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Quant Letter: November 2024, Week-3

The Parlour • 0 implied HN points • 20 Nov 24
💰 Finance Risk management Quantitative finance Market Analysis Financial Models Investment Strategies
  1. Vulnerability Conditional Risk Measures help assess risk during financial crises. They focus on understanding tail risks in the market.
  2. Research on heavy-tailed risks can show how certain extreme events might develop. It looks into the behavior of sums of risk factors.
  3. New studies in finance are slowly changing how we understand and measure risk. Keeping up with these developments can improve investment strategies.

Crypto Market & Polymarket Dynamics Heading into Elections

Coin Metrics' State of the Network • 0 implied HN points • 05 Nov 24
🔮 Crypto Market Analysis Investment Strategies Election Impact
  1. Bitcoin usually saw big gains after U.S. elections, but the amount gained has been going down each time. Events like Bitcoin halvings and changes by the Federal Reserve also affect these gains.
  2. Around U.S. elections, the price of Bitcoin becomes more volatile and tends to stay that way for about a month after. This means traders are adjusting to new information as the election gets closer.
  3. Polymarket, a prediction market, shows changing odds for the election, with international traders reacting to U.S. political news, often trading during U.S. night hours. This suggests a global interest in U.S. elections.

Economic Calendar for the Week of January 19, 2025

Alex's Personal Blog • 0 implied HN points • 19 Jan 25
💰 Finance Market Trends Economic Events Earnings Reports Investment Strategies Global Economy
  1. This week's economic calendar includes important U.S. and global events, so it’s a good time to pay attention to financial news.
  2. Earnings reports from companies like 3M and American Express are happening this week, which could affect their stock prices.
  3. Key economic indicators such as jobless claims, retail sales, and inflation rates will be released, providing insights into the economy's health.

Game Over? (Summer 2022)

The Valley of Dunning-Kruger • 0 implied HN points • 27 Jan 25
💼 Business Venture Capital Investment Strategies Market Trends Financial Analysis Fund management
  1. The tech market has experienced a crash that affected many investment firms, especially Tiger Global, which focused on rapid investments without preparing for downturns. This shows the importance of balancing speed with caution in investing.
  2. Emerging 'Venture Platforms' will likely dominate the market by leveraging their scale and resources, creating stronger advantages over smaller firms. It’s about using size to deliver better services to startups.
  3. Venture capital is moving into an 'asset accumulation' phase, where larger firms will capture more market share, which can lower overall returns for investors. This shift poses challenges and opportunities for smaller funds and their strategies.