The hottest Decision-making Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top Business Topics
Five Links (and three graphs) by Auren Hoffman • 178 implied HN points • 26 Feb 24
  1. Different career decisions are optimized on different time scales from sub-second to months to years.
  2. Professions like athletes and speed-chess players excel in making sub-second decisions through muscle memory and pattern matching.
  3. Job interviews are typically designed for quick-time decisions, but should be adjusted based on the timescale of the job.
Insight Axis • 632 implied HN points • 18 Feb 24
  1. Resisting urges leads to increased suffering because of the pain x resistance equation. It's better to embrace a state of 'couldness' rather than fighting impulses.
  2. Changing your identity to instill good habits may not work well due to the element of restriction that still leads to some suffering. The act of choosing is more impactful.
  3. Simply 'surfing the urge' by sitting with discomfort may not completely eliminate resistance. Embracing 'couldness' with near-zero resistance can lead to better decision-making and empowerment.
Inside Data by Mikkel Dengsøe • 184 HN points • 21 Feb 24
  1. Data may not reveal the best ideas, so trust your intuition and explore beyond the obvious data points.
  2. Focus on solving the big problems first, as they have a more significant impact than smaller issues.
  3. Think in small bets and iterations to make progress in the right direction, even if data may not provide immediate clarity.
benn.substack • 483 implied HN points • 09 Feb 24
  1. Dan Campbell and the Detroit Lions have been aggressive in going for it on fourth downs
  2. Data can provide small advantages in decision-making, especially in frequent, low-leverage situations
  3. It's more effective to focus on doing what you're naturally good at and doing it consistently rather than constantly pursuing big data-driven optimizations
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Grace on Football • 648 implied HN points • 31 Jan 24
  1. Liverpool's journey to find structural stability after Klopp's era began with a turbulent start due to a mistaken committee approach.
  2. The success of Liverpool's recent transfers is attributed to a clear structure under Klopp's direction with Edwards as a key figure.
  3. As Liverpool faces the departure of key personnel like Edwards and Schmadtke, the focus is now on finding a new sporting director to seamlessly fit into the existing system.
The Generalist • 900 implied HN points • 23 Jan 24
  1. Great leadership requires making tough decisions that go against popular opinion.
  2. CEOs must prioritize what's best for the long-term success of their company, even if it means making unpopular choices.
  3. Building a successful company often means making difficult decisions that may challenge the norms and expectations of others.
A User's Guide to History • 235 implied HN points • 11 Feb 24
  1. Presidents have strengths and weaknesses, and age can impact their performance, but wisdom often outweighs age-related challenges
  2. Health issues can affect a president's ability to govern effectively, as seen with Wilson's stroke during the ratification of the Versailles treaty
  3. Age alone should not be a disqualifying factor for a presidential candidate; what truly matters is their ability to make sound decisions
The Product Channel By Sid Saladi • 10 implied HN points • 25 Feb 24
  1. Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a pivotal force in reshaping industries, offering product managers opportunities to enhance their development lifecycle.
  2. Integrating AI into product development leads to reduced time-to-market, increased efficiency, and better resonance with users.
  3. AI helps in enhancing ideation by analyzing customer feedback, conducting market research, and generating innovative concepts to uncover promising opportunities.
The Breaking Point • 235 implied HN points • 30 Jan 24
  1. Debating involves prepared discussions, clear decision-making frameworks, and open-mindedness to change opinions.
  2. Arguing results in repetitive discussions, lack of agreement, side factions, and revisiting decisions without objective reasoning.
  3. Monitoring if a team is debating or arguing is crucial to ensure effective teamwork and progress towards goals.
The Commonplace • 1277 implied HN points • 17 Oct 23
  1. Prudence is the queen of all virtues because it guides our actions and helps us make good decisions.
  2. The four cardinal virtues are prudence, fortitude, temperance, and justice, providing a foundation for a moral life.
  3. Cultivating prudence involves thinking, making a choice, and taking action, leading to wise decision-making in everyday life.
Fish Food for Thought • 16 implied HN points • 07 Feb 24
  1. Collective fallacies like groupthink can stifle innovation by leading to unanimous decisions driven by desire for group harmony.
  2. Social loafing in group settings reduces individual effort, hindering creativity and underutilizing diverse skills.
  3. Herd mentality can suppress creative ideas by promoting conformity to majority opinions, inhibiting risk-taking and diverse perspectives.
Elena's Growth Scoop • 1139 implied HN points • 30 Jun 23
  1. Having a data-driven culture is important for making informed decisions and connecting actions to business outcomes.
  2. In many companies, data is not well managed and can lead to frustration when trying to implement a data-driven culture too soon.
  3. Striking a balance and ensuring data accuracy is crucial before pushing for a data-driven culture.
The Ruffian • 288 implied HN points • 04 Nov 23
  1. The use of swearing in the workplace can indicate a lack of self-discipline and quality of thought.
  2. Swearing, when used strategically and thoughtfully, can be a powerful tool for impactful communication.
  3. Maintaining a balance between reasonableness and assertiveness is crucial, knowing when to speak up even if it requires using strong language.
Poczwardowski Notes • 19 implied HN points • 02 Feb 24
  1. Luck and randomness are significant factors in our lives and books that help in understanding this are valuable reads.
  2. Decisions should be separate from outcomes, and tools like backcasting and premortems can aid in making smarter choices.
  3. The book emphasizes the importance of considering the consequences of decisions in the short term, medium term, and long term through the 10-10-10 rule.
The Leadership Lab • 177 implied HN points • 28 Nov 23
  1. Integrity involves energetic wholeness, energy flow, congruence, and alignment, allowing for the full flow of energy and aliveness.
  2. Denying impulses can lead to complexity and drama in life, it's important to honor and confront our deepest wants.
  3. In decision-making, focus on learning about yourself and staying present in the process, moving beyond the idea of right or wrong answers.
The Beautiful Mess • 924 implied HN points • 07 Jul 23
  1. Hierarchy creates a chain of communication in which information gets oversimplified as it moves up, leading to an unwinnable game
  2. Passing information up the chain results in details being shaped and possibly distorted based on audience and perceived urgency
  3. The ideal conditions for a 'good game' are challenged in scenarios where goals become unclear, feedback loops are long, and motivations are dwindled