TL;DRussia

TL;DRussia offers in-depth analysis and insights into Russian politics, economics, and society. It covers internal dynamics, international relations, and opposition challenges, focusing on power struggles, the impact of sanctions, disinformation, and the global implications of Russia's actions.

Russian political dynamics International relations Economic challenges and sanctions Military and strategic analysis Disinformation and media Opposition and dissent in Russia Global security and peace efforts

The hottest Substack posts of TL;DRussia

And their main takeaways
530 implied HN points 22 Jul 23
  1. The focus of the newsletter is on analyzing current events in Russia, particularly related to figures like Evgeny Prigozhin and Igor Girkin.
  2. The author discusses the Kremlin's approach to solving economic challenges, such as tax laws for non-resident citizens and interest rate hikes by the Central Bank.
  3. There is a comparison made between the analysis methods of the CIA Director and the author, emphasizing the importance of understanding immediate responses over relying solely on past patterns.
471 implied HN points 15 Jul 23
  1. NATO was not ready to offer membership to Ukraine at the recent summit in Vilnius.
  2. Putin's focus is on maintaining power in Russia, not achieving gains abroad.
  3. Recent events with Prigozhin and military officers in Russia highlight internal tensions and dissent.
412 implied HN points 02 Jul 23
  1. The debate about whether the recent events in Russia constituted a coup attempt for President Putin
  2. Whether the recent events have weaknened or strenghtened Putin's political control
  3. Power dynamics in a crisis depend on people's beliefs about who holds power, rather than just coercive force
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550 implied HN points 15 Apr 23
  1. The Kremlin is escalating its military call-up process by digitizing and tightening rules for serving military notices.
  2. Russian citizens are expressing dissatisfaction with the new measures, but resistance or protests are not yet widespread.
  3. Academic research is shedding light on the role of financial service providers in maintaining networks of Russian kleptocratic capital.
491 implied HN points 13 May 23
  1. Ukraine's spring/summer counter-offensive is sparking debates about potential consequences for Russia.
  2. Western analysis falls short in understanding the complexities of decision-making in Russia.
  3. Sanctions are impacting Russia's economy, leading to new challenges and responses.
412 implied HN points 04 Mar 23
  1. The West should push Ukraine to negotiate a settlement with Russia
  2. Current levels of military supply to Ukraine may be insufficient for outright victory
  3. Some argue that Western support for Ukraine should not be sustained indefinitely
373 implied HN points 23 Apr 23
  1. Vladimir Kara-Murza sentenced to 25 years in prison for telling the truth, signaling harsh repression against political activists in Russia
  2. Alexei Navalny facing new political trial, likely to receive severe sentence, highlighting increased persecution of opposition figures
  3. Kremlin's actions targeting three audiences: Russian opposition, elite, and security state, with broader signaling of crackdown on dissent
314 implied HN points 04 Jun 23
  1. The term 'Potemkin' has started being used to describe all things Russian, especially related to economy and political situations.
  2. Russian officials may not be actively trying to mislead the public or foreign observers about the state of affairs, but there are concerns about the reliability of the Russian economy.
  3. Recent essays and articles discuss the role of ideas and ideology in contemporary Russia, exploring Putinism, ultra-conservative philosophies, and the influence of dark future narratives.
353 implied HN points 25 Mar 23
  1. The author uses their newsletter as a form of therapy to deal with anxiety and discomfort.
  2. The author reflects on the positive response to their Twitter threads and news analysis, while also considering potential biases in their thinking.
  3. The author recommends reading investigative reports on Russian propaganda, military-industrial control, and Western companies' involvement in Russia to understand the political landscape better.