The hottest Elections Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways

THE SHOW NOTES: Hurricane Milton, October 7th, & Kamala Has No Answer

Erick Erickson's Confessions of a Political Junkie • 939 implied HN points • 07 Oct 24

Hurricane Milton is a powerful storm with winds over 150 mph, forcing many people in Florida to evacuate. The storm is expected to make recovery from Hurricane Helene even harder due to existing debris.
Kamala Harris faced tough questions about her economic plans, but she struggled to provide clear answers. This lack of clarity may impact her support in upcoming elections.
Viktor Bout, a notorious arms dealer, is reportedly back in business selling weapons to Houthi militants in Yemen. His comeback raises concerns about future conflicts and arms sales in the region.

Stop Making Cents?

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 282 implied HN points • 12 Feb 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Policy Elections Public Opinion Trump

The cost of making a penny is greater than its value, leading to debates about whether they should continue to be produced.
Some people believe that the penny has sentimental value and shouldn't be discarded just because it doesn't seem practical.
The argument against the penny includes the huge losses the government faces from minting them, which may outweigh any emotional reasons to keep them.

What Happened to Joe Biden the Moderate?

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 2392 implied HN points • 12 Jan 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Policies Leadership Public Opinion Political strategy

Joe Biden started his presidential campaign as a moderate, focusing on sensible policies and restoring America's soul. Most other Democratic candidates were leaning more towards progressive ideas.
Instead of moving towards the center during the general election, Biden formed unity task forces with progressive leaders. These task forces created policies that leaned more left than what he promised during his campaign.
In the end, Biden's desire for a transformational presidency led to low popularity, showing that his governing style didn't match his moderate campaign image.

Mid-day reading: Harris’s Campaign, Voter Trends, and 2024 Stakes

COVID Reason • 337 implied HN points • 18 Oct 24

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Campaigns Voter trends Political Analysis Media Coverage

Kamala Harris needs to create a strong, positive message if she wants to win against Trump. She should focus on being a visionary leader rather than just bringing up past issues.
Harris is facing challenges connecting with important voter groups, especially Black men and Latino men. How she addresses these voters could really impact her campaign.
The outcome of this election is crucial not just for Harris, but also for the Obama-Biden legacy. A loss could change the Democratic Party's future and influence.

Mark Zuckerberg’s Vibe Shift. Plus. . .

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 2810 implied HN points • 08 Jan 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Censorship Policy Changes Media influence Political critique

Mark Zuckerberg's company, Meta, is changing its approach to free speech by ending fact-checking and reducing censorship on its platforms. This shift seems to be a response to political changes and the desire to align more with conservative values.
Canadians share responsibility for the failures of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, as his government faced criticism after a dramatic fall from grace. The country's political climate also contributed to his decline.
Nicotine use is becoming more associated with conservative politics. Many nicotine users supported Trump in the last election, showing how political views around tobacco are shifting.

Get a weekly roundup of the best Substack posts, by hacker news affinity:

The Rising Democratic Coalition Fell. Now What?

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 1711 implied HN points • 19 Jan 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Voting Political parties Civil Rights Demographics

The Democratic Party is struggling to keep the support of minority voters, which was once a stronghold for them. Changes in the political landscape mean they can't take this loyalty for granted anymore.
Many believed that the growing diversity in America would always benefit the Democrats, creating a lasting majority. However, recent election results have shown that this may not be the case.
Donald Trump's political rise is challenging the Democrats to rethink and address their relationship with voters of color, prompting a need for change in strategy.

The January 6 Pardons and the Rule of Law

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 1534 implied HN points • 22 Jan 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Law Elections Political parties Civil Rights

Donald Trump has pardoned many people involved in the January 6 Capitol riot, including those who assaulted police. This move has raised questions about the fairness of justice for violent actions.
Some Republican leaders believe that only peaceful protesters should be pardoned, indicating a divide in opinions about accountability for violence.
The mass pardoning contrasts with previous statements from officials who suggested a more selective approach to granting pardons for the events of that day.

The Hon. Amb. Dr. Harald Malmgren Passed....

Dr. Pippa's Pen & Podcast • 66 implied HN points • 24 Feb 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political History Elections Trade policy International relations

Dr. Harald Malmgren was a significant figure, advising many U.S. presidents and global leaders throughout his career. His insights shaped policy during critical historical moments, including the Cuban Missile Crisis.
He had a deep connection with his daughter, who spent meaningful time with him in his later years. Their relationship evolved, allowing them to reconnect and share important experiences right before his passing.
As she navigates her grief, his daughter plans to pause her writing and embark on a spiritual pilgrimage, reflecting their discussions on the importance of spiritual growth as technology advances.

Donald Trump 2.0

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 1623 implied HN points • 20 Jan 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political parties Democracy Public Opinion Political Analysis

Donald Trump is starting his second term as president and this time has a clear mandate to act, likely bringing a new energy to his leadership style.
The Democratic Party is losing support among minority voters, and it needs to listen more to the concerns of working-class people of color to win them back.
The internet's influence on politics has led to significant shifts, with figures like Trump using effective public speech to gain and maintain power in a complex political landscape.

The US Has Taken Sides--Against Democracy

Phillips’s Newsletter • 317 implied HN points • 19 Feb 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Policy Leadership International relations Public Opinion

Trump has shifted U.S. policy to blame Ukraine for the ongoing war with Russia. This shows a clear stance against democracy and freedom.
His comments indicate that America is moving away from being a global defender of democratic values. This change has serious implications for countries that depend on U.S. support.
Recognizing that this is the official U.S. government position is crucial. It reflects a broader issue within American politics, and not just Trump's individual beliefs.

On "Remnants"

TK News by Matt Taibbi • 6117 implied HN points • 10 Dec 24

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Events Elections Government Agencies Political Figures Investigations

Michael Caputo is a complicated figure, once known for his work in American aid during the 90s, but later came under fire during the Russiagate investigation. His story raises questions about how political narratives can change perceptions of people's actions.
The Russiagate investigation had real-life consequences, affecting the lives of many individuals, including Caputo, who faced serious personal challenges during this time. It's important to think about the human impact of these political investigations.
There is an ongoing debate about whether it's worth investigating the origins of the Russiagate claims, considering the lives that were affected. Reflecting on stories like Caputo's might help inform that decision.

POLLS CLOSED: First Election Prognoses Too Close to Call on Most Important Questions

eugyppius: a plague chronicle • 169 implied HN points • 23 Feb 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Voting Polling Government Coalitions

The election results are too close to call, making it hard to predict the outcome. This uncertainty means we'll have to wait for more counting before we know who really won.
Some parties didn't do as well as expected while others performed better. It's surprising how quickly things can change in politics.
Coalition possibilities are unclear because some smaller parties are close to the 5% threshold. This will impact how the bigger parties can team up to form a government.

Britain’s Project 2029

Wrong Side of History • 617 implied HN points • 29 Jan 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political strategy Public Policy Elections Government actions Political Commentary

Trump's return to presidency has led to significant changes in American policies, especially regarding immigration and diversity programs. Many people are excited about these shifts.
There is a noticeable contrast between the proactive measures of the new American administration and the lack of clear direction from the British government under Starmer. This difference is leading to a feeling of stagnation in Britain.
Voters prefer a government that takes action and shows energy. In contrast, the current British leadership is seen as tired and lacking a strong vision, which is making them unpopular.

Bend The Knee

KERFUFFLE • 33 implied HN points • 15 Feb 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Elections Political parties Immigration Law

Mayor Eric Adams is trying to work closely with the Trump administration, especially on immigration. This seems more like he is being controlled than collaborating.
There was a corruption case against Adams, but it was dropped to ensure his cooperation. This puts him in a vulnerable position with the Trump team.
Some Department of Justice lawyers resigned because they did not want to be part of a deal that traded political loyalty for ignoring potential corruption. This shows serious issues within the government.

Election Update 7: A Possible Ostensible Theoretical End

TK News by Matt Taibbi • 11634 implied HN points • 06 Nov 24

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Candidates Voting Political News Public Opinion

Donald Trump seems to have won Pennsylvania according to some news sources, while others say we have to wait longer for all the votes to be counted.
Fox News and Scripps both called Pennsylvania and Wisconsin for Trump, suggesting he may have won fairly this time.
The situation is tense and could lead to chaotic reactions depending on the final results, but for now, it's time to rest and see what tomorrow brings.

Perspective

Points And Figures • 932 implied HN points • 06 Feb 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Leadership Government Public Policy Political Opinions

Different people can have varying perspectives on the same situation. For example, traders in different markets may see things differently based on their positions.
Recent political events have exposed a lot of government corruption and misinformation. Many people are starting to see the truth behind past political narratives.
Social media is becoming a more reliable source for finding the truth in the current landscape. It's interesting how platforms can shift the narrative and reveal important information.

Trump’s Populism Isn’t a Sideshow. It’s as American as Apple Pie.

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 1395 implied HN points • 22 Jan 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Populism Political History Political Commentary Elections Media

Populism is a strong feeling in America that often pits ordinary people against the powerful elite. It's more about emotions and attitudes than strict political plans.
Trump's approach to politics echoes past leaders like Andrew Jackson, who also promised to challenge the established order and 'drain the swamp.' This shows how deeply rooted populism is in American history.
Populism can lead to big changes in government, where people express their frustration with the ruling class and demand action. It can shake things up and even remove those in power.

Farewell to Canada’s Golden Boy. Plus. . .

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 2633 implied HN points • 07 Jan 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Legislation Policies Public Opinion Governance

Justin Trudeau's resignation marks the end of his nearly decade-long term as Canada's prime minister. His fall from grace is attributed to controversial ideas on various issues like the economy and immigration.
There are ongoing discussions about the safety and stability of New York City, with ideas on how to restore order amid rising lawlessness. Some suggest that banning masks could help reduce crime-related anonymity.
Recent tragedies have sparked a debate about the impact of language and narratives on societal safety. Conversations are emerging about the consequences of divisive rhetoric, especially in light of recent violent events.

Pennsylvania Update: GOP Showing BIG Increases from 2020 and 2022

COVID Reason • 297 implied HN points • 18 Oct 24

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Voting Political parties Polls Campaigns

Early voting in Pennsylvania shows Republicans have surged by over 51% since 2020, with an even bigger jump of 83% from 2022 to 2024.
Democrats, however, are down by 14% since 2020 but have slightly increased their early voting compared to 2022.
The biggest Democratic areas are in Philadelphia and Allegheny County, while places like Bedford and Fulton County are strongholds for Republicans.

TGIF: The Lame Duck

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 4488 implied HN points • 20 Dec 24

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Presidency Budgeting Political parties Government Policy Elections

President Biden is facing criticisms about his mental health and lack of engagement with key government officials, raising concerns about his leadership capabilities.
President-elect Elon Musk and Donald Trump are disrupting the traditional budget process, causing Congress to struggle with passing a new budget amid rising tensions.
There's a contrast in political styles between Biden, who presents a moderate image, and Musk, who is approaching governance in a radically different way, hinting at significant changes ahead.

Umm... Trump might actually win this thing.

COVID Reason • 693 implied HN points • 09 Oct 24

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polling Campaigns Political strategies Political Analysis

Polls often underestimate Donald Trump's support, which could mean he might win in 2024 if the trend continues.
Pennsylvania is crucial for the election, and recent party registration changes there could tip the scales in Trump's favor.
Recent polls show Trump and his opponent, Kamala Harris, are very close, much tighter than in past elections, suggesting a competitive race.

The Transcript Editor's Commentary

The Transcript • 19 implied HN points • 30 Oct 24

💰 Finance Economics Investment Monetary Policy Consumer spending Elections

The economy seems stable and strong, with good consumer spending and low delinquency rates. People are feeling positive about their finances.
Optimism in businesses is growing, especially with recent changes in interest rates. However, for more demand, companies want more rate cuts and easier lending conditions.
The upcoming presidential election is important for the economy. The new president will influence economic policies that could affect the markets for years to come.

J.D. Vance was right that "there is no room for firewalls," and if the CDU are not careful, they may well prove his point with their own destruction

eugyppius: a plague chronicle • 243 implied HN points • 20 Feb 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political parties Public Policy Government Political Analysis

The current German political system is facing a crisis due to the fear of the political class towards their own people. They are stuck in old ways and unable to change policies that aren't working.
The CDU, a major political party, might find itself in a tough spot. If they don't collaborate with the far-right AfD party, they risk losing power to the left-wing parties who could form a strong coalition.
There's a chance the CDU will have to make hard compromises to stay relevant. If they keep ignoring the AfD, they may end up with a government that doesn't reflect what many voters want.

Memo to Trump: Beware the ‘Reverse Teddy’

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 908 implied HN points • 29 Jan 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Foreign Policy National Security International relations Political strategy Elections

Trump's recent actions have shown strength in dealing with issues in Latin America, but it may come at the cost of ignoring global concerns.
In his first term, Trump managed to maintain a strong presence in Europe and Asia, avoiding new conflicts and making significant deals.
There are worries that in his second term, Trump might focus too much on the Western Hemisphere and neglect vital international relationships.

How Biden Screwed the Steelworkers

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 2833 implied HN points • 03 Jan 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Policy Labor Economics National Security

Biden blocked Nippon Steel's $14.9 million purchase of U.S. Steel, claiming it was for national security reasons. This decision upset many steelworkers who supported the deal.
While Biden aimed to keep the steel industry American-owned, his action might actually harm the industry and cost jobs.
The motivation behind blocking the sale seems to blend political strategy with a nostalgic view of unions, but it risks hurting union workers and the local economy.

Weekend Report: What's going on?

The Signorile Report • 879 implied HN points • 05 Oct 24

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Media Biden Trump Democrats

Democrats had a strong week, with positive news on the economy, ending workers' strikes, and job growth. These issues are important for voters as elections approach.
Biden highlighted concerns about possible violence around the upcoming election, which the media hasn't focused on enough, especially regarding Trump's actions.
Trump and JD Vance missed an important Christian nationalist event this year, raising questions about Trump's stance on sensitive issues like abortion and his connection to that group.

sunday government pool

bad cattitude • 109 implied HN points • 09 Feb 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Elections Policy Civil Rights Public Opinion

Trying to make an impact in the world doesn't guarantee that others will notice or agree with you. It's important to understand that different perspectives exist.
The concept of changing times suggests adaptability is key for success. Being flexible and open to new ideas can help you navigate challenges better.
It can be hard to find your place in a world that has its own opinions. However, staying true to yourself is important, even when faced with disagreement from others.

Judicial Notice (10.13.24): October Surprises

Original Jurisdiction • 459 implied HN points • 13 Oct 24

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Judiciary Legislation Elections Campaigns Civil Rights

Gentner Drummond, Oklahoma's Republican Attorney General, is pushing for a retrial in a controversial death penalty case, which has created division among state officials.
The Supreme Court is looking into a key case about 'ghost guns,' with arguments taking place this week, indicating the court's interest in regulating new gun technologies.
Judge Stephen Higginson from the Fifth Circuit is becoming known for his support of DACA, standing out amidst contrasting views on immigration policy within his court.

ACX Endorses Harris, Oliver, Or Stein

Astral Codex Ten • 37235 implied HN points • 30 Oct 24

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political parties Political theory Government Accountability Political Campaigns

It's suggested to vote for Kamala Harris in swing states and consider third-party candidates in safe states. This is a way to support candidates seen as better alternatives to Donald Trump.
There are concerns about Donald Trump's authoritarian tendencies, including potential manipulation of election processes and threats to opponents. This could gradually undermine democracy.
Some argue that while both major parties have authoritarian traits, the urgency to prevent Trump's rise is heightened since he might more openly challenge democratic norms compared to the Democrats.

Finally Seeing Movement Toward A Gaza Ceasefire As Biden Moves Out Of The Way

Caitlin’s Newsletter • 1774 implied HN points • 15 Jan 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Policy Elections International relations Government Public Opinion

There's a new chance for a ceasefire in Gaza, which many hope could bring some peace after a long time of fighting. It's a step forward, but not everything is settled yet.
Pressure from the incoming Trump administration seems to have helped negotiate this ceasefire deal. This raises questions about Biden's actions during the conflict.
If the ceasefire holds, it might show that Biden's approach harmed the situation more than other presidents might have. Many believe that a strong stance could have led to better outcomes for the Palestinians.

THE SHOW NOTES: Debate Review, Assaulting An Ex-Girlfriend, & How Will Israel Respond?

Erick Erickson's Confessions of a Political Junkie • 1019 implied HN points • 02 Oct 24

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Debates Policy Public Opinion International relations

The recent Vice Presidential debate showed a surprising level of respect between candidates, with JD Vance appearing to win the exchanges better than Tim Walz.
Doug Emhoff, Vice President Kamala Harris's husband, has been accused of assaulting an ex-girlfriend, which could impact public perception.
Israel responded to a large missile attack from Iran and is expected to retaliate targeting Iran's financial and energy sectors, which shows rising tensions in the region.

ACX Survey Results 2025

Astral Codex Ten • 14591 implied HN points • 29 Jan 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Surveys Elections Public Opinion Political Behavior COVID-19 Criminal Justice

The survey showed that people's attitudes about Donald Trump have changed positively, with his favorability ratings increasing over time.
About 4.5% of participants reported experiencing Long COVID, and while new cases are appearing, many seem to improve over time.
Most respondents prefer older architecture over modern styles, and they tend to support softer approaches to punishment for minor crimes like shoplifting.

TGIF: It All Comes Out

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 4915 implied HN points • 13 Dec 24

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Elections Economy Policy Media

Melania Trump is promoting Christmas ornaments this year, showcasing her designs and emphasizing their patriotic theme. This may hint at a future where political events are paired with merchandise.
Janet Yellen has acknowledged that the U.S. is facing a significant deficit, raising concerns about fiscal responsibility. She suggests that future spending needs to be more careful to manage this debt.
There’s criticism regarding recent government spending, particularly on student loan forgiveness, which some believe primarily benefits wealthier individuals. This has sparked debate about fiscal sustainability.

The Shootout at The White House

John’s Substack • 12 implied HN points • 01 Mar 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Elections Policy International relations Political Commentary

A serious conflict occurred at the White House involving President Zelensky and US leaders. This conflict sparked a lot of discussion about its impact on international relations.
Experts, like LTC Danny Davis, are discussing what the exchange means for Ukraine's future and America's role in global affairs. It highlights the tensions in current political climates.
People are watching to see how these events will shape future interactions between the countries involved. The outcomes could affect many lives and political dynamics.

The Evolution of Marco Rubio. Plus...

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 1641 implied HN points • 16 Jan 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Legislation Elections Government Policy Media

Marco Rubio has shifted his stance from a hawkish perspective to a more realist approach regarding U.S. foreign policy, focusing on opportunities in war-torn regions.
Biden's $42 billion broadband program aimed to provide internet access to rural areas has faced major setbacks due to bureaucratic issues and regulatory challenges.
A researcher argues that factors beyond climate change contribute to events like California wildfires, suggesting a need for a more balanced view on climate issues.

Martin Gurri: Trump Has a Mandate to Lead. What Comes Next?

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 1395 implied HN points • 19 Jan 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Populism Elections Governance Democracy

Many people are unhappy with the current system and feel that leaders do not care about them. There is a growing distrust toward institutions that were once respected.
Public dissatisfaction is seen in various movements worldwide, highlighting a desire for change and a disconnect between elites and everyday citizens.
The rise of digital communication has exposed the problems with traditional institutions, making it harder for them to maintain authority without accountability.

February 21, 2025

Letters from an American • 26 implied HN points • 22 Feb 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Government Polls Public Opinion Policy

Elon Musk's influence in Trump's administration seems to be unpopular with many Americans. A lot of people think he's overstepping and worried about privacy issues.
Trump's approval ratings are low, with many Americans disapproving of his actions, like budget cuts and treatment of immigrants. Even some Republicans oppose his pardons for Capitol riot offenders.
State governors are pushing back against Trump's approach, asserting the need for rule of law and refusing to comply with his directives like those affecting transgender athletes.

Pete Hegseth Fights Back. Plus...

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 1697 implied HN points • 15 Jan 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Policy Elections Media Public Opinion

Price gouging laws in Los Angeles may seem good, but they can actually hurt people in desperate situations. It might limit supply and make it harder for those in need to get help.
Pornography is likely here to stay, regardless of attempts to restrict it. Even if laws are passed, people will still find ways to access it, highlighting challenges in internet freedom.
Shopping shouldn't be seen as a hobby. Real hobbies involve creativity and skill, while buying things is more about spending money than personal fulfillment.

One Man

Steady • 45343 implied HN points • 23 Jan 24

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Policy Elections Partisanship Leadership

One man has fundamentally changed the political landscape and societal norms.
He has impacted various aspects of life, from personal interactions to policies and climate change efforts.
His influence has provoked divisions and challenges that require collective effort to address.

The executive order Trump should sign: AI watermarks

The Intrinsic Perspective • 15413 implied HN points • 23 Jan 25

🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Regulation Executive orders AI Policy Elections Public Trust

AI watermarks are important to ensure that AI outputs can be traced. This helps distinguish real content from that generated by bots, supporting the integrity of human communication.
Watermarking can help prevent abuse of AI in areas like education and politics. It allows for accountability, so that if AI is used maliciously, it can be tracked back to its source.
Implementing watermarking doesn't limit how AI companies work or their freedom. Instead, it promotes transparency and protects public trust in systems influenced by AI.