Warden Capital

Musings on public and private commercial real estate markets.

The hottest Substack posts of Warden Capital

And their main takeaways
275 implied HN points 08 Nov 23
  1. Hotel REITs in the public markets have high yields and are trading at 8-10+% cap rates, making them a potentially lucrative investment option.
  2. Compared to other real estate asset classes like multifamily and industrial, hotel REITs offer superior yields and lower capex burdens, making them a cost-effective choice for investors.
  3. The hotel industry has faced challenges post-COVID, especially in urban markets, but with the recovery of leisure, group, and business travel, there is significant potential for growth and investment opportunities.
137 implied HN points 27 Oct 23
  1. Utilization rates for office spaces are around 50-70%, varying based on market and building quality.
  2. Top-tier office buildings are experiencing higher utilization rates, closer to 75% and performing better.
  3. Data sources like Placer.AI show ongoing improvements in office utilization rates, indicating a steady return to office trend.
137 implied HN points 03 Oct 23
  1. The impact of Work From Home (WFH) on office markets is significant but varies across industries and geographies.
  2. Using vacancy data is crucial for assessing WFH impact on office demand, as it reflects space given back by firms and available for sublease.
  3. WFH trend is more about financial reasons for many companies, especially those in low margin businesses, where reducing office space can lead to substantial cost savings.
78 implied HN points 17 Oct 23
  1. The quarter felt stable until rates spiked, creating challenges in lending and investment sales markets.
  2. While interest rates have increased rapidly, recent inflation data has been promising, indicating a potential decrease in inflation.
  3. Real estate prices increase during high inflation periods, offsetting the impact of higher interest rates in the long run.
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196 implied HN points 15 May 23
  1. Office REITs in NYC are currently undervalued due to fears of continued impact from work from home, but the market may be overestimating the potential decline in income.
  2. Historically, NYC office space has been a strong performer, particularly in top tier buildings near major transit centers.
  3. The current market is pricing in significant income declines for NYC office REITs, but factors like reduced supply growth and potential for office to residential conversions could help stabilize the market.
39 implied HN points 26 Sep 23
  1. Recent office investment sales market has shown positive trends after a period of minimal activity.
  2. Notable sales like RBC Gateway in Minneapolis and Boston Bunch in downtown Boston highlight strong values and positive outcomes.
  3. Buyers acquiring large office deals across the country provide clarity on pricing levels and signal potential market recovery.