'their own men'.
Geopolitical Economy Report β€’ 1275 implied HN points β€’ 12 Mar 23
  1. The US banking system is facing a significant crisis due to the consequences of past actions, like the 2009 bank bailout and the quantitative easing measures that followed.
  2. Rising interest rates are causing bond prices to fall, which is putting pressure on banks as their assets decrease in value against deposit liabilities.
  3. The current banking crisis is reminiscent of past financial failures, like the savings and loan crisis in the 1980s, and is exacerbated by factors like the cryptocurrency wave and derivatives trading.
The Informationist β€’ 1257 implied HN points β€’ 26 Mar 23
  1. BTFP is a program by the Fed to provide liquidity to underfunded banks facing large customer withdrawals.
  2. Banks can borrow against securities like U.S. Treasuries with no haircut and at a low cost.
  3. BTFP offers a sweetheart deal to banks, providing liquidity without stigma of borrowing from the Discount Window.