The hottest Campaigns Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Trump Has an Age Problem

SHERO • 727 implied HN points • 31 Oct 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Trump has been making mistakes and blunders in his recent speeches.
  2. Trump's mocking of Biden's age has backfired, revealing his own declining mental condition.
  3. Recent incidents show Trump's speeches and actions have become increasingly incoherent and confusing.

You Can Sometimes Just Not Talk About Race!

Singal-Minded • 438 implied HN points • 30 Jun 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Sometimes, people might feel overwhelmed talking about race. It's okay to take a break from discussing it.
  2. Political discussions can often get heated, especially about topics like taxes. Understanding different viewpoints can help clarify issues.
  3. News headlines can be misleading and often don’t tell the whole story. Always read beyond the headlines for more context.

There’s more herding in swing state polls than at a sheep farm in the Scottish Highlands

Silver Bulletin • 1434 implied HN points • 01 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Many swing state polls show very close results, which seems suspicious. It's not normal for so many polls to match so closely in a tight race.
  2. Some pollsters lean towards the common opinion instead of reporting their own findings. This tendency to 'herd' can lead to less accurate overall polling results.
  3. Polling strategies may create pressure to avoid showing clear leads, causing inaccurate predictions. This can lead to surprises on election day, as true voter sentiment might not be reflected.

Silver Bulletin 2024 election night coverage

Silver Bulletin • 1380 implied HN points • 05 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. It's important to keep track of election night numbers for candidates like Trump and Harris. Knowing the latest results helps us understand how the election is going.
  2. You can join a chat during election night to discuss the results with others. It's a good way to share thoughts and hear different perspectives.
  3. This information is aimed at paid subscribers, so it's exclusive content for those who support the publication. Being a paid member allows for access to more in-depth analysis.
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‘They Know He’s Going to Become the Next Mayor’

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 380 implied HN points • 17 Jul 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Zohran Mamdani is gaining strong support among young voters and labor groups, making him a strong contender for mayor. People see a real chance for change with him in power.
  2. He has out-fundraised his opponents and received major endorsements from unions, which boosts his campaign significantly. This shows he has the backing of important organizations.
  3. Political experts agree that Mamdani is likely to win unless there are big changes in the race, like his opponents dropping out. He seems well-positioned for victory.

Dingus of the week: Everyone who is mad about Zohran Mamdani

Men Yell at Me • 439 implied HN points • 27 Jun 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. There's a movement in NYC for socialism that aims to raise wages and make life more affordable, which some people are reacting to negatively.
  2. Backing politicians who support corruption is seen as hypocritical, especially when they disregard kindness and community support.
  3. The conversation around social issues is getting heated, but it encourages discussions that could help improve society.

Zohran Mamdani will fail, utterly and completely, as mayor of New York City

Demodexio • 396 implied HN points • 28 Jun 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Zohran Mamdani has some good ideas, like baby baskets for new parents and raising the minimum wage to $30 by 2030. However, there's a worry about how he plans to actually put these ideas into action.
  2. While he aims to help small businesses by cutting regulations, it’s important to also address things like high commercial rents. Just making it easier to start a business may not be enough if costs remain high.
  3. Many of Mamdani's proposals lack clear implementation plans, which raises concerns about his ability to succeed as mayor. Without a solid plan, even good ideas might not happen.

The Polls Scream Mamdani, But Cuomo Won’t Quit

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 347 implied HN points • 15 Jul 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Zohran Mamdani is leading in polls for the New York City mayoral race. A recent poll shows him far ahead of Andrew Cuomo.
  2. Andrew Cuomo, despite his past as governor, is struggling in this election. Many believe he should reconsider his candidacy.
  3. The election is shaping up to be favorable for Mamdani, highlighting a shift in voter preferences toward more progressive candidates.

113 predictions for Trump's second term

Silver Bulletin • 829 implied HN points • 26 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. The predictions aim to explore various possible outcomes of Trump's second term, from political events to global issues. It's like guessing how a story might unfold, mixing serious and bizarre scenarios.
  2. The predictions are based on probabilities, meaning some events are more likely to happen than others. For example, predicting a Republican win in 2028 isn't just a simple yes or no; there's a chance it could happen.
  3. There’s an emphasis on keeping track of unusual risks and looking at the bigger picture. These predictions could shape how we think about future political events and the changing landscape in the US.

What Will it Take for New York to Elect a Republican?

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 375 implied HN points • 23 Jun 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. New York City is focused on its Democratic mayoral primary, which many believe could lead to a far-left candidate winning the nomination.
  2. The current Democratic mayor, Eric Adams, is very unpopular, and that might create an opportunity for Republicans to gain traction.
  3. Despite the challenges the Democrats face, a Republican named Curtis Sliwa is unlikely to win in the upcoming election, even with potential discontent among voters.

Brands are busy romanticising 2016, but you have to be here for the best of marketing in 2026 so far

The Social Juice • 29 implied HN points • 17 Jan 26
💼 Business Campaigns
  1. Top collaborations focus on resonance, not reach — the most effective partnerships are built for a small, passionate audience that creates depth instead of noise.
  2. AI is reshaping marketing as agencies and brands roll out AI-driven platforms and ads, but low-quality or careless AI work is already provoking backlash and regulatory scrutiny.
  3. Marketers are using nostalgia, celebrity tie-ins, bold stunts and product-first innovations to stand out, from fashion and beauty launches to gaming, sports and experiential activations.

Epstein Victim Testimony Clears Trump

The Reactionary • 97 implied HN points • 12 Nov 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Virginia Giuffre, a victim of Epstein, testified that Trump did not engage in any sexual activities with her or flirt with her. She only met him a few times at Mar-a-Lago.
  2. Emails released show that Epstein tried to tie Trump into scandals, but Giuffre's testimony contradicts those claims, clearing Trump of any wrongdoing.
  3. Democrats are using Epstein’s emails to link Trump to scandals, despite the fact that Giuffre has denied any inappropriate interactions with him.

Truman:Dewey::Biden:Trump?

Castalia • 259 implied HN points • 14 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Harry Truman's hard work and fighting spirit helped him win against the odds in 1948. He showed that you can succeed even when the situation seems impossible.
  2. Political communication is super important. Leaders need to connect with people on a real level, rather than relying on fancy speeches or old-school methods.
  3. Democrats should pay attention to the heartland and focus on issues that matter to everyday people. They'll need a fresh outsider narrative to regain trust and connect better with voters.

Safe Bets, Lotto Tickets, and Vibes

Richard Hanania's Newsletter • 1097 implied HN points • 08 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Prediction markets help people place bets on political outcomes, including election results. It's a way to predict what might happen based on the money people are willing to gamble.
  2. There are different types of bets: safe bets on likely outcomes, long-shot bets on unlikely events, and those based on gut feelings or 'vibes.' Each type can be a strategy for making money in these markets.
  3. Overall, despite the uncertainty in politics, the belief is that democracy will continue to function and elections will still be certified. Even in the face of chaos, the systems in place are expected to hold.

Uninformed Confusion Takes an Early Lead in the '28 Democratic Primary

I Might Be Wrong • 7 implied HN points • 19 Feb 26
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Current polls and market odds show different people leading the 2028 Democratic primary, but those snapshots are noisy and basically meaningless this far out.
  2. Primary races are extremely volatile: presumed frontrunners often collapse, pundit-loved late entrants usually flame out, and campaigns written off as dead can suddenly rebound.
  3. Early states like Iowa and New Hampshire have outsized, quirky effects on momentum (New Hampshire especially likes to buck Iowa), so watch them but don’t overreact — it’s still too early to pick a winner.

You Can't Vote For Dumb

Points And Figures • 1039 implied HN points • 11 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. The author believes Kamala Harris lacks intelligence and creativity in her political actions. They think her methods are often emotional rather than based on facts.
  2. They argue that her background in politics has made her a typical party follower rather than an original thinker. They feel this is a problem for representation.
  3. The author feels that voting for someone they perceive as 'stupid' is dangerous, especially in important matters like foreign policy and economics. They think strong leadership requires intellect.

Trump. Again. The Question Is Why?

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 2068 implied HN points • 24 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Donald Trump remains a prominent figure in the political landscape, commanding attention from both supporters and critics.
  2. Trump has been successful in recent Republican caucus victories and is gaining significant support within the party.
  3. He is currently polling well and leads President Biden in various public opinion surveys.

Mamdani Outhustled Cuomo. It Could Make Him New York’s Next Mayor.

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 301 implied HN points • 24 Jun 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Zohran Mamdani is gaining support for his mayoral campaign in New York, fueled by a large team of 50,000 volunteers. This community effort is making a big difference in his visibility and popularity.
  2. Mamdani made a memorable campaign move by walking from one end of Manhattan to the other for seven hours, attracting a crowd that showed their support. This kind of grassroots engagement is helping him connect with voters.
  3. Recent polls suggest Mamdani is narrowing the gap with Andrew Cuomo in the Democratic primary. His popularity has surged significantly, while Cuomo's support has remained stagnant.

Andrew Cuomo Enters His Influencer Era

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 217 implied HN points • 06 Aug 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Andrew Cuomo is trying a new strategy after losing a recent primary election. He is visiting working-class neighborhoods to connect better with voters.
  2. Cuomo's campaign acknowledges that they didn't engage with their base enough during the campaign. They want to make sure people understand the importance of the current race.
  3. Some supporters are excited to see Cuomo, but they also want to know what he plans to do for the city, not just photo opportunities.

WelcomePAC Celebrates a Republican Win, Not Realizing Centrists Have Done Worse.

JoeWrote • 55 implied HN points • 10 Dec 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. A DSA-linked progressive ran much closer than expected in a deep-red Tennessee district, outperforming the Democratic presidential baseline by about 13 points while being heavily outspent.
  2. Centrists quickly claimed a moderate would have done better, but that argument ignores spending gaps, cherry-picked special-election averages, and past centrist failures in the same district.
  3. Billionaire-funded centrist groups are using tactics like prewritten analyses and manipulated polls to protect donor interests, and as the left resurges they’ll likely step up coordinated pushback.

No country for old men?

A User's Guide to History • 235 implied HN points • 11 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Presidents have strengths and weaknesses, and age can impact their performance, but wisdom often outweighs age-related challenges
  2. Health issues can affect a president's ability to govern effectively, as seen with Wilson's stroke during the ratification of the Versailles treaty
  3. Age alone should not be a disqualifying factor for a presidential candidate; what truly matters is their ability to make sound decisions

Look: You HAVE to Ask Josh Shapiro if He’s Ever Feasted on Palestinian Flesh

I Might Be Wrong • 20 implied HN points • 20 Jan 26
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. The Harris campaign asked Josh Shapiro intrusive questions about his ties to Israel and whether he might be an agent for a foreign government.
  2. The piece argues that intense vetting of a candidate’s ethnic or religious loyalties is normal and necessary, and says Democrats have done similar scrutiny of other politicians.
  3. The writer portrays Shapiro’s nuanced views on Israel as risky and defends extreme or provocative questioning as routine due diligence, using satirical exaggeration to make the point.

Part I: Democrats' risk-aversion helped to re-elect Trump

Silver Bulletin • 761 implied HN points • 03 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Democrats were too afraid to take risks during the campaign, which may have helped Trump win again. They were in a tough position but didn't try bold strategies to change the outcome.
  2. The campaign team didn't seem to understand the general public's feelings or what would attract voters. They focused too much on internal data instead of connecting with average people.
  3. Many decisions made during the campaign failed to create excitement or clear messaging. The candidates didn't have a strong, unique vision, making it hard to draw support from undecided voters.

Team Technocrat vs. Team Woke

In My Tribe • 774 implied HN points • 09 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. The Democratic Party has two main groups: Team Technocrat and Team Woke. Both seem to be trying to gain influence after the recent election.
  2. The outcome of the election is being interpreted differently, and it's not a clear win or loss for either faction. Events leading up to the 2028 election could change everything.
  3. Swing voters might not see certain candidates, like Kamala Harris, as legitimate. They tend to prefer candidates who seem more credible and have campaigned actively.

Politics as Making Hardwood Furniture with Dull Tools: Mamdani's NYC Primary Win Is Not a Win, But Only an Uncertain High-Stakes Bet

Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality • 246 implied HN points • 26 Jun 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. The Democratic primary doesn't really matter; it's just practice before the real election. Understanding this can help build better teams and avoid mistakes.
  2. Winning a primary is not the same as winning the general election. It's important to think about if the chosen candidate can actually win and do good things if elected.
  3. Politics is about creating connections and rallying support. Success comes from believing in new possibilities and building a team that represents diverse backgrounds and needs.

The Work of Ron DeSantis

Oliver Bateman Does the Work • 235 implied HN points • 22 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Ron DeSantis' campaign failed despite high expectations and a $100 million spent
  2. DeSantis was seen as a potential frontrunner but ultimately lost out to Trump's enduring popularity
  3. DeSantis' failure reflects the Republican Party's current struggles and the challenge of unseating established figures like Trump

Remembering the Time Samantha Bee Tried to Steer $50,000 to Elizabeth Warren’s Campaign but It Didn’t Work

I Might Be Wrong • 18 implied HN points • 15 Jan 26
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. A 2019 Full Frontal app tried to gamify primary donations and seemed designed to steer $50,000 to Elizabeth Warren, but the idea was goofy and badly thought out.
  2. Andrew Yang’s online supporters gamed the app and won the $50,000, which went to a campaign that soon dropped out and barely remembered the payout.
  3. Political-comedy stunts are mostly publicity plays that rarely change real-world outcomes, and late-night shows can drift into partisan activism while overstating their influence.

How Trump Will Steal the Election

Daniel Pinchbeck’s Newsletter • 5 implied HN points • 12 Feb 26
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Longtermist and utilitarian tech philosophies created moral loopholes that let people justify massive fraud and harm, as seen in the Sam Bankman‑Fried case.
  2. Crypto, AI, and elite networks have combined grind culture, market incentives, and ideological certainty to produce scams, regulatory capture, and concentrated power.
  3. There is an urgent threat that Trump and allies plan to steal the midterms, risking the erosion of democracy, mass surveillance, and environmental and economic harm unless large‑scale public action stops it.

Did DPP support just collapse in Taiwan?

Taipology • 138 implied HN points • 02 Aug 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. DPP support in Taiwan is weakening, especially among young voters who are frustrated with their performance. This shift is making room for the rise of the Taiwan People's Party, which is now showing a surprising pro-China stance.
  2. The approach of the DPP, particularly their focus on resisting China, is backfiring as voters are dissatisfied with their handling of domestic issues. Many voters feel the DPP is ignoring their needs while being too aggressive politically.
  3. There's a belief that the Taiwan People's Party has a unique advantage over the KMT and DPP because it doesn't carry their historical baggage. This allows them to appeal to voters looking for change, even towards more favorable views on China.

The week that changed luxury fashion: a final call for the best and worst of marketing.

The Social Juice • 29 implied HN points • 19 Dec 25
💼 Business Campaigns
  1. Luxury labels rushed into generative AI and ended up with shallow, low-quality work that sparked backlash because many uses lacked a clear creative purpose.
  2. The most effective campaigns leaned into human craft, emotion and local storytelling—holiday ads that used real artisans, nostalgia and thoughtful activations stood out.
  3. Brands are retooling for 2026 by investing in always-on brand tracking, cutting prices or SKUs, striking new partnerships and reshuffling agencies as consumers prioritise affordability.

THB 2024 Election Special

The Honest Broker Newsletter • 569 implied HN points • 30 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Substack is offering some engaged free subscribers a chance to try paid subscriptions at no cost, which is a great opportunity for users.
  2. The creator is exploring new ways to engage with followers through Substack Notes and other platforms amidst changes in social media.
  3. There are discussions and predictions about the upcoming U.S. election, encouraging community interaction and insights from non-U.S. subscribers as well.

In a New York Minute... Everything Can Change. Things Can Get Pretty Strange

Michael Tracey • 52 implied HN points • 08 Nov 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Political situations can change quickly and unexpectedly, as seen in recent New York elections. Candidates can face surprising opposition or support based on shifting public sentiment.
  2. Coalitions and alliances in politics can be complex and driven by historical rivalries or personal grudges. Sometimes, political moves are less about the issues at hand and more about longstanding conflicts.
  3. Voter behavior can be influenced by larger political figures or movements, showing how parties can rally or divide support based on the endorsements and directives from their leaders.

Explaining in Five Paragraphs the Scam Donald Trump Just Pulled on 150 Million American TikTok Users

Proof • 378 implied HN points • 19 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Donald Trump temporarily shut down TikTok in the U.S. for 14 hours, creating drama before claiming to 'save' it. This left 150 million users feeling anxious about the app's future.
  2. The situation seemed like a political stunt where Trump might be trying to gain support by making users grateful for TikTok's return, despite him having a history of wanting it banned.
  3. The uncertainty around TikTok's status now makes many users wonder if it will actually stay available or if more political games will continue to affect their access.

The Dark Side of Recall Madness

Taipology • 113 implied HN points • 08 Aug 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. The Great Recall movement in Taiwan was led by influencers whose extreme views have raised concerns about their tactics and ideologies. Some leaders even borrowed ideas from historical authoritarian regimes, which makes many uneasy.
  2. After the recalls failed, there were mixed reactions within the DPP about how to handle the situation. They faced a dilemma because they had relied on these influencers while publicly claiming the effort was grassroots and not party-driven.
  3. The media coverage of the recall efforts often favored the pro-recall narrative, overlooking the voices of regular Taiwanese who may feel tired or frustrated with the ongoing conflict narrative, which they see as damaging to democracy.

SBSQ #14: Election Day lightning round!

Silver Bulletin • 507 implied HN points • 05 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Election Day tends to be calm since there’s not much to do until results come in. It's a good time to reflect instead of focusing too much on exit polls.
  2. Different prediction models, like FiveThirtyEight's, can have varying odds for candidates which might not reflect the true situation. It's important to pay attention to both polls and the underlying fundamentals.
  3. There are concerns that too many prediction models can lead pollsters to stick closely to common predictions, impacting the variety of polling results we see.

Against Polling

Unpopular Front • 114 implied HN points • 06 Aug 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns
  1. Polling can be misleading and often doesn't reflect the true feelings of people. People may give a simple answer without understanding the full impact of the questions.
  2. Successful politicians connect with people through storytelling and imagery rather than just data. Using emotional appeal can lead to more authentic connections.
  3. Relying too heavily on polling can make politicians forget that public opinions are complex and change over time. Good leaders need to understand these changes and inspire their audience.