The hottest Geopolitics Substack posts right now

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Top World Politics Topics

Behavioural Geopolitics: How power changes people

Klement on Investing • 6 implied HN points • 04 Feb 26
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. Power changes how people think: those with power rely more on fast, intuitive thinking and focus on core information, which helps quick decisions but makes them ignore peripheral details.
  2. Power brings downsides: it fuels overconfidence, reliance on personal experience, dehumanisation of subordinates, and a higher risk of corrupt or self‑serving behaviour, so unchecked power harms organisations.
  3. Who gets power often depends on perceived intelligence and social reputation rather than objective competence, and once in power people are seen as more competent, creating a self‑reinforcing cycle that makes governance and oversight essential.

AI Geopolitics in the Age of Test-Time Compute w Chris Miller + Lennart Heim

ChinaTalk • 385 implied HN points • 06 Jan 25
🕹 Technology Geopolitics
  1. Export controls on AI technology don't stop progress immediately, but they affect long-term access to necessary chips. Countries can still access older tech, keeping them competitive for a while.
  2. AI models require more compute power as they get better. This means countries need to invest substantially to support advanced AI systems, as even small changes in processing time can increase resource demands significantly.
  3. U.S. cloud providers might help monitor how AI chips are used abroad, which could both protect U.S. interests and promote responsible AI development. This strategy could help balance control with innovation.

China Isolates Russia

Diane Francis • 919 implied HN points • 15 Sep 22
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. China has distanced itself from Russia, especially after Putin's struggles in Ukraine. Xi Jinping assured Kazakhstan of support against potential Russian threats, showing he won't back Putin's aggressive moves.
  2. While China signed a partnership with Russia, it has not openly supported the war in Ukraine. Instead, China wants to keep good relations with Europe and the U.S., which means they won't provide military aid to Russia.
  3. Many Central Asian countries are growing closer to China while pulling away from Russia. As Russia's situation worsens, Beijing may look to expand its influence in regions previously dominated by Moscow.

BRICS or NATO? G20 or G77? Summits debate rapidly changing world order

Geopolitical Economy Report • 279 implied HN points • 24 Sep 23
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. The changing world order is reflected in the rapid pace of international summits like BRICS, G20, G77, and the UN General Assembly.
  2. Russia's pivot towards the Far East, specifically in Vladivostok, showcases a strong focus on development and economic collaboration with Asian countries.
  3. De-dollarization and the use of e-currencies, such as blockchain mechanisms, are potential avenues for creating alternative payment systems within the global majority.
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Why it doesn't pay to make predictions

The Cosmopolitan Globalist • 16 implied HN points • 03 Jan 26
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. Predictions often fail, so it's wiser not to make firm forecasts when information is limited.
  2. There is a genuine hope that Venezuela can be stabilized quickly and become democratic and prosperous, but the outcome is uncertain.
  3. Global events can be wildly surprising, and while dramatic scenarios are tempting to imagine, it's better to admit uncertainty than pretend to know the future.

90 Percent of Everything.

News Items • 275 implied HN points • 01 Sep 23
💼 Business Geopolitics
  1. Shipping is responsible for transporting 90% of everything, making it extremely efficient and cheap, which has changed the world economy.
  2. The supply of container ships and oil tankers is extremely tight, with high rates and very few new deliveries coming online, potentially leading to future disruptions and inflation.
  3. Global shipping is a critical indicator of economic activity and can be impacted by geopolitics, ESG trends, and global trade patterns like deglobalization.

Indiana Johannes and Raiders of the Lost ANC, PART I

Who is Robert Malone • 9 implied HN points • 28 Jan 26
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. South African officials raided a U.S.-linked refugee processing center on a symbolic Afrikaner holiday, appearing to target and intimidate Afrikaner applicants and disrupt a U.S. resettlement program, which deepened tensions with the United States.
  2. The U.S. administration set clear preconditions for normalizing relations—like treating farm attacks as a priority, condemning violent anti-white rhetoric, protecting property rights, and exempting U.S. entities from race-based rules—and effectively sidelined South Africa at the G20, signaling a major diplomatic rift.
  3. South Africa is portrayed as facing severe domestic crises—widespread crime and syndicates, corruption, shrinking economic standing, and contested land expropriations—that are undermining institutions and driving social and political instability.

December 5, 2025

Letters from an American • 30 implied HN points • 06 Dec 25
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. The new U.S. National Security Strategy breaks with the post–World War II rules-based order and favors a world divided into great-power spheres of influence instead of multilateral institutions like the UN and NATO.
  2. The document centers a culturally nationalist agenda that rejects immigration and many climate policies while praising a return to “traditional” families, and observers noted its language and numbering echo white supremacist references.
  3. It pivots U.S. focus to the Western Hemisphere with a self-styled “Trump Corollary” that uses tariffs and government-backed commercial diplomacy to promote American companies, signals willingness to use military force regionally, and steps back from European commitments while signaling a softer posture toward Russia.

Top Links 577 Smuggling oil. Bolivia's mounting crisis. Digging deeper for copper & art prices in the long run.

Chartbook • 429 implied HN points • 02 Dec 24
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. There is an ongoing issue of oil smuggling, especially involving imports to China from Iran and Venezuela, where they are labeled as coming from Malaysia.
  2. Bolivia is experiencing a significant crisis that is impacting its stability and economy.
  3. There's a trend of exploring deeper insights into the long-term pricing of copper and art, indicating a shift in how these markets might evolve.

Hammering Trudeau won't build a better house

History's Parrot • 157 implied HN points • 14 Jan 24
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. Focusing on criticizing leaders like Trudeau isn't as effective as addressing the actual problems in society
  2. Mainstream media often fails to provide meaningful and insightful coverage, focusing on surface-level issues rather than deeper truths
  3. Current political systems are influenced by harmful ideologies, affecting democracy and the integrity of political parties

Zombie Nationalism

Reactionary Feminist • 23 implied HN points • 13 Dec 25
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. Western countries have largely lost the industrial capacity, skills, and social cohesion that once made mass wartime mobilisation possible, so calls to prepare for large-scale war face real material limits.
  2. Modern nationalism grew out of print-based, industrial-era societies that produced a shared, geographically rooted sense of belonging and made state-led mobilisation feasible, but that model has largely broken down.
  3. Digital media now create language-bound, transnational filter bubbles that decouple people from their geographic national interests, so institutions can demand readiness yet meet public indifference and limited practical ability to follow through.

10 Essays That Defined "Drift Signal" in 2025

European Straits • 15 implied HN points • 31 Dec 25
💼 Business Geopolitics
  1. The computing-and-networks era has matured, so value is shifting from pure software to embedding that technology into physical systems like manufacturing, energy, and infrastructure.
  2. Energy production and process knowledge are now central sources of national power — electrification and advanced manufacturing decide strategic advantage, and countries that rebuilt deep industrial ecosystems have leapfrogged rivals.
  3. Global finance and institutions are being rewired after political and regulatory shocks, with the US functioning as a major investment platform and programmable capital/tokenisation poised to remake how assets are issued and traded.

US vs China: How to win the wrong AI race

Platforms, AI, and the Economics of BigTech • 15 implied HN points • 11 Jan 26
🕹 Technology Geopolitics
  1. The US is betting on building the smartest AI models and assumes intelligence will stay scarce while coordination can be bought on markets.
  2. China is deliberately commoditizing intelligence by opening models so value shifts to energy, hardware, manufacturing, and the ability to coordinate AI into physical systems.
  3. Once intelligence is abundant, durable power and profits will flow to whoever can reliably execute and coordinate systems at scale, so winning means building coordination, execution, and energy advantages—not just better models.

The Trump Plan to Wreck Iran

John’s Substack • 11 implied HN points • 21 Jan 26
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. The U.S. has been using heavy sanctions to deliberately cripple Iran’s economy, and the Trump team intensified those efforts after taking office.
  2. The strategy is to apply “maximum pressure” so ordinary Iranians suffer enough to rise up and overthrow their government.
  3. U.S. officials, including the Treasury Secretary, have openly acknowledged that causing widespread hardship to provoke regime change is the aim.

⚠ How disruptive would a Chinese invasion of Taiwan be?

Faster, Please! • 456 implied HN points • 11 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Geopolitics
  1. An invasion of Taiwan by China could disrupt global stability and economic growth. It might create fear and uncertainty, much like we saw in past wars.
  2. There's concern that the potential conflict could end the current positive economic trends we are experiencing, especially with advancements in technology and AI.
  3. Different possible scenarios of military action by China have been analyzed, showing various levels of impact on the economy. Understanding these scenarios can help us prepare for the future.

Made in Venezuela: Iranian Drones

Who is Robert Malone • 16 implied HN points • 05 Jan 26
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. Iran has helped Venezuela build local drone production and assembly lines so Venezuelan forces can operate Iranian designs like the Mohajer-6, including armed reconnaissance and guided munitions.
  2. That cooperation turns Venezuela into a Latin American manufacturing node for Iran’s regional network, expanding Tehran’s influence and putting advanced surveillance and strike drones into the Western Hemisphere.
  3. The partnership exemplifies a sanctions‑resistant, distributed weapons-production model that the U.S. is trying to counter with sanctions, and it suggests more proxy drone factories could appear in allied states.

Japan Is Joining “De-Risk From China” Coalition

Japan Economy Watch • 259 implied HN points • 03 Oct 23
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. Japan is aligning with American and European entities in a 'De-Risking' strategy towards China, aiming to avoid extreme outcomes like 'decoupling'
  2. Although complete 'decoupling' with China is not desired due to global interdependence, there is a shift towards 'de-risking' by foreign companies and governments
  3. China's actions are alienating foreign companies and impacting productivity growth, urging a balance between economic independence and international engagement

Half-Baked Alaska

Comment is Freed • 103 implied HN points • 16 Aug 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Geopolitics
  1. The Alaska summit didn’t meet high expectations, as there were fears that Putin would manipulate Trump into a bad deal. However, nothing concrete was agreed upon, which means no immediate setbacks for Ukraine.
  2. While Trump described the meeting positively, Putin used it to portray himself as a peacemaker. This created a perception that he was gaining international favor, despite limited results.
  3. A shift in focus occurred from trying to achieve a ceasefire to discussing a long-term settlement while fighting continues. This change in approach could affect future peace talks.

Commentator

Castalia • 239 implied HN points • 24 Oct 23
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. In wartime, moral judgments become blurred as both sides commit terrible acts, making it difficult to assign blame and remember the suffering of civilians on all sides.
  2. The conflict in Israel/Palestine has led to a division in Western civic life, with people increasingly polarized in their views, often overlooking the human toll of the violence.
  3. Global conflicts, including the war in Ukraine and the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh, highlight a world fragmented by power struggles and shifting alliances, suggesting a troubling trend toward realpolitik over humanitarian concerns.

Ukrainian Drone Strategy Against Russian Energy Infrastructure: Part Two

Glen’s Substack • 39 implied HN points • 26 Jun 24
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. Ukraine has improved its drone technology, with new models like Nynja and Lyutyi enabling long-range attacks on Russian energy facilities. This has allowed them to expand their strike capabilities significantly.
  2. Artificial Intelligence (AI) is crucial for these drones, helping them navigate through Russian defenses and improve accuracy. This technology allows drones to operate autonomously without satellite communication.
  3. There has been a shift in Ukraine's military stance, demonstrating confidence in using drones for strategic strikes. Successful attacks on key refinery components can cripple Russian operations and reduce their oil refining capacity.

"There's no time like the present!"

Fisted by Foucault • 136 implied HN points • 08 Jul 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Geopolitics
  1. The US is still a dominant power in global politics, despite predictions of its decline. Many of its previous military efforts show that it has achieved important goals.
  2. Countries like Iran, which see themselves as revolutionary, often struggle to maintain that identity over time. They usually end up moderating their extreme positions as they focus on daily issues.
  3. Israel has acted rationally in its pursuit of security, backed by the strong support of the United States. This relationship allows Israel to operate without many checks on its behavior.

Offense not Defense

Diane Francis • 639 implied HN points • 22 Dec 22
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. Zelensky met with Biden and spoke to Congress, gaining support for Ukraine and pushing for more weapons to go on the offense against Russia. This move shows Ukraine's determination to regain control and not just defend.
  2. Despite Russia's threats and ongoing aggression, Zelensky believes a nuclear strike from Putin is unlikely, as it would endanger his own life. He focuses on the resilience and unity of the Ukrainian people during tough times.
  3. Sanctions against Russia are working, and there's a strong belief among Ukrainians that they will win the war. They remain hopeful and supportive of each other, continuing their celebrations and traditions even amid adversity.

Top Links 584 Elevating the BRICS. The math on Trump's deportation plans. Climate change and the world cup 2026 & the Nordics prepare for war.

Chartbook • 386 implied HN points • 11 Dec 24
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. The BRICS nations are becoming more important in global politics. Their influence is growing as they work together more.
  2. There are discussions about the implications of Trump's deportation plans. Many are analyzing what these plans might mean for society and politics.
  3. Climate change is a big concern, especially with events like the 2026 World Cup on the horizon. Countries are preparing for its impact and strategizing for future challenges.

Putin's New Peril

Diane Francis • 879 implied HN points • 22 Aug 22
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. The recent assassination of Alexander Dugin's daughter in Moscow has shaken Russia and raised questions about its leadership. This event might signal internal strife within Russian powers as high-profile killings are uncommon there.
  2. Dugin, known as 'Putin's Rasputin', has greatly influenced Putin's policies. His ideas promote a confrontational stance against the West and support for aggressive tactics, including the ongoing war in Ukraine.
  3. Dugin's philosophy isn't limited to Russia; it has connections to far-right movements worldwide. The assassination could change public support for Putin's war, potentially increasing tensions within Russia and changing the war's dynamics.

"It's Not Great Power Politics. It's Old-Style Imperialism"

John’s Substack • 11 implied HN points • 19 Jan 26
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. U.S. actions toward countries like Venezuela and Iran look more like old-style imperialism than normal great-power politics.
  2. Toppling Venezuela is politically and logistically far easier for the U.S. than trying to overthrow Iran, which would be much harder to achieve.
  3. Having the military ability to seize territory doesn’t mean you can easily force regime change in a resilient, complex state, so policymakers should recognize those limits.

Asking for Big Trouble in Venezuela

John’s Substack • 14 implied HN points • 09 Jan 26
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. The US move in Venezuela isn’t presented as traditional regime change or a push for democracy; it’s about installing a cooperative leadership and using economic pressure to control outcomes.
  2. This represents a form of old‑fashioned imperialism updated for the modern era — aiming to exploit Venezuela’s oil without boots on the ground, which frustrates neoconservatives who want democratization.
  3. The strategy is likely to fail, and the hope is that policymakers will cut their losses and withdraw rather than escalate further.

Ukraine's New World Order

Diane Francis • 679 implied HN points • 14 Nov 22
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. Ukraine's recapture of Kherson shows they are strong and determined to push Russian forces out. This event has shifted the balance in the war and increased support from Western nations.
  2. The conflict has exposed Russia's weaknesses and united many countries against its aggression. This unity may change the geopolitical landscape and weaken Russia's influence worldwide.
  3. A peaceful resolution might not be possible now, as Ukraine wants to restore its borders completely. They are ready to continue fighting to ensure a future without Russian threats.

How to Beat Russia

Diane Francis • 719 implied HN points • 24 Oct 22
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. Putin controls Russia like a mobster, using fear and intimidation to maintain power. He started a war in Ukraine out of greed and desperation, not because of NATO threats.
  2. For Ukraine to succeed, the West must fully support it. This includes military aid and using frozen Russian assets to fund Ukraine's defense.
  3. If Russia wins this conflict, it could lead to more aggression in Europe. It’s crucial for Ukraine to win, or else other countries could be next on Putin's list.

Putin Must Pay

Diane Francis • 639 implied HN points • 05 Dec 22
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. There are serious concerns about funding for Ukraine as some American lawmakers are against sending more money. This shows that support for Ukraine is facing challenges both in the U.S. and Europe.
  2. There is a push for confiscating Russian assets, estimated at hundreds of billions, to help fund Ukraine's reconstruction. Many believe Russia should be held accountable for the costs of the war it started.
  3. Legal frameworks are being discussed in various countries to enable the seizure of Russian assets, but action is needed urgently to support Ukraine's defense against Russia's aggression.

Weapons of War

backstory • 436 implied HN points • 19 Oct 24
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. Weapons can change hands in unexpected ways, often fueling conflicts between different tribes. For example, in Darfur, weapons once belonging to defeated forces became tools in local disputes over land.
  2. Modern conflicts can see the rise of brutal paramilitary groups that use advanced weaponry against civilians. Groups like the Rapid Support Force in Sudan highlight how everyday weapons can cause immense suffering.
  3. Despite the violence associated with weapons, there’s still hope for humanity and creativity. In the search for puppets, there's a desire to remember that people can create beauty even amidst chaos.

US Fights Democracy Abroad

Nonzero Newsletter • 372 implied HN points • 13 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Geopolitics
  1. The U.S. is facing criticism for overlooking democratic backsliding in allied countries, like Romania and Georgia, to focus on countering Russian influence.
  2. AI technology is causing concerns, with incidents involving chatbots leading to severe mental health issues, highlighting the need for better safety measures in the industry.
  3. There is a political shift happening, with traditional left and right divides blurring, as some Democrats and Republicans are finding common ground against the political establishment.

US Foreign Policy Marches On

John’s Substack • 5 implied HN points • 10 Feb 26
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics
  1. The conversation centered on how Trump’s foreign policy could reshape international institutions and international law.
  2. Major conflicts like Gaza, tensions with Iran, and the war in Ukraine were discussed as pressing foreign policy challenges.
  3. There was a clear sense of concern or pessimism about the current state of US foreign policy and the global crises it faces.

The Russian Draft Dodgers Who Fled to Paradise

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 366 implied HN points • 04 Dec 24
🌐 International Geopolitics
  1. Many Russians are escaping to places like Bali to avoid military drafts and the war. They enjoy a cheaper lifestyle and beautiful surroundings.
  2. Despite their new paradise, some locals in Bali are frustrated with Russian tourists due to bad behavior, which has them on edge.
  3. Not all Russians are focusing on leisure; some, like influencers, share their experiences and concerns about the changing community.