The hottest Election Analysis Substack posts right now

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Top U.S. Politics Topics

TLP's 2024 Swing-State Project: Pennsylvania (Part Two)

The Liberal Patriot • 609 implied HN points • 22 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Demographics Voting Patterns Population Election Analysis
  1. Pennsylvania experienced modest population growth over the past decade with significant gains in certain counties due to new jobs brought by e-commerce giants.
  2. Pennsylvania is a mostly white state with diverse racial populations concentrated in certain areas.
  3. Voting patterns in Pennsylvania show trends of white voters leaning Republican, differences in voter demographics by age, education, and union affiliation, and the importance of retaining support across various groups.

What does Trump's win mean for the world?

Comment is Freed • 131 implied HN points • 07 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis International relations Government Structure Foreign Policy Trade policy
  1. Trump's presidency might lean towards nationalism and isolationism. This could challenge established alliances like NATO and impact international cooperation.
  2. Expect unpredictability in Trump's upcoming administration, with potential government restructuring and a focus on unilateral decisions. This may lead to issues in the usual functioning of government.
  3. Trump's approach to foreign conflicts, especially in Ukraine and the Middle East, could shift, leading to concerns among allies about U.S. support and stability in those regions.

Whiny Baby Mitch McConnell Might Not Vote for a Man Who Tried to Cripple Him

I Might Be Wrong • 10 implied HN points • 31 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political News Health Policy Election Analysis Public Health Political Commentary
  1. Mitch McConnell's childhood experience with polio makes him cautious about anti-vaccine sentiments. He knows firsthand the damage diseases can cause.
  2. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s nomination is controversial due to his strong anti-vaccine views. Many worry about the impact on public health if he takes office.
  3. Confirmation hearings should focus on qualifications rather than personal grudges. McConnell needs to separate his feelings from the professional responsibilities of evaluating Kennedy.

Kelce grammar

Logging the World • 299 implied HN points • 03 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics American culture Election Analysis Republican party
  1. The post discusses the impact of the JN.1 wave and the implications for COVID-19 infections, admissions, and deaths.
  2. Upcoming in-person talks by the author in different locations are highlighted, emphasizing the return to normalcy and connecting with audiences.
  3. The American football documentary 'Kelce' is explored, focusing on the themes of personal sacrifices, risks, family dynamics, and the portrayal of masculinity in the modern context.

Election Countdown, 276 Days to Go: An ‘Up’ for Team Biden, with the Unknowable Ahead.

Breaking the News • 577 implied HN points • 03 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. Three important factors have broken Biden's way: US economy news, head-to-head polls, and Nikki Haley's critique of Trump.
  2. Historical narratives about Biden have shifted from negative to positive over time.
  3. Different stages of Biden's presidency have been marked by shifting media narratives, from concerns about Biden's popularity to the state of the economy.
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No One Knows What is Gonna Happen

Unpopular Front • 56 implied HN points • 05 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis Political Commentary Campaign strategies Voter Behavior
  1. Predicting the future, especially in politics, is really tough. Many so-called experts often get it wrong, and people remember their mistakes.
  2. Polls can be confusing and don't always give a clear picture. They sometimes just repeat the idea that things could go either way without saying much.
  3. Trump's popularity and campaign are complicated. While he has a loyal base, many people also dislike him, making the outcome uncertain.

And Here We are...

Who is Robert Malone • 52 implied HN points • 06 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis Political strategy Current Events Political Commentary Public Discourse
  1. The recent election night felt exciting for many supporters, with a strong belief in the anticipated victory. People gathered to celebrate and share their hopes for a better future.
  2. Predictions about the election results were made with confidence, and many felt relieved after the outcomes were in favor of their candidate. The atmosphere was filled with discussion, strategy, and optimism.
  3. There is a renewed focus on the future now that the election results are out, with hopes for changes regarding political issues like the war in Ukraine. People are eager for new leadership and the potential positive impact it could bring.

We are All Trying Not to Gloat

Who is Robert Malone • 44 implied HN points • 12 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Psychology Election Analysis Media influence Political Behavior Public Opinion
  1. Many people feel strongly about political results, leading to actions like protests and calls for counseling after elections. It shows how deeply politics can affect emotions and mental health.
  2. Some mental health professionals suggest avoiding family members who voted differently, highlighting the divisive nature of current politics. This reflects how difficult it can be for some people to cope with differing opinions.
  3. There is a sense among some groups that they have been treated unfairly over the years, leading to desires for payback or change. This feeling drives people to want to take action to improve their situation.

Mapping Reality: Trump Reigns but Musk Rules

Dr. Pippa's Pen & Podcast • 47 implied HN points • 08 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political landscape Election Analysis Media influence Cognitive dissonance
  1. Many people feel confused and uncertain about political events, especially related to Trump. This confusion is mostly felt by those who are not involved in corruption.
  2. Just like maps can distort our view of the world, our understanding of politics can also be flawed. The way we perceive political power can be influenced by how it's presented.
  3. There’s a significant problem with the information we rely on, making it hard to understand the true political landscape. We need to rethink how we gather and interpret this information.

It couldn't have gone much better

Worcester Sucks and I Love It • 255 implied HN points • 07 Sep 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis Political strategy Campaign Finance
  1. Overall turnout for the election was low at 9.1%, similar to past preliminaries.
  2. The chosen candidates from Worcester Sucks for different districts performed well and are advancing to the general election.
  3. Progressive candidates like Bilotta and Haxhiaj have strong chances in the upcoming elections, potentially leading to a shift in power dynamics within the City Council.

November 23, 2024

Letters from an American • 22 implied HN points • 24 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political News Current Events American history Political culture Election Analysis
  1. Every season brings a unique vibe. Autumn, for example, mixes a sense of fun with simplicity and beauty.
  2. There’s an ongoing cycle of work and rest in life. After the busy months, it’s important to take quiet moments to recharge.
  3. Nature and daily life are closely connected. As the seasons change, so do the activities and experiences we encounter.

The New Fusionism

Reactionary Feminist • 20 implied HN points • 09 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Dynamics Election Analysis Conservatism Big Tech
  1. There's a big shift happening in American politics, especially after the recent elections. People are curious about what a Trump victory means for the future.
  2. The coming political landscape will mix traditional social conservatism with the influence of big tech, like what Elon Musk represents. This could change how conservatives think about family and human values.
  3. Some people are worried about new tech affecting society, but there's a sense of hope that not everything will lead to extreme changes, like Trump promising to ban certain medical transitions for youth.

Delusional self-belief is a superpower until it's a disaster

The Ruffian • 190 implied HN points • 02 Mar 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Leadership Presidential Campaigns Political Psychology Political strategy Election Analysis
  1. Delusional self-belief can be a powerful asset but can also lead to disaster.
  2. A certain level of self-deception is common and can contribute to human happiness and progress.
  3. Successful politicians often exhibit a mix of delusions of grandeur and the ability to align with reality, which can be a crucial element in leadership.

While it's easy to be distracted by the Roche cult members' lack of courage, drive, intelligence, and integrity, raw masochism is what most strongly unifies these freaks

Beck of the Pack • 98 implied HN points • 25 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Commentary Election Analysis Democratic Party Political criticism
  1. Raw masochism unifies Roche cult members despite other lacking qualities.
  2. Criticism is directed towards David and Megan Roche and their coaching methods.
  3. Many individuals in the running community are described as self-important and masochistic.

Macrodoses #5: The Election

Reboot • 17 implied HN points • 11 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis Political Rhetoric Government Policies Campaign strategies
  1. There's a big shift happening in tech, moving from wanting less government control to actually working more closely with the government. This change seems tied to recent political events and the tech industry's desire to stay in favor with lawmakers.
  2. Many people feel disconnected from political narratives because their real-life experiences don’t match the statistics often provided. This gap can lead to distrust in institutions when voters' feelings are dismissed.
  3. Right-wing ideas are finding success on social media and through influencer culture, while progressive ideas struggle to gain the same traction. This means left-leaning voices need to find better ways to communicate their visions in relatable and appealing ways.

New Dawn?

Castalia • 379 implied HN points • 09 Nov 22
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political strategy Mental health Election Analysis Political Behavior
  1. The mental health crisis among kids is worsening, and parents often feel helpless as the system fails to provide adequate support. It's tough when professional help seems to do more harm than good.
  2. There is a sense of relief as American politics shifts away from extremism towards a more moderate approach, suggesting a desire for stability among voters.
  3. People realize that personal connections and everyday interactions are more important than political ideologies, highlighting the need for compassion and understanding in challenging times.

Nyhetsbrev steigan.no 27.12.2024

steigan.no • 5 implied HN points • 27 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Media Ethics Election Analysis Political trends International relations Health Policies
  1. Children in England are facing serious health issues due to junk food, leading to obesity and stunted growth. Experts warn that this unhealthy diet could have long-term impacts on their future health.
  2. Many families, especially those struggling financially, cannot afford healthy food, making them reliant on cheaper junk food options. This economic barrier exacerbates the problem of child obesity in the country.
  3. Recent military actions have escalated tensions in the Middle East, particularly with Israel's attacks on Yemen. Ye men leaders have vowed to respond in kind, which could lead to further conflict in the region.

A Wasting Asset?

Trying to Understand the World • 8 implied HN points • 13 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political strategy Election Analysis International relations Political Ideologies Media influence
  1. European political elites are growing more distant from American political models and strategies, realizing they might not be effective or beneficial anymore. This shift suggests a need for Europe to develop its own political identity.
  2. There's increasing dissatisfaction among ordinary citizens with mainstream parties, as they feel ignored and undervalued by elites. This disconnect is causing them to turn to more extreme political options.
  3. The perception that the US has all the answers is starting to fade. Europeans are beginning to see that American ideas and methods may not be applicable or successful in their own contexts.

Nyhetsbrev steigan.no 02.12.2024

steigan.no • 6 implied HN points • 02 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political strategy Election Analysis Public Opinion Policy Issues
  1. Trond Giske's recent nomination victory in the Labor Party shows serious issues within the party's leadership. People are frustrated and feel that the leaders are out of touch.
  2. There's a big debate about electricity support in Norway. Many wealthy people are benefiting, and the support system might not last due to political pressures.
  3. Kenya is trying to balance its ties with both Western powers and countries like China and Russia. This balancing act has benefits but also risks for their own stability and interests.

Commentator

Castalia • 79 implied HN points • 09 Sep 22
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Commentary Election Analysis Constitution War Analysis International relations
  1. Queen Elizabeth II showed the power of symbolic leadership and constitutional monarchy during her reign. She helped unite a divided Britain and softened its global image.
  2. We're at a turning point with A.I., especially in the arts. The rise of A.I. in creating art challenges our traditional views and methods of evaluating artistic talent.
  3. Chile's recent attempt to rewrite its constitution highlights the risks of rushing into such big changes. A successful constitution needs balance and clear priorities to avoid becoming overly complicated.

Commentator

Castalia • 39 implied HN points • 19 Jan 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Commentary Election Analysis Defense Spending International relations Political Ethics
  1. People often focus on flashy news stories, like celebrity scandals, while ignoring important issues like government spending or international conflicts. This shows how storytelling can capture our attention in odd ways.
  2. The situation with George Santos highlights how some people fabricate their backgrounds to fit societal expectations. It's a reflection of a culture obsessed with success and appearances, which can sometimes lead to dishonest representations of oneself.
  3. The continuing protests and crackdowns in Iran show the harsh reality many face for fighting for their rights. It’s easy for such serious issues to fade from the headlines, but the personal struggles of individuals involved deserve attention and recognition.

Dear Team Trump: Don't 'Spike the Football'

Outspoken with Dr Naomi Wolf • 5 implied HN points • 18 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political strategy Communication Republican party Election Analysis Public Opinion
  1. Don't celebrate victories too loudly. It's tempting to gloat, but it could harm long-term goals and alienate supporters. Balance is key.
  2. Make sure to reach out to independent voters, especially women. Ignoring their concerns could lose important support.
  3. Develop clear mission statements and policies. Communicating well can help build a broader movement and keep people informed and engaged.

Did William Jennigs Bryan's "cross of gold" speech crash the economy?

Matt’s Five Points • 0 implied HN points • 11 Oct 11
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Rhetoric Economic Impact Historical Events Political parties Election Analysis
  1. The 'Cross of Gold' speech showed the Democratic Party's shift towards supporting silver over gold, which worried some investors.
  2. The speech didn't directly crash the economy, but it reflected bigger changes in the party that could have economic effects.
  3. Bryan was a surprising candidate, and his strong speech energized the silver delegates and changed party dynamics.

Reading Week

Matt’s Five Points • 0 implied HN points • 03 Dec 11
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Commentary Election Analysis Civil Liberties Public Policy Political Behavior
  1. It's important to stand up for the rule of law and individual rights, especially when it comes to government powers like indefinite detention.
  2. Understanding how leaders handle issues of compliance and accountability, like in jury duty or congressional oversight, is key to grasping bigger political problems.
  3. Keeping an eye on how candidates are perceived and discussed in media can help us understand upcoming elections and political behaviors.

The Trump-DeSantis Focus Group

Wide World of News • 0 implied HN points • 17 Feb 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis Trump administration Republican party White House
  1. Republican voters are interested in Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis as potential nominees and presidents.
  2. A focus group showed that most participants preferred Trump or DeSantis, with concerns about Trump's communication style but praise for DeSantis' people skills.
  3. The group also expressed interest in Mike Pompeo as a potential candidate, praising his foreign policy record.

10 WAYS TO COVER/WATCH/ANALYZE THE IOWA CAUCUSES LIKE AN *AMATEUR*

Wide World of News • 0 implied HN points • 12 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis Campaign Strategy Media Coverage Presidential Race Polling
  1. Don't underestimate the impact of the Iowa Poll on generating or killing campaign momentum.
  2. Be cautious about drawing conclusions from live cable news coverage of select caucuses.
  3. Pay attention to the semiotic significance of where candidates deliver speeches and how well they are covered.

Marilynne Robinson on Joe Biden

Logos and Liberty • 0 implied HN points • 15 Mar 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Presidential candidates Political Commentary Election Analysis Campaign strategies
  1. Marilynne Robinson views Joe Biden as a competent and wise individual, highlighting the significance of experience and institutional memory in leadership.
  2. Age should not be a defining factor in evaluating a leader's capabilities; it varies among individuals, and mental sharpness can persist with aging.
  3. Considering potential successors and the stability of the republic is crucial in political decision-making, emphasizing the importance of assessing candidates' ability to fulfill the duties of the presidency.