Apricitas Economics • 80 implied HN points • 06 Jan 26
- Blue-collar employment is falling broadly across manufacturing, construction, transportation, mining, and utilities — roughly 65,000 industrial jobs lost in the past year and about 123,000 fewer trade jobs than the early‑2025 peak.
- Manufacturing has been shrinking for more than two years and now makes up less than 8% of the workforce, with big job losses in autos and electronics as demand for durable goods and consumer tech softens.
- Construction hiring has slowed sharply (residential trades have lost about 55,000 jobs), driven by the end of the COVID homebuilding boom, weaker energy and trucking activity, and policy choices like tariffs, immigration enforcement, and subsidy cuts that have worsened the decline.