Astral Codex Ten • 4336 implied HN points • 12 Mar 24
- Academic teams are working on fine-tuning AIs for better predictions, competing with the wisdom of crowds.
- The use of multiple AI models and aggregating predictions may be as effective as human crowdsourced predictions.
- Superforecasters' perspectives on AI risks differ based on the pace of AI advancement, showcasing varied opinions within expert communities.