The hottest Investment Strategies Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top Finance Topics

My 6 Rules of Money

The Honest Broker • 16955 implied HN points • 11 Feb 25
💰 Finance Personal Finance Wealth Management Investment Strategies Financial Literacy
  1. Money doesn't guarantee happiness. An athlete with a $100 million net worth felt miserable after retirement because he missed the purpose and routine sports provided him.
  2. Having goals and a sense of purpose is crucial for personal fulfillment. The athlete struggled to find meaning in life once he lost the structure that sports gave him.
  3. Simply having wealth can lead to a feeling of emptiness without passion or direction in life. It's important to have interests and commitments that keep you engaged beyond financial success.

Your memecoin is your slush fund

Noahpinion • 25529 implied HN points • 21 Jan 25
🔮 Crypto Digital Assets Speculation Market Trends Regulation Investment Strategies
  1. Memecoins like TRUMP and MELANIA are seen as a way to make money without the usual transactions. They can allow people to support political figures while avoiding direct payments.
  2. These coins do not have the same respect as traditional cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Many believe they could harm the overall reputation of crypto, as they mainly serve speculative purposes.
  3. Buying these memecoins could be a form of legal corruption, allowing individuals to give money to leaders or celebrities while disguising the true nature of the transaction, similar to a bribe.

No Pats On the Back

Points And Figures • 772 implied HN points • 27 Feb 25
💼 Business Entrepreneurship Venture Capital Investment Strategies Economic Development
  1. Chicago lacks the investment and willingness to take risks that cities like Silicon Valley and New York have. This makes it hard for startups to get support.
  2. Entrepreneurial ecosystems thrive when they focus on merit and tolerance for failure. Chicago is seen as outdated in these aspects.
  3. The culture in Chicago often emphasizes who you are instead of what you can achieve, which can hinder innovation and growth.

Evolution: A Sign of Resilience

The Wolf of Harcourt Street • 779 implied HN points • 25 Oct 24
💼 Business Finance Market Analysis Investment Strategies
  1. Evolution's revenue grew by 15% for the second quarter in a row, showing strong demand in its Live segment. This is great news as most of their money comes from this area.
  2. Despite facing challenges like labor issues and cyber-attacks, Evolution has been able to keep its business model scalable. They managed to serve more players with fewer staff, which helps with costs.
  3. The company is expanding globally, opening new studios in places like Colombia and the Czech Republic. They plan to keep growing, aiming to tap into more markets like Brazil and the Philippines.
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Money Market Update

Concoda • 243 implied HN points • 09 Jun 25
💰 Finance Market Analysis Investment Strategies Economic Trends Bond Market
  1. The money market is currently stable, with dealers holding more U.S. Treasuries. This might lead to more relaxed conditions in the market.
  2. Investors are not as worried about future issues with T-bills as they were during the previous debt ceiling crisis. This suggests a more confident market outlook.
  3. Upcoming auctions of longer-term bonds are expected to attract foreign investors, which could positively impact yields despite fears about rising rates.

Knives Out at Intel

Dana Blankenhorn: Facing the Future • 19 implied HN points • 31 Oct 24
💼 Business Corporate Governance Market Analysis Technology Industry Leadership Changes Investment Strategies
  1. Intel's CEO Pat Gelsinger is losing Wall Street's trust, and there are calls for a big change in leadership. Many believe he should be replaced to help the company recover.
  2. The company might benefit from splitting up its different parts and selling them off, especially Mobileye and its design division. This could help bring in cash and new management.
  3. Intel needs strong leadership that can deliver on promises, especially for national security reasons. A partnership with a successful company like Taiwan Semiconductor could be a step in the right direction.

Investment Portfolio Strategies - A Beginner's Guide (Part 1)

Concepts of Finance 🧠 • 379 implied HN points • 26 Sep 24
💰 Finance Investment Strategies Risk management Portfolio Management Financial planning Market Analysis
  1. Having an investment strategy is important because it helps you reach your financial goals. It guides your decisions based on your goals, how much risk you're comfortable with, and your future needs.
  2. Different investment strategies exist, like the 60/40 portfolio which mixes stocks and bonds, or the All Weather portfolio which is built for various economic conditions. Each has its pros and cons depending on your investment style.
  3. Before investing, ask yourself key questions about your savings, future expenses, and how much risk you can handle. This will help you create a strategy that fits your personal financial situation.

Understanding the Altcoin Market

DeFi Education • 719 implied HN points • 18 Sep 24
🔮 Crypto Altcoins DeFi Market Analysis Investment Strategies Trading
  1. There are many altcoins in the market now, making it really important to choose wisely. With less money available to invest, knowing which altcoins to pick can help you succeed.
  2. Tokens usually come from either private markets or public launches, and the early investors can affect a token's success. It’s important to understand how and when these tokens are released to predict their future value.
  3. In the world of altcoins, prices often shift based on news or market trends. Staying informed and understanding the market dynamics can give you an edge when trading or investing.

This Next Market Crash Will Break Our Fragile Brains

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 67 implied HN points • 23 Feb 25
💰 Finance Market Trends Investment Strategies Economic Theory Behavioral Finance Financial Risks
  1. The next market crash may have serious psychological effects on investors. Many people today haven't experienced a long-lasting downturn, which could be shocking for them.
  2. Current stock prices are very high compared to earnings, which might lead to a big correction. People are buying stocks without truly understanding their worth.
  3. The economy is facing challenges that could lead to stagflation. If that happens, it might hurt everyday people more than the wealthy, widening financial inequalities.

Getting to the Fun Part

The Transcript • 139 implied HN points • 21 Oct 24
💰 Finance Market Trends Economic Policy Consumer behavior Investment Strategies Corporate Finance
  1. The economy is showing signs of resilience, with positive movements even though growth isn't super strong. People are feeling more optimistic about things improving.
  2. A drop in interest rates could lead to more business activity and investment. However, experts believe we might need more rate cuts for that to happen.
  3. Consumers are cautious but still spending. Overall, the job market remains steady, and many are waiting to see how upcoming events affect the economy.

The Corporate Life Cycle: Managing, Valuation and Investing Implications

Musings on Markets • 1438 implied HN points • 20 Aug 24
💼 Business Corporate Finance Valuation Investment Strategies Management Economic Trends
  1. Businesses, like people, go through life cycles. They start as new ideas, grow, and eventually decline if not managed properly.
  2. Companies age differently, impacting their strategies and financial health. Younger companies often focus on growth, while older ones need to defend their position or manage decline.
  3. The skills and qualities needed in leadership change with a company's age. A startup needs a visionary leader, while a declining company may require a pragmatic approach to manage its downsizing.

How Do VCs Really Make Decisions?💡

The VC Corner • 459 implied HN points • 10 Sep 24
💼 Business Venture Capital Investment Strategies Entrepreneurship Market Analysis Financial Metrics
  1. VCs find deals through strong networks and relationships, not just random pitches. They carefully prune their opportunities, meaning a standout startup has a better chance of getting noticed.
  2. When it comes to choosing which startups to invest in, VCs place a big emphasis on the management team and the market potential. A great team can adapt and succeed, no matter how the market changes.
  3. Valuation is a delicate balance where VCs analyze exit opportunities and compare with similar companies. They aim for high returns, especially on early-stage investments, which comes with a lot of risk.

Not Much has Changed

The Transcript • 179 implied HN points • 15 Oct 24
💰 Finance Macroeconomics Interest Rates Consumer behavior Investment Strategies Labor Market
  1. The economy is doing okay overall, even though growth has slowed down a bit since the Fed lowered interest rates. It seems like things are more stable than expected.
  2. Consumers are still spending, and there’s no big drop in retail shopping, which is a good sign for the economy. Most people are managing to keep up with their finances.
  3. Investors are holding onto a lot of cash right now and might be waiting for better opportunities to invest. Many think current asset prices are too high.

Making Markets in Time

Pivotal • 330 implied HN points • 25 Jan 25
💼 Business Venture Capital Market Trends Startup Growth Investment Strategies Financial Models
  1. Silicon Valley focuses on 'temporal arbitrage', which is about making money over time by investing at different stages of a startup's growth. This helps investors bridge gaps between early ideas and established companies.
  2. The modern venture capital system divides funding into specific stages, like seed and series rounds. Each investor specializes in different stages, making the process smoother and more efficient.
  3. Success in venture capital often comes from being part of a shared consensus on what makes a company fundable. Investors try to follow trends rather than go against the grain to align with what other investors believe.

Money Market Update

Concoda • 281 implied HN points • 20 May 25
💰 Finance Market Analysis Investment Strategies Economic Trends Monetary Policy Financial Education
  1. Cash is flowing back into the money markets, leading to calmer conditions. This means there's plenty of cash available, which is a good sign.
  2. The recent panel discussions revealed that issues in the market were influenced by trade tariffs and how they affected different types of financial trades. Understanding these factors can help make better investment decisions.
  3. Despite some panic over the Moody's downgrade, experts believe it's not a big deal and the U.S. Treasuries are still a safe bet. Overall, it's a stable time to consider investing in Treasuries.

Top Links 625 Decomposing economic surprise. When threats work and when they don't. Is quantum the new AI? And the Secret Leviathan.

Chartbook • 300 implied HN points • 21 Jan 25
💰 Finance Economic Trends Market Analysis Investment Strategies Global Economics Data Analytics
  1. The Bloomberg Economic Surprise Index for the US shows how unexpected events in the economy can change predictions. It's important to pay attention to these surprises to get a better understanding of the current economic climate.
  2. Understanding when threats are effective or not can help in managing situations better. Knowing the right time to take action can make a big difference in outcomes.
  3. Quantum technology is being compared to AI as a new frontier in innovation. It's exciting to think about how these technologies might change our future.

Venture Capital Unbundled

Investing 101 • 235 implied HN points • 18 Jan 25
💰 Finance Venture Capital Investment Strategies Market Trends Business Models Economic Analysis
  1. Venture capital is shifting away from big brands and focusing more on individual investors. People want to work with specific individuals who they feel are genuine and relatable.
  2. Many investors are moving around to find better opportunities or roles, but this trend is also about the changing business model in venture capital. Investors are looking for ways to adapt and thrive in a new landscape.
  3. The term 'venture capital' is becoming less useful as it tries to cover many different investment strategies. There is a need for diverse approaches and voices in building startups, which is exciting and refreshing.

Top Links 616 Global corporate debt surge. Chicago's fiscal blues. Depoliticizing the railways of the Raj.

Chartbook • 300 implied HN points • 12 Jan 25
💰 Finance Market Trends Economic Policy Global Finance Investment Strategies
  1. Global corporate debt is rising sharply, which might affect the economy. This shows companies are borrowing a lot more money than before.
  2. Chicago is facing serious financial problems. The city's budget issues could impact its services and operations.
  3. There is a movement to make the railways in India less political. This could help improve efficiency and service for train travelers.

How AI Disrupts Tech Investing🤖, Five Steps to Nail Your Pitch Deck🎯, SaaS Retention📊

The VC Corner • 199 implied HN points • 08 Sep 24
💼 Business Venture Capital Startups Investment Strategies Pitch Decks Customer Retention
  1. AI is changing how investors look at tech. It creates new chances for startups and shifts investment strategies.
  2. For a successful pitch deck, focus on grabbing attention with key elements like your mission and unique value.
  3. SaaS companies are finding new ways to keep customers from leaving, as retention strategies are becoming more important in 2024.

Problems at The Wall Street Journal

The Bear Cave • 1399 implied HN points • 24 Oct 24
💰 Finance Market Analysis Investment Strategies Stock Trading Consumer Advocacy
  1. There's concern about trading actions linked to Wall Street Journal stories. In one case, a trader made a lot of money by buying stocks right before a negative article was published.
  2. The Wall Street Journal may not have fully disclosed important information about sources in its articles. This raises questions about transparency and ethics in their reporting.
  3. Some journalists at the Wall Street Journal have connections to the companies they write about. This could lead to conflicts of interest that affect the trustworthiness of their reporting.

How to Avoid Becoming a VC Meme and Actually Add Value

The Generalist • 700 implied HN points • 21 Nov 24
💼 Business Venture Capital Investment Strategies Entrepreneurship Startups Growth Strategies
  1. Venture capitalists should focus on actually helping founders by connecting them with great talent, customers, and funding. It's important not just to say you add value, but to really do something meaningful.
  2. It's better for investors to set realistic expectations about their contributions. Overpromising can damage relationships with founders, so honesty about what you can offer is key.
  3. Investors should respect the founder's role and not try to take over. They bring valuable insights but need to let entrepreneurs lead their own companies and make their own decisions.

How to Value a Startup: Key Methods Every Investor and Founder Should Know

The VC Corner • 459 implied HN points • 19 Jul 24
💼 Business Investment Strategies Market Analysis Entrepreneurship
  1. Valuing a startup is tricky because they often lack steady revenue, so traditional methods might not work well. Founders and investors need to find alternative ways to assess a startup's worth.
  2. The valuation process combines both art and science. It's important to consider factors like the team's skills and the product's uniqueness alongside more measurable data like market trends.
  3. The Scorecard Valuation Method is a key approach to valuing startups, offering steps and examples that help make the valuation process clearer and more practical for those involved.

Rent trends and multi-family construction

Erdmann Housing Tracker • 84 implied HN points • 29 Jan 25
💰 Finance Real Estate Economic Trends Market Analysis Investment Strategies Housing policy
  1. The rent trends in different cities show that Austin is currently performing the best among metro areas in Texas.
  2. When looking at rental prices, it's important to consider whether changes are due to short-term demand shifts or local supply issues.
  3. The Erdmann Housing Tracker provides insights into multi-family construction, which can help understanding the housing market better.

Is being data driven a fad?

benn.substack • 843 implied HN points • 18 Oct 24
💼 Business Data Analysis Financial Metrics Market Trends Investment Strategies Business Models
  1. The way we value companies might be changing. Instead of just looking at numbers, people are considering things like hype and public interest.
  2. Being data-driven used to be seen as a key to success, but now it seems less effective for some businesses. There are successful examples, but many companies struggle to use data well.
  3. Cultural factors, or 'taste', are becoming more important in the business world than just relying on data. This shift might mean that how people feel about a company matters just as much as the finances.

How VCs Build Soft Power

The Generalist • 780 implied HN points • 15 Oct 24
💼 Business Venture Capital Personal Branding Soft Power Investment Strategies Entrepreneurship
  1. Soft power is important for venture capitalists because it helps them stand out in a competitive market. It’s not just about money but also reputation and influence.
  2. Building soft power takes time, but new VCs can start quickly by finding their unique voice and using online platforms to share their ideas.
  3. Learning from experienced investors can help avoid common pitfalls. They share their mistakes and successes to help others grow their soft power effectively.

What Tokens Are & What Tokens Aren’t

DeFi Education • 799 implied HN points • 08 May 24
🔮 Crypto Tokenomics Regulations Investment Strategies Market Trends Decentralization
  1. Tokens in crypto represent value and can be used for many purposes, like governance, trading, and utility. They allow anyone to buy in early, creating opportunities for many people.
  2. However, tokens are not like traditional stocks and don’t guarantee ownership or legal protections. They come with regulatory risks instead.
  3. The crypto space is evolving, and many retail investors are moving towards memecoins because they offer easy entry points, even if they lack real value. There's a push for better projects that genuinely serve users.

The Bonds And The Stock Market

Points And Figures • 586 implied HN points • 24 Oct 24
💰 Finance Market Trends Investment Strategies Economic Policy Interest Rates Stock Analysis
  1. The stock market has experienced various crashes in the past, but today there are better systems in place to prevent a major crash like in 1987. It's still possible to see market dips, but the overall structure is stronger now.
  2. Interest rates on government bonds are rising, which could impact the stock market negatively if rates reach certain levels. Keeping an eye on these rates is important for understanding market trends.
  3. Government spending is a concern, and both political parties aren't talking about reducing it. If spending continues unchecked, it could lead to serious economic issues in the future.

Your startup idea probably isn’t venture-scale

Lenny's Newsletter • 3537 implied HN points • 16 May 23
💼 Business Startups Venture Capital Entrepreneurship Market Analysis Investment Strategies
  1. Having a venture-scale startup idea involves aiming for $100 million annual revenue and $1 billion+ valuation in 10 years.
  2. Venture-scale investors look for a large market, a scalable business model, high growth potential, the ability to turn capital into growth, and a path to going public.
  3. Not all startup ideas need to be venture-scale; many ideas can still build a great revenue-generating business without the pressure and expectations of venture capital.

The Bear Cave #243

The Bear Cave • 489 implied HN points • 13 Oct 24
💼 Business Finance Corporate Governance Market Analysis Investment Strategies Regulatory issues
  1. Roblox has been accused of inflating its user numbers by including fake accounts and bots. This has raised safety concerns, especially regarding child safety on the platform.
  2. There have been multiple recent resignations of CFOs from various companies, often after short tenures. This may indicate instability or issues within those organizations.
  3. Some companies are being investigated for their marketing practices, including the use of questionable data sources for email campaigns. This raises questions about ethical business practices.

Quant Letter: January 2025, Week-4

The Parlour • 34 implied HN points • 23 Jan 25
💰 Finance Quantitative Machine Learning Portfolio Management Market Analysis Investment Strategies
  1. Advanced models like the MDQR help understand market dependencies, which can make it easier for traders to create effective strategies.
  2. New methods for portfolio optimization can handle many assets at once, moving beyond the traditional limits that were previously in place.
  3. Research shows AI can effectively forecast financial risks and rewards, highlighting the growing importance of technology in finance.

data-driven VC is over

State of the Future • 323 implied HN points • 25 Feb 25
💼 Business Venture Capital Investment Strategies Market research Entrepreneurship Tech Trends
  1. The way we research and develop investment ideas in venture capital is changing. Now, smaller firms can compete with big players because information is easier and cheaper to access.
  2. As everyone starts using the same data and insights, decision-making might become more about trusting your instincts than just following numbers. Investors might need to rely on what's not obvious or data-driven.
  3. The most successful investors in the future will be those who combine experience and wisdom with their specialized knowledge. It's not just about the data anymore; understanding what truly matters will set them apart.

Money Market Update

Concoda • 443 implied HN points • 01 Feb 25
💰 Finance Market Analysis Investment Strategies Monetary Policy Economic Trends Liquidity management
  1. The Federal Reserve is continuing its balance sheet reduction to avoid financial crises, with expectations of it ending by June.
  2. The U.S. Treasury might reduce its issuance of short-term bills to save costs, especially if the Fed maintains its current policies.
  3. Despite challenges like a strong dollar and global tensions, risk assets are anticipated to perform better than bonds in the near future.

When we lost our minds: Pt.1 Overview

Erdmann Housing Tracker • 189 implied HN points • 09 Dec 24
💰 Finance Economic Theory Market Analysis Housing policy Financial Crisis Investment Strategies
  1. Many people believe the 2008 financial crisis was inevitable, but this oversimplifies what really happened. It's important to question how we understand the events leading up to the crisis.
  2. High home prices and rental costs are more about limited housing supply than just low interest rates. Building more homes could help address these issues.
  3. Experts often misunderstood the role of foreign capital and how it influenced the US economy. Rather than viewing borrowing negatively, it can be a way to invest in growth.

Delta Neutral Yield Farming Opportunity

DeFi Education • 459 implied HN points • 23 May 24
🔮 Crypto DeFi Yield Farming Tokenomics Investment Strategies
  1. Understanding delta neutral yield farming can help you earn returns without worrying about market price changes. It's a safer way to participate in yield farming.
  2. Avoiding normal strategies like liquidity pools might save you from losing money due to things like impermanent loss. There are smarter ways to invest in DeFi.
  3. It's important to stay updated on the latest DeFi practices, especially if you're looking to maximize your earnings. New guides can help you navigate the evolving landscape.

Stages of Board Deck Preparation📝, How to be helpful as a VC📚, Secondary Market VC Funds🔄

The VC Corner • 279 implied HN points • 23 Jun 24
💼 Business Venture Capital Startups Investment Strategies Market Trends
  1. Preparing a board deck requires several key stages to make sure everything is clear and organized.
  2. As a venture capitalist, being helpful includes providing valuable insights and support to the startups you invest in.
  3. Secondary market VC funds allow investors to buy and sell stakes in venture funds, providing more flexibility and liquidity.

How to Raise Your First Fund💼, 2024 Midas List🏆, Analyzing Startup Financials 📊

The VC Corner • 319 implied HN points • 09 Jun 24
💼 Business Venture Capital Startups Investment Strategies Financial Analysis
  1. Raising your first fund can be a challenging but rewarding process. It's important to prepare thoroughly and understand your investors' needs.
  2. The 2024 Midas List highlights top performers in venture capital. This list can give insights into successful investors and trends in the industry.
  3. Analyzing startup financials is vital for making informed investment decisions. A solid grasp of finances helps in assessing a startup's potential for growth.

Reading the Tea Leaves

The Last Bear Standing • 49 implied HN points • 03 Jan 25
💰 Finance Market Trends Economic Growth Investment Strategies Sentiment Analysis Financial history
  1. Market sentiment is influenced by human emotions and can swing widely, affecting prices up and down. This means that even if things look strong, feelings can drive prices lower.
  2. Historically, the market goes through cycles of growth and decline, shaped by economic changes and human behavior. We can learn from the past to understand current trends.
  3. While recent years saw some major challenges, like inflation and market drops, the economy proved resilient. New investments helped start a fresh period of growth and optimism.

Money Market Update

Concoda • 405 implied HN points • 19 Jan 25
💰 Finance Market Update Monetary Policy Debt Management Investment Strategies
  1. The upcoming U.S. presidential inauguration and a new Treasury Secretary may lead to changes in the money market. This could create opportunities for profits.
  2. The debt ceiling issue is affecting liquidity and will lead to market volatility. When resolved, it will change the flow of money in the markets.
  3. Foreign investors are becoming more interested in U.S. Treasuries due to better returns. This could impact how these markets operate in the near future.