The hottest Polling Data Substack posts right now

The Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) is gaining support, reaching 21.5% in recent polls, which is their highest in a year. This suggests they might have a stronger presence in upcoming elections.
A significant number of voters, even from various parties, believe that the AfD is Germany's last hope, indicating a shift in public sentiment. This includes some surprising support from traditional voters like those in the Greens and Social Democrats.
The outcome of the elections could depend on minor parties like Die Linke, as their performance can affect the overall balance of power. If they win certain districts, it would complicate things for larger parties trying to form a coalition.

Democrats are losing support with voters of color, particularly among working-class and younger individuals.
Polls and election results are showing significant declines in support for Democrats among Black, Hispanic, and Asian American voters.
The shift towards progressive policies and generational turnover may be contributing to the decline in support for Democrats among voters of color.

There are contributing factors towards a potential new wave of right wing radicalization, including influential figures like Tate and Elon.
There is a noticeable trend of increasing political divide between young men and women, possibly linked to declining family formation.
The discussion of growing radicalization should also consider a growing separation of political views between men and women, indicating a need to address both sides of the spectrum.

Conservative discourse has transformed 19th century economic liberalism into what is now recognized as economic conservatism in America. This shift raises questions about the role of neoliberalism within conservative ideology.
In a bourgeois democracy, social liberals tend to have an advantage over social conservatives due to the momentum of perpetual progress. Social conservatives often find themselves playing a defensive game and may shift towards more extreme ideologies if they perceive a betrayal of traditional values.
Support for same-sex marriage among Republicans has increased over time, indicating a change in societal views. This shift highlights how political stances can evolve over the years.

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Westminster's media management strategies are seen as ritualistic and stifling.
Rishi Sunak's communications team relies on minor announcements for positive coverage, despite diminishing returns.
Conservative and Labour parties are both using similar tactics of cracking down on issues, but public trust in these approaches is declining.

Majority of Americans prefer large houses in communities with amenities farther away.
Polls should not be the sole basis for determining policy decisions.
There is a political challenge in addressing the desire for more walkable neighborhoods.

Defining 'the South' can vary a lot depending on the perspective. It could be based on historical factors like the Confederacy, slavery, or segregation.
Different definitions of 'the South' can lead to different interpretations of cultural or political data, affecting conclusions drawn from research.
People often manipulate definitions of 'the South' to support their arguments, making it important to be clear about which definition is used in discussions.