The hottest Election Analysis Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top U.S. Politics Topics

The Saturday Read: The velvet curtain

The Saturday Read • 119 implied HN points • 02 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. The rise of pop political movements, like MAGA and Thatcherism, show that they can reshape party identity and power dynamics in profound ways. This isn't just a short-term trend; it's likely to stick around.
  2. There's a real worry about the growing alignment of countries in the Brics group, which could change how global politics work. Many leaders aren't addressing this potential shift, leaving concerns about balance of power.
  3. North Korea sending troops to help Russia in Ukraine raises alarms, especially for neighboring countries like South Korea. It's a reminder of how tensions can escalate and lead to a larger conflict.

The Garbage Comment

Erick Erickson's Confessions of a Political Junkie • 1318 implied HN points • 30 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. Biden called Trump supporters 'garbage', which upset many people and created a bit of chaos in the White House.
  2. A lot of voters, only 28%, think the country is going in the right direction, which is low for an incumbent party.
  3. Instead of sharing their plans to improve things, Biden and some of Harris's supporters are focusing on negative comments about Trump supporters.

SHOW NOTES: JMart Reaches For the Towel; Ignoring Biden

Erick Erickson's Confessions of a Political Junkie • 1099 implied HN points • 23 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. Early voting for Kamala Harris isn't going well in key states like Arizona and Nevada, which could signal trouble for Democrats.
  2. Some media and political commentators are beginning to doubt Kamala Harris's viability as a candidate, and hints of concern are growing within the Democratic party.
  3. The press is getting anxious as the election nears, showcasing a desire to spotlight controversies surrounding Trump while largely overlooking similar issues with Biden.

The Press Covers for Harris Again

Erick Erickson's Confessions of a Political Junkie • 2557 implied HN points • 15 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. The media often protects certain politicians, like Kamala Harris, and downplays their mistakes. This makes many people distrust the press.
  2. There are significant discrepancies in how the media covers stories about politicians from different parties. Some issues are treated as major scandals for Republicans but barely mentioned for Democrats.
  3. Many reporters seem to have a bias towards the left and don't show much interest in understanding or presenting views outside their own beliefs.

Shut up about masculinity

Jeff Giesea • 758 implied HN points • 29 Sep 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. Masculinity is a big topic right now, but we might be focusing on it too much, especially during the election. It makes sense to consider why this obsession exists and if it's helpful.
  2. There are two main views on masculinity: some believe it's being attacked and needs to be defended, while others think it's outdated and needs to be redefined. Both sides have good points, but extremes in either direction can cause problems.
  3. Instead of tearing down masculinity or rejecting it, we should understand and nurture it while allowing people to be themselves. Finding balance and context for masculinity and femininity can lead to healthier discussions.
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This is How Much America Still Hates Women

Culture Study • 28623 implied HN points • 06 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. Many people in America still prefer male leaders, even if they are not competent, over qualified women. This shows a deep-rooted bias against women in politics.
  2. There is a troubling belief that women's bodies should be controlled by the state, often with men making those decisions. This reflects a dangerous mindset about women's rights and lives.
  3. Despite feeling defeated, it's important to keep fighting for a better future. Our determination and faith in change can drive progress, even in difficult times.

The Ballad of Ron and Nikki

Bulwark+ • 8431 implied HN points • 22 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. The 2024 Republican primary campaign illustrated strong motivated reasoning in predicting Donald Trump as the nominee.
  2. Basic lies from political actors should not be normalized by the media, and accountability is crucial in political analysis.
  3. The 'Biden crime problem' actually began under Trump, and recent data shows a decline in violent crime rates.

Rhinos All The Way Down

Bulwark+ • 7291 implied HN points • 12 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. Republican leaders continue to support Trump despite alarming behavior, leading to a disturbing transformation in the political landscape
  2. The comparison to absurdist literature suggests a prophetic quality in the current political climate
  3. The metaphor of 'rhinos all the way down' reflects the deepening entrenchment in supporting controversial figures

Judith Butler with a Pretty Damn Good Indictment of Identity Politics!

Freddie deBoer • 12623 implied HN points • 17 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. The election results suggest that identity politics didn't cost Democrats the vote. Voters were more concerned about issues like the economy and immigration.
  2. People get frustrated when they're talked down to, and this negativity can hurt political movements. It's important to engage people without making them feel judged.
  3. Criticism of identity politics isn't just from the right; many thinkers on the left have also raised valid concerns. There's a need for honest reflection on how these ideas have shaped recent political events.

TGIF: The Ottoman President

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 1970 implied HN points • 08 Aug 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. Trump is planning to add a large ballroom to the White House, which will have a much bigger capacity than the current East Room. It sounds fancy, but some worry about its over-the-top design.
  2. The new Rose Garden has been remodeled, and while it might be more practical for events, its look has sparked mixed feelings, like it's too fancy or not welcoming enough.
  3. The writer is looking for a business intern at The Free Press to help improve the company and her wardrobe. It shows a desire to make things more organized and efficient.

What If Trump Wants Goliath to Win?

Thinking about... • 481 implied HN points • 29 Nov 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. The David and Goliath metaphor is often used to describe Ukraine's fight against Russia, but it can lead to misconceptions about the actual situation on the ground. People sometimes view Ukraine as powerless, which influences how negotiations are approached.
  2. Many in the West, including leaders, may unconsciously favor Goliath because they don't like seeing the smaller, weaker side, Ukraine, succeed. This bias can affect how aid and support are given to Ukraine.
  3. It's crucial to recognize that Ukraine is more than just an underdog; they are capable and strong in their fight against a much larger opponent. This understanding is key to supporting them effectively against Russian aggression.

We Are Losers

Singal-Minded • 3790 implied HN points • 06 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. The anti-Trump movement is not working as it should; many think it needs a complete overhaul. People involved have gotten too caught up in their own beliefs and are not effectively addressing voters' real concerns.
  2. Despite being passionate against Trump, many in this movement are losing sight of what truly matters to average voters. They may feel strongly about their views, but those feelings are not resonating with most Americans.
  3. Instead of focusing on who to blame for their failures, the anti-Trump movement should rethink their approach. They need to attract more realistic and relatable voices to have a better chance at winning in the future.

Trump’s Back. What Now?

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 2295 implied HN points • 21 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. Trump's second inauguration was marked by dramatic actions, including pardoning people linked to the January 6 Capitol riot and bold proposals like taking back the Panama Canal.
  2. His inaugural speech focused on a national revival linked to his comeback, promising to address issues like immigration and inflation while rejecting political norms.
  3. There's an ongoing debate about TikTok's future and whether Trump will uphold the law in light of Congress's moves against the app, as he contrasts with the legal expectations set by his predecessor.

Best of The Free Press: Don’t Lie

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 2448 implied HN points • 24 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. Honesty is crucial in journalism, and it helps build trust. People prefer straightforward reporting over being misled or given spin.
  2. There has been a dangerous trend where some journalists prioritize their agendas over truth. This shift has hurt the credibility of the media.
  3. Understanding and sticking to the truth matters now more than ever. Good journalism can counteract the lies and misinformation that spread in society.

Oh No, Now The US Will Have A President Who Does Bad Things

Caitlin’s Newsletter • 2323 implied HN points • 07 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. Democrats often seem to ignore the harm they've caused, focusing on fears of future bad leadership instead. They have a history of inaction while criticizing others.
  2. There's a belief that both political parties are more similar than they let on. Both sides cater to the wealthy and powerful, keeping the status quo intact.
  3. People on the left may express more genuine concerns about morality, while others seem to care more about their image than taking a stand against wrongdoing.

Donald Trump and the Decivilizing of the Right

Richard Hanania's Newsletter • 1975 implied HN points • 17 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. American conservatism is changing in a way that some people compare to third world movements. This shift involves less focus on traditional values.
  2. The concept of 'Elite Human Capital' is about understanding who is crucial for maintaining strong institutions, not just about being smart. It suggests that even those who aren’t traditionally regarded as intelligent can still be valuable in certain roles.
  3. The flaws in the Trump movement highlight the importance of character and truth in political movements. When a political group idolizes someone who goes against these values, it signals a deeper issue within the movement.

Announcing: Book on Elite Human Capital

Richard Hanania's Newsletter • 2145 implied HN points • 25 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. The author is working on a book about Elite Human Capital, which aims to explore the differences in leadership and capabilities between groups with high and low human capital.
  2. The book will consist of both revised previous work and new content, with a focus on explaining why understanding human capital is important in today's polarized society.
  3. Current political events tie into the book's themes, highlighting how low human capital can influence leadership choices and decisions in government.

TLP's 2024 Swing-State Project: Pennsylvania (Part Two)

The Liberal Patriot • 609 implied HN points • 22 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. Pennsylvania experienced modest population growth over the past decade with significant gains in certain counties due to new jobs brought by e-commerce giants.
  2. Pennsylvania is a mostly white state with diverse racial populations concentrated in certain areas.
  3. Voting patterns in Pennsylvania show trends of white voters leaning Republican, differences in voter demographics by age, education, and union affiliation, and the importance of retaining support across various groups.

What Is To Be Done? Chronicling Our Future, as It Is Being Built.

Breaking the News • 1564 implied HN points • 23 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. People are actively thinking and organizing for a better America after the recent election. They are focused on community-driven efforts and finding ways to reconnect with each other.
  2. A lot of initiatives are happening at the state and local levels, rather than just in Washington, D.C. It's these grassroots movements that often lead to real change.
  3. Learning from history is key. Past movements show that big changes come from the bottom up, and citizens working together can create a positive shift in the national mood.

Kelce grammar

Logging the World • 299 implied HN points • 03 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. The post discusses the impact of the JN.1 wave and the implications for COVID-19 infections, admissions, and deaths.
  2. Upcoming in-person talks by the author in different locations are highlighted, emphasizing the return to normalcy and connecting with audiences.
  3. The American football documentary 'Kelce' is explored, focusing on the themes of personal sacrifices, risks, family dynamics, and the portrayal of masculinity in the modern context.

I Wish Trump Supporters Would Just Throw Us The Occasional Bone Over The Next Few Years

Singal-Minded • 660 implied HN points • 31 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. There is a strong divide between Trump supporters and those who oppose him, and it seems difficult to bridge that gap. Many people feel uneasy about the extreme loyalty Trump receives from his supporters.
  2. Unlike how critics discuss Biden and Harris, Trump's actions and comments often go without much criticism from his supporters, who tend to protect him more fiercely.
  3. Trump's blame for recent incidents on diversity requirements reflects his ongoing opposition to DEI initiatives, which some believe can overshadow genuine discussions about hiring practices. It's a complex conversation that needs clarity.

Bari’s Picks of the Week: Men Melting Down

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 306 implied HN points • 06 Jun 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. Young men are feeling lost and vulnerable, making them susceptible to extreme ideologies from both the left and right. It's important to recognize these factors if we want to help them.
  2. There's a growing interest in Catholicism among young men seeking traditional values and answers to modern problems. Many are looking for real guidance after finding that some popular influencers aren't providing the solutions they need.
  3. Democrats are struggling to connect with young men who feel abandoned by the party. They need to acknowledge the frustrations young voters have and focus on real solutions instead of just talking points.

Who is allowed to practice identity politics?

Can We Still Govern? • 805 implied HN points • 10 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. Kamala Harris did not campaign on identity politics, even though many critics claim she did. Her campaign focused more on economic issues and policies rather than solely on identity-related topics.
  2. Donald Trump did use identity politics in his campaign by targeting specific groups negatively. He often painted immigrants and other marginalized groups as threats, which resonated with certain voter bases.
  3. The media tends to label identity politics as only a left-wing issue, ignoring how right-wing politics also play on group identities, especially among white Christian nationalists.

Chartbook 331: 46 in medias res - A mosaic of the Biden administration.

Chartbook • 743 implied HN points • 05 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. The Biden administration's time in office is seen as limited, with many questioning its place in history and legacy. It seems to be moving towards a significant change after one term.
  2. The administration faced various challenges, including obstacles to its policies, which highlighted the need for balance in its approach to both domestic and foreign issues.
  3. As tensions with China increase and significant decisions around issues like climate and economic policy continue, the Biden presidency is grappling with its role in a changing global landscape.

Blame the Right-Wing Noise Machine, Not the Facts on the Ground, for Voters' Dismay About the Economy

Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality • 338 implied HN points • 16 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. Voters are unhappy about the economy, but it's mainly because they are influenced by misinformation from certain media sources. The reality of the economy isn't as bad as many believe.
  2. The official statistics show a certain level of unemployment and underemployment, but this has always been a part of the economic landscape. People misunderstand these numbers and feel worse than the data suggests.
  3. Many believe the economy is struggling due to flawed statistics, but this misunderstanding has been constant. The data doesn't paint a complete picture of people's real experiences in the job market.

Are You Charismatic Or Charming?

The Ruffian • 460 implied HN points • 16 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. Charisma and charm are different. Charisma makes someone seem larger than life, while charm makes them relatable and friendly.
  2. Political figures can succeed with either style, but they should stick to what suits them best. Trying too hard to switch styles can backfire.
  3. It's helpful to know if you are more charismatic or charming, as this can guide your interactions and relationships both personally and professionally.

The Ben Shapiro "Honesty" Hustle

Slack Tide by Matt Labash • 203 implied HN points • 15 May 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. Donald Trump is often seen as a conman who focuses on personal gain rather than the needs of his supporters. Many people find it ironic that he seeks luxury, like a $400 million private jet, while his followers struggle financially.
  2. Ben Shapiro, a prominent right-wing commentator, has sometimes pointed out Trump’s wrongdoings. However, he continues to support Trump despite these criticisms, which raises questions about his integrity.
  3. The Republican Party has shifted under Trump's influence, seemingly moving away from traditional values to support his more questionable actions, leading to a perception of corruption within the party.

It couldn't have gone much better

Worcester Sucks and I Love It • 255 implied HN points • 07 Sep 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. Overall turnout for the election was low at 9.1%, similar to past preliminaries.
  2. The chosen candidates from Worcester Sucks for different districts performed well and are advancing to the general election.
  3. Progressive candidates like Bilotta and Haxhiaj have strong chances in the upcoming elections, potentially leading to a shift in power dynamics within the City Council.

the democratic joe rogan

bad cattitude • 357 implied HN points • 09 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. The left is struggling with a lack of humor, thought diversity, and genuine connection, making it hard to attract new supporters. It often resorts to strict ideological tests that push people away.
  2. Many former left-leaning individuals feel alienated as the party has become more extreme, pushing them to seek alternatives. This shift has created frustration and led to a sense of disconnection with the mainstream.
  3. There is a desire for authenticity and genuine conversation in politics. People are tired of fake interactions and want leaders who can ask tough questions and speak honestly, rather than sticking to scripted, safe narratives.

On the Tory Cult of Personality and its Consequences

Wrong Side of History • 322 implied HN points • 06 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis
  1. The UK implemented open borders, which some believe was planned rather than accidental. Brexit provided a reason to change immigration policies.
  2. The previous government's approach to immigration seemed to be based on short-term goals and a belief that immigration was positive.
  3. Boris Johnson's leadership style appeared to be influenced by a desire for approval from elite groups, rather than focusing on nationalist policies.