The hottest Peace negotiations Substack posts right now

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The Hostage Deal Is the Price of Israel’s Failures

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 3046 implied HN points • 15 Jan 25
🌍 World Politics International relations Middle East Conflict resolution Peace negotiations Geopolitics
  1. Israel is close to making a deal with Hamas to release captives. The first step involves freeing 33 hostages, including children and the elderly.
  2. The deal has three phases that could lead to the end of the conflict, but each phase relies on the success of the previous one.
  3. If the deal works, it will bring mixed feelings in Israel, with joy for the hostages' return but also anger and disappointment about the circumstances.

A three-state solution is the only viable future for Israel and the Palestinians

Noahpinion • 27882 implied HN points • 08 Oct 23
🌍 World Politics Middle East Israel-Palestine conflict Global relations Territorial disputes Peace negotiations
  1. A three-state solution with Israel and two independent Palestinian states is proposed as a realistic solution.
  2. Large-scale ethnic cleansing is minimized, and non-contiguous states are deemed unviable.
  3. The current situation on the ground should be formalized with minor modifications for a lasting resolution.

Would It Be Over?

Points And Figures • 932 implied HN points • 10 Mar 24
🌍 World Politics Conflict Terrorism Diplomacy Foreign Aid Peace negotiations
  1. The bombing of German cities during WWII had a significant impact on post-war Germany, changing behaviors and diminishing the desire for another war.
  2. A large majority of Palestinians desire the erasure of Israel from the international map, similar to the sentiment among German citizens under Hitler in the 1940s.
  3. Complete and total war on terrorist organizations like Hamas and Hezbollah is seen as necessary for the peace of Israel and the world, rather than proposing humanitarian aid or two-state solutions.

THE NEW CEASEFIRE EQUATION

Seymour Hersh • 29 implied HN points • 20 Dec 24
🌍 World Politics Middle East International relations Conflict resolution Geopolitics Peace negotiations
  1. Saudi Arabia is getting involved in talks between Israel and Hamas, which could change how Gaza is rebuilt in the future. This is a new factor that hasn't been part of earlier negotiations.
  2. In exchange for support in rebuilding Gaza, Saudi Arabia might get defense deals with the U.S. to protect against Iran's nuclear threats. This includes the possibility of the U.S. providing a defense shield for Saudi Arabia.
  3. The talks involve the potential for a two-state solution, which Israel's leadership has generally rejected. However, there's cautious optimism about creating new political leadership for the Palestinians in Gaza.
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Paying For Peace

Model Thinking • 239 implied HN points • 26 Mar 23
🌍 World Politics Conflict resolution Military Strategy Economic Impact International relations Peace negotiations
  1. One potential strategy to end the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is to pay Russian soldiers to surrender, offering significant sums of money and potentially EU citizenship for them and their families.
  2. Economist Bryan Caplan suggests that offering both payments and citizenship could be more effective in incentivizing soldiers to defect compared to just financial compensation.
  3. By estimating the impact and potential gains of implementing such a strategy, it is suggested that it could lead to a quicker end of the war, saving significant resources and lives, if successfully executed.

Violence in Israel-Palestine Is A Choice.

JoeWrote • 26 implied HN points • 10 Oct 23
🌍 World Politics Middle East Conflict resolution Colonialism Human Rights Peace negotiations
  1. The ongoing violence in Israel-Palestine is a result of choices made by the Israeli government.
  2. Historically, conflicts like the one in Israel-Palestine have been resolved when oppressors choose to end the oppression.
  3. Israel has the power to end the cycle of violence by making choices for peace, but has chosen to perpetuate the conflict.