The hottest Gambling Substack posts right now

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Human v Bots Forecasting Tournament 2024

Above The Fold • 314 implied HN points • 08 Jan 24

💼 Business Gambling Artificial Intelligence Competition Forecasting Technology

Participate in the Manifold 2024 Humans v Bots Forecasting tournament
Compete against forecasting AIs on various significant events in 2024
Win a share of 250,000 mana by making accurate predictions

Old Gambler Yells at Clouds

The Future, Now and Then • 97 implied HN points • 08 Feb 24

🎭️ Culture Gambling Sports Regulation Society

The gambling economy was better off when it was shady and inaccessible.
Legalizing and barely regulating sports betting has led to excessive gambling and exploitation.
Regulating vice is only beneficial if accompanied by serious regulation to avoid negative consequences.

The NBA's Most Popular Scandal

House of Strauss • 25 implied HN points • 18 Mar 24

🎾 Sports NBA Scandal Scoring Gambling

Younger referees in the NBA tend to call fewer fouls, possibly affecting game outcomes like total points scored.
There has been a significant drop in the average total points scored in NBA games, contrary to the league's initial explanation of a "statistical anomaly."
The NBA's handling of the decreased scoring and evasion in addressing the issue has left fans questioning the league's transparency and motivations.

Bill Simmons is Right About Pat McAfee

House of Strauss • 50 implied HN points • 13 Feb 24

🎾 Sports Media Content Gambling Entertainment

Pat McAfee criticized Bill Simmons over Super Bowl parlay bets, not content or integrity.
The conflict between McAfee and Simmons is about competing visions for sports media and the role of sports gambling.
Some speculate that the criticism stems from McAfee giving a platform to Aaron Rodgers to criticize Simmons' friend, Jimmy Kimmel.

SBSQ #3: Forget the polls — has Joe Biden been a good president?

Silver Bulletin • 147 implied HN points • 30 Nov 23

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Policy Election Gambling Presidency Cities

Nate Silver believes Joe Biden has been a good president based on bills passed and handling of certain issues.
Nate Silver shares his 7 favorite American cities, including Chicago, Los Angeles, and Miami.
Nate Silver discusses the betting odds for the US Presidential election and whether it's a good bet to buy GOP for the popular vote.

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The Case for Legalizing Prediction Markets

Mike’s Blog • 58 implied HN points • 07 Dec 23

💰 Finance Prediction Markets Gambling Regulation Accuracy

Prediction markets offer straightforward incentives for accuracy and can untangle true beliefs from stated beliefs.
Success in prediction markets is based on skill in making accurate probabilistic forecasts, not luck.
Prediction markets can aggregate useful information, potentially outperforming polls in predicting outcomes.

The Dark Statistician Guide to the Office March Madness Pool

coldhealing • 235 implied HN points • 13 Mar 23

🎾 Sports Gambling Strategy Statistics

The Dark Statistician Guide recommends using contrarian and statistical strategies in office March Madness pools.
Focus on maximizing your odds of winning rather than college basketball knowledge when making your bracket.
Consider decentralizing your picks, betting against popular choices, and adjusting strategies based on pool size for better chances of success.

The Option Principles of Fourth Down Calls

Malt Liquidity • 5 implied HN points • 02 Oct 23

🎾 Sports Analysis Strategy Statistics Gambling Decision-making

In sports decision-making, consider managing risk like in options trading.
When making strategic decisions, analyze game context and potential outcomes.
Utilize live odds and market approximations for better game state assessment.

Wanna Bet?

I'll Keep This Short • 5 implied HN points • 11 Apr 23

🕹 Technology AI Prediction Markets ML Gambling

Prediction markets can help gain subject matter expertise.
Precise forecasting requires precisely defined questions.
Viral topics attract more participation in prediction markets.