The hottest Voter Turnout Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top U.S. Politics Topics

THE SHOW NOTES: The Garbage Man, Van Jones Blasts Progressives, & 60 Million Votes

Erick Erickson's Confessions of a Political Junkie • 879 implied HN points • 31 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Campaigns Political Commentary Voter Turnout Government Policies
  1. Donald Trump is using humor to respond to Joe Biden's comments about his supporters, even campaigning in a garbage truck. It's a way to turn the insult into a joke.
  2. Van Jones is criticizing progressives who support Hamas, highlighting divisions within political movements. His remarks show a need for clearer stances on complex issues.
  3. Early voting is already high with around 60 million Americans having voted, but this doesn't guarantee the outcome of the election. It's a reminder that early numbers can be misleading.

Harris Could Win. So Could Trump.

Erick Erickson's Confessions of a Political Junkie • 2437 implied HN points • 28 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political strategy Voter Turnout Campaigns Party Dynamics
  1. Kamala Harris has a real chance to win if women voters turn out in higher numbers, especially in swing states. Early voting trends show women are leading in participation.
  2. The Republicans are worried about voter turnout, especially among women and Black voters. Both parties need to focus on getting their supporters to the polls.
  3. Trump's controversial jokes and radical comments could harm his campaign. The media is likely to highlight these issues, which might discourage some potential voters.

About That Voter Suppression in Georgia

Erick Erickson's Confessions of a Political Junkie • 1298 implied HN points • 16 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Voting Rights Election Law Political parties Voter Turnout Media Reporting
  1. Georgia's voter reforms were claimed to be discriminatory, but many people are actually voting early instead of facing long lines.
  2. The recent record of 300,000 early voters shows that people are participating in the election process.
  3. High turnout among low-propensity voters could benefit Republicans, suggesting a strong showing this election season.

A Tale of Two States: Pennsylvania and Florida in a Post-COVID Election

COVID Reason • 436 implied HN points • 03 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Voter Turnout Political parties Voting behavior
  1. Pennsylvania has kept strong early voting rules from the pandemic, with a lot of Democrats using mail-in ballots this year. This shows their commitment to making voting easier and more accessible.
  2. In Florida, early voting is down as the state returned to stricter rules, showing that fewer people are participating compared to the pandemic. This shift may change the chances for both parties in the upcoming election.
  3. The differences in voting styles between Pennsylvania and Florida highlight how each state adapted after COVID-19, which could heavily impact the 2024 election outcomes.
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Election 2024: The Day Before

The Reactionary • 82 implied HN points • 04 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polling Political parties Voter Turnout Campaign strategies
  1. Republicans are feeling more confident going into the 2024 election, especially with recent polling showing Trump gaining ground in key swing states. The mood has shifted significantly in the last couple of months.
  2. Early voting results indicate that Republicans have better turnout compared to Democrats, especially in states like Nevada and Pennsylvania. This may suggest a problem with Democrat enthusiasm compared to the previous election.
  3. In several swing states, urban and female voter turnout is down compared to 2020, while rural turnout is up for Republicans. This shift could impact the overall election results.

Election Update #12: Is the Democratic Enthusiasm Advantage Already Showing Up?

Phillips’s Newsletter • 83 implied HN points • 31 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Voter Turnout Political trends Polling Demographics
  1. Many people have already voted, showing a lot of early engagement. This trend is higher compared to most past elections, but still lower than during the pandemic in 2020.
  2. Women are leading in turnout, especially in key swing states. Their participation could play a big role in this election's outcome.
  3. The current election feels more like recent years (2022) than the previous presidential elections (2016, 2020). Polling predictions may not fully capture this shift in voter sentiment.

A Puzzle in Voter Behavior

Maximum Progress • 117 implied HN points • 07 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Voter Behavior Immigration Voter Turnout
  1. Old republicans' anti-immigration sentiment challenges traditional theories of voter behavior based on self-interest.
  2. Voting decisions are not solely based on self-interest, but also influenced by factors like emotional benefits and group identity.
  3. Understanding voter behavior includes concepts like rational ignorance and rational irrationality, which account for limited impact of individual votes on election outcomes.

November 4, 2024

Letters from an American • 18 implied HN points • 05 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Campaigns Political parties Voter Turnout Political strategy
  1. The intelligence agencies have warned that foreign adversaries, like Russia, are trying to undermine public trust in U.S. elections. It's important for people to get information from reliable sources.
  2. Trump's campaign has shifted focus to energizing his loyal base rather than trying to attract new voters, which has resulted in less support among some groups, especially women. His approach has created division rather than unity.
  3. In contrast, Kamala Harris is running a positive campaign that encourages voter turnout and hopes for a fresh start in politics. Her message focuses on community and hope for the future.

The 2024 Presidential Election Hinges on Cities

The New Urban Order • 59 implied HN points • 20 Nov 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Cities Voter Turnout Political Campaigns
  1. Cities consistently have lower voter turnout compared to suburban and rural areas.
  2. Urban voters tend to be overwhelmingly Democratic, which leads to neglect from both Republican and Democrat campaigns.
  3. The 2024 Presidential Election is expected to focus on cities as an unexpected battleground, especially concerning the turnout of Black and Hispanic voters.

When More Democracy Is Less: The Paradox Of Primaries

American Dreaming • 3 HN points • 12 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Democracy Partisanship Reform Voter Turnout
  1. Primaries were meant to bring more democracy by letting voters help choose candidates, but the system often leads to unsatisfying choices due to low voter turnout.
  2. The primary system replaced party bosses with a more democratic candidate selection process, but voter participation remains low, favoring extremists and special interests.
  3. Abolishing primaries in favor of ranked-choice voting could lead to better candidate selection and reduce the influence of partisanship, extremism, and special interests in elections.

On the effectiveness of campaigns

Matt’s Five Points • 0 implied HN points • 17 Sep 11
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns Political Science Voter Turnout
  1. Most of the money spent on campaigning is wasted. It's hard to know what actually works, so campaigns often spend in a scattershot way.
  2. There are methods like running experiments to see what campaign strategies are effective and how much they really cost. Door-to-door contact, for example, is usually more effective than phone calls.
  3. While research is helping campaigns waste less money, it may still only cut down the waste to two-thirds instead of eliminating it completely. There's always going to be some level of uncertainty in what works.

Turn-out, tune-in, and roll-off in Fairfax County, VA

Matt’s Five Points • 0 implied HN points • 09 Nov 11
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Voter Turnout Political Science Local government Voting behavior
  1. Voter turnout in off-year elections, like local elections, tends to be low. People usually show less interest in state and local races compared to presidential elections.
  2. Roll-off means that voters often skip lower-profile races on the ballot. Many people vote for the main position but leave other options blank, showing a lack of interest or awareness for local issues.
  3. Non-partisan elections can harm democracy. Without party labels next to candidates' names, it's harder for voters to make informed choices about local officials.