Center for the Study of Partisanship and Ideology Supporting research on how ideology and policy contribute to social and scientific progress.
Are We Getting Dumber? 31 implied HN points • 30 Jan 24 🔬 Science Intelligence Fertility Genetics Psychology Data Analysis There is a negative correlation between IQ and fertility across the world, suggesting a decline in intelligence over time. More developed countries show a weaker decline in intelligence compared to less developed nations. Embryo selection for intelligence could potentially offset the decline in intelligence, especially in wealthier countries.
The Coming Ukrainian Counteroffensive 25 implied HN points • 22 May 23 🌍 World Politics Ukraine Russia Military Territory Strategy Ukraine's counteroffensive is delayed by mud and weather conditions, but they are well-trained and waiting for the right moment. The conflict in Ukraine is a proxy war between Russia and NATO, impacting military aid and political considerations. Ukraine's advantage in modern equipment and trained soldiers may lead to strategic gains, potentially targeting areas where Russia is less defended.
Academia as a Status Game 15 implied HN points • 16 Aug 23 🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Academia Research Policing Social Sciences In academia, citations reflect what the industry values and can lead to grants, tenure, and status. Research on Black Lives Matter often focuses on promoting radical causes rather than saving lives directly. There is a need for a major reorientation in social science research to prioritize studies that can save lives, especially in law enforcement.
Results for the Salem/CSPI Prediction Tournament 11 implied HN points • 29 Aug 23 💰 Finance Forecasting Data Analysis Political Ideology The winners of the Salem/CSPI Prediction Tournament were announced, including a $25,000 prize and a fellowship The analysis of the betting markets showed mixed results, with some events being accurately predicted while others were not Participants in the tournament were mostly young, male, and had a libertarian-leaning political orientation
New $5,000 Prize in the Salem Center/CSPI Forecasting Tournament 3 implied HN points • 15 Feb 23 🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Forecasting Debt Ceiling A new $5,000 prize is added to the Salem Center/CSPI Forecasting Tournament to encourage more participation. The prize will go to the person with the greatest percentage increase in their portfolio value by the end of the tournament. Various markets on global events and economic forecasts are also discussed in the tournament.