The hottest Investing Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Top Finance Topics
Doomberg • 5270 implied HN points • 17 Mar 24
  1. In the stock market, rapid swings in market value can be astonishing, such as Nvidia's $270 billion intraday swing – highlighting the unpredictable nature of markets.
  2. Rampant speculation in assets like Bitcoin can be a sign of impending currency devaluation, drawing parallels to historical financial crises like the Weimar Hyperinflation.
  3. Michael Saylor's aggressive strategy of leveraging debt to buy Bitcoin with MicroStrategy serves as a unique case study of riding high in the volatile crypto market, showcasing the power of 'pumpamentals.'
Doomberg • 8751 implied HN points • 13 Jan 24
  1. 2024 may be a significant year for gold investors, due to potential moves by the Group of Seven countries.
  2. There are discussions about seizing Russian assets worth billions, which could impact the global financial system.
  3. The decisions made by the G7 regarding these assets could influence gold prices and highlight its role in the financial system.
Where's Your Ed At • 20772 implied HN points • 26 Sep 23
  1. Investing in NFTs as a way to own unique digital assets may not guarantee value or ownership of intellectual property.
  2. Many NFT projects overpromise benefits like voting power and ownership in the company, leading to unfulfilled expectations.
  3. The NFT industry is often characterized by scams, fake transactions, and inflated values, preying on the desperation of people seeking investment opportunities.
Where's Your Ed At • 13056 implied HN points • 26 Oct 23
  1. Elon Musk is perceived as a modern-day hustler, skilled at manipulating media and markets without creating tangible value.
  2. Musk's success lies in picking companies and products that promise eternal growth, even if the reality doesn't align with the hype.
  3. The acquisitions of SolarCity, Twitter, and the Cybertruck showcase Musk playing outside the odds, relying on emotion, and making risky bets.
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Quant Trading Rules • 79 implied HN points • 02 Jun 24
  1. Peter Thiel emphasizes the importance of future cash flows in valuing technology companies, projecting significant value from profits generated well into the future.
  2. Interest rates, linked to Treasury bond yields, affect stock valuations by altering discount rates for future cash flows, particularly impacting tech stocks with high growth expectations.
  3. Implementing trading strategies based on spreads and RSI signals between tech stocks (like QQQ) and Treasury bonds (like TLT) can show variations in returns, with opportunities for leveraging and rule adjustments to potentially improve performance.
2nd Smartest Guy in the World • 4658 implied HN points • 15 Jan 24
  1. Vivek Ramaswamy made millions from biotech companies that failed, leading to accusations of running a Ponzi Scheme.
  2. Ramaswamy has been critiquing corporations engaging in what he calls 'socially conscious investing' as a threat to America's well-being.
  3. Despite accusations and controversies, Ramaswamy's net worth has been estimated to be over $950 million, raising questions about his business practices.
Irrational Analysis • 159 implied HN points • 23 May 24
  1. Irrational Analysis is heavily invested in the semiconductor industry, giving insights into the comical undervaluation of NASDAQ:ARM.
  2. Nvidia's massive demand for GB200 and Grace CPUs could have significant implications for ARM (LTD)'s value and future performance.
  3. Nvidia Grace CPUs might exceed sell-side expectations, potentially propelling ARM (LTD) value beyond current projections.
The Generalist • 2341 implied HN points • 22 Feb 24
  1. Being considered the GOAT in a sport can lead to lucrative opportunities and wealth accumulation, as seen with athletes like Michael Jordan and Lionel Messi.
  2. Changes in social media, technology, and athlete earnings have given superstar athletes more power and control over their wealth and commercial endeavors.
  3. Lionel Messi's strategic moves, like moving to America and establishing Play Time, indicate a growing potential for immense wealth through business ventures beyond his football career.
Nova Terra News • 738 implied HN points • 15 Apr 24
  1. Nova Terra Inc. is focused on creating a sustainable future through innovative building materials like EcoBlox made from lime-stabilized compressed earth blocks.
  2. The founder, Lisa Morey, has a background in earthen masonry and is passionate about infusing technological innovation into traditional building methods.
  3. Acceleration in business growth, pitching to major projects like the Georgia O'Keeffe museum, and receiving positive feedback have energized Lisa Morey and Nova Terra Inc. for a promising future.
The Generalist • 1401 implied HN points • 07 Mar 24
  1. Primary Venture Partners focuses on being the best seed fund by sticking to their core ethos of 'Startups are hard, founders deserve better.'
  2. They prioritize selective investing, focusing on high-risk, high-reward opportunities in the early stages of startup funding.
  3. Using a substantial impact team and unique operational approach, Primary Venture Partners aims to differentiate themselves in the competitive venture capital landscape.
PETITION • 2456 implied HN points • 28 Jan 24
  1. The post discusses underperforming retailers like The Container Store Inc. ($TCS) specializing in storage solutions.
  2. The Container Store Inc. is known for its premium pricing compared to competitors for products like coat hangers and laundry baskets.
  3. The company's history involves acquisitions by PE firm Leonard Green and Partners LP and an IPO in 2013.
Peter Navarro's Taking Back Trump's America • 1768 implied HN points • 09 Feb 24
  1. The stock market has shown a technical rally with S&P 500 surpassing 5000, driven by trend traders focusing more on technical aspects than fundamentals.
  2. Artificial intelligence is significantly impacting the job market, with companies using AI for tasks like layoff decisions, with some notable companies like United Parcel Service and BlackRock making significant staff reductions.
  3. China's economy is being compared to past scenarios like Japan's real estate market crash, highlighting concerns about potential global repercussions.
Faster, Please! • 913 implied HN points • 15 Mar 24
  1. Nvidia's surge in the stock market indicates the potential of AI and its transformative impact.
  2. The stock market reflects high optimism towards AI, but it hasn't reached the levels of previous tech bubbles.
  3. The increase in Nvidia's market value seems to be supported by actual earnings, not just speculative investments.
The Bear Cave • 1026 implied HN points • 07 Mar 24
  1. The Bear Cave raises concerns about an ARK Invest favorite, suggesting it may not live up to the hype and bold promises of innovation.
  2. The company in question has been spending on questionable celebrity partnerships, leading to doubts about its true potential.
  3. Despite predictions of high growth, The Bear Cave predicts a potential crash for this company, signaling a caution for investors.
Yet Another Value Blog • 2103 implied HN points • 10 Jan 24
  1. The rental car companies Avis and Hertz are trading at extremely low multiples compared to their earnings.
  2. Investors have concerns about the sustainability of the earnings of rental car companies due to potential overearning from increased rental prices and undervaluation of depreciation from high used car prices.
  3. Despite the record earnings of rental car companies, there are serious bear cases to consider, such as inflated earnings potentially dropping significantly in the future.
Compounding Quality • 1690 implied HN points • 28 Jan 24
  1. FAANG stocks (Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, Google) have shown impressive performance, but sustainability is a key consideration
  2. Facebook (Meta Platforms) has a massive user base, over 3.96 billion monthly active users
  3. Companies like Apple, Netflix, and Google have interesting founding stories and have evolved significantly over time
The Generalist • 1941 implied HN points • 16 Jan 24
  1. Investors need to differentiate between signals and mirages in venture capital to find potential winners.
  2. The process of identifying successful investments involves filtering out flawed ideas and making bets on plausible opportunities.
  3. Successful investments are like oases in the technology landscape that investors strategically seek out.
Snowball • 1965 implied HN points • 14 Jan 24
  1. Investing in a Monaco monopoly like SBM can be interesting due to its history and unique position.
  2. The French government agency SISSE has the power to block international investors; exploring its role can be informative.
  3. The SEC's approval of Bitcoin ETFs marked a significant moment, raising questions about the future of decentralized finance and traditional finance.
Yet Another Value Blog • 1395 implied HN points • 10 Feb 24
  1. The loan book for NYCB is in worse shape than expected, potentially facing huge losses due to rent-regulated properties and increasing expenses.
  2. Despite the challenges, NYCB has over $7 billion in tangible equity, which could help the bank navigate through the crisis.
  3. Insider buying at NYCB following a special update call shows confidence in the institution, highlighting efforts to stabilize the stock amid a tough situation.
Quant Trading Rules • 79 implied HN points • 20 May 24
  1. A mean reversion strategy was tested with rules involving computing rolling means and using the IBS indicator, focusing on bouncing back from market drops.
  2. Implementing a market regime filter significantly reduced drawdowns and exposure time, improving the Sharpe ratio and reducing drawdown durations.
  3. By incorporating a long & short strategy, trading QQQ in bull markets and PSQ in bear markets, a good balance of Sharpe ratio, annual returns, and maximum drawdown was achieved.