The hottest Election Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top U.S. Politics Topics

Why the 2024 Polls are So Confusing Right Now

The Message Box • 2162 implied HN points • 04 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Polls Election Third-Party
  1. Polls are not predictions, but snapshots of the current situation based on educated guesses about voter turnout.
  2. The 2024 election is unique with unpredictable variables like a former president running again and a high interest in third-party candidates.
  3. Polls are showing inconsistencies due to varying treatment of third-party candidates, and targeting hard-to-reach groups like Independents and young voters.

This is getting ridiculous!

Today's Edition Newsletter • 9001 implied HN points • 25 Sep 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Media Threats Presidency
  1. The Washington Post poll results were deemed implausible and called an outlier, highlighting issues with presidential polling.
  2. Reject the influence of sensationalized polls on politics and focus on the real issues at hand.
  3. Trump's veiled threat against General Mark Milley is concerning and potentially in violation of pretrial release conditions.

🚨🚨🚨 Crisis Hits the Democrats

Erick Erickson's Confessions of a Political Junkie • 1886 implied HN points • 08 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Political Scandal Election Democratic Party Republican party
  1. Special Counsel report finds Biden violated the law but may evade jail due to mental state.
  2. Democrats facing crisis as Biden's mental fitness for presidency comes under scrutiny.
  3. Possibility of Biden stepping aside increases, leading to potential repercussions with Kamala Harris.
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Abortion, Every Day (2.9.24)

All in Her Head by Jessica Valenti • 1847 implied HN points • 09 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Abortion Legislation Election Rights
  1. Legislation in West Virginia and South Dakota targets women with nonviable pregnancies by misleading them with false information disguised as 'informed consent.'
  2. Anti-abortion groups use cases of abortion medication misuse in domestic abuse to push false narratives, diverting attention from violence against women.
  3. Lawmakers in South Carolina introduce a bill to compensate women denied abortions, highlighting the escalating costs of prenatal and postnatal care, as important steps in supporting women's reproductive rights.

It’s Over, and It’s Trump

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 2364 implied HN points • 24 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Government Media Justice Entertainment
  1. Nikki Haley's campaign faces challenges after falling short in New Hampshire, signaling potential struggles ahead.
  2. Trump's resurgence in popularity and the GOP's lack of understanding contribute to his strong position for the 2024 presidential race.
  3. New poll data shows immigration as a top voter concern, impacting President Biden's favorability ratings.

THE STATE OF TEXAS, THE STATE OF OUR HEARTS

TRANSFORM with Marianne Williamson • 2044 implied HN points • 02 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Governance Immigration Election Humanitarianism
  1. Governor Greg Abbott of Texas is asserting his right to block border patrol agents from saving drowning migrants, which is supported by other Republican figures.
  2. Addressing the root causes of the border crisis is essential, including stabilizing Latin American economies and decriminalizing drugs.
  3. It is important to prioritize humanitarian values as a nation and not let innocent people die at the border.

Post-Apocalypse America

Unsafe • 2260 implied HN points • 24 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Candidates Debates Campaigning
  1. DeSantis struggled due to various factors like his 20-point victory in 2022 affecting his decision-making.
  2. The withdrawal speech was analyzed, including the phrases used, like "No more pale pastels. We need bold colors."
  3. Nikki Haley's behavior and controversies in the political landscape were highlighted, showing how she handles criticism and her approach in debates.

Why Is The American Right Pandering to Putin?

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 1544 implied HN points • 15 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Foreign Policy Documentary
  1. Some members of the American right are supportive of Tucker Carlson's friendly chat with Vladimir Putin, yet critics see it as pandering to an enemy of democracy.
  2. Despite concerns about Biden's age and Trump's foreign policy remarks, some argue that Biden's experience and Trump's stance on NATO could be reasons for their support.
  3. A documentary based on the book 'The Coddling of the American Mind' by Lukianoff and Haidt is being turned into a feature film, backed by Substack, probing into rising mental health issues and illiberalism among young Americans.

Democrats Are Praying for an Open Convention

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 830 implied HN points • 11 Mar 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Democratic Party Political strategy
  1. Many Democrats believe Biden is doomed in the upcoming election due to his age and current polling numbers.
  2. There is a desire among some Democrats for an open convention to bring forth a younger and more dynamic nominee to lead the party.
  3. Several potential candidates, including governors and Senators, are being considered to replace Biden, with varying levels of enthusiasm and skepticism.

Trump. Again. The Question Is Why?

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 2068 implied HN points • 24 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Parties Leadership Public Opinion Campaigns
  1. Donald Trump remains a prominent figure in the political landscape, commanding attention from both supporters and critics.
  2. Trump has been successful in recent Republican caucus victories and is gaining significant support within the party.
  3. He is currently polling well and leads President Biden in various public opinion surveys.

The Latest Filing In Kari Lake v. Katie Hobbs in Arizona

Emerald Robinson’s The Right Way • 4245 implied HN points • 21 Nov 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Legal Media
  1. Maricopa County did not properly certify the voting machines, which is a serious issue.
  2. The county failed to conduct required testing on vote-center tabulators, raising questions about the election's integrity.
  3. Arizona's Supreme Court may need to address the potential criminal fraud and consider decertifying the election.

American Politics is Bringing Us Down

The Liberal Patriot • 1729 implied HN points • 31 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Citizenship Partisanship Democracy Activism
  1. Many voters view politics negatively and feel disheartened by the current state of American politics.
  2. Engaging in non-political activities and discussions can provide a refreshing break from partisan divides.
  3. Reinvigorating democracy requires looking beyond partisan politics and working together in various civic roles to address societal challenges.

Here is why Joe Biden is skipping a Super Bowl interview

Erick Erickson's Confessions of a Political Junkie • 1474 implied HN points • 07 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Presidency Political strategy
  1. Joe Biden is skipping a Super Bowl interview for the second time due to difficulty handling questions and not wanting to debate Trump.
  2. Concerns about Biden's age and mental deterioration are rising among voters, even within the Democratic party.
  3. Biden's path to re-election may involve the GOP making mistakes, but relying solely on that is risky if one truly believes Trump is a threat to the republic.

Weekend Listening: Dean Phillips on His Long-Shot White House Bid

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 2109 implied HN points • 13 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Democratic Party Bipartisanship
  1. Dean Phillips is running for president as a moderate Democrat to challenge the party establishment and offer an alternative to voters who feel alienated by both parties.
  2. Phillips believes in the importance of democracy and competition within the Democratic Party, criticizing the coronation of certain candidates and calling for reform.
  3. Although critical of Joe Biden's communication skills and decline, Phillips states that he will support Biden if he becomes the 2024 nominee to defeat Donald Trump.

Fifteen thoughts on Kevin McCarthy's downfall

Slow Boring • 5837 implied HN points • 04 Oct 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Parties Legislation Policy Election
  1. Kevin McCarthy's downfall was triggered by his decision to not do a government shutdown that Matt Gaetz wanted.
  2. Donald Trump did not try to save McCarthy, showing his self-serving nature.
  3. The dysfunction in the Republican caucus was highlighted by the rebels' actions and the refusal of mainstream Republicans to cooperate with Democrats.

2024: The year we bury the culture war

Striking 13 • 2136 implied HN points • 05 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Media Culture Election Partisanship
  1. In politics, we need to move towards a quieter, less divisive approach that focuses on policies rather than group conflicts.
  2. The media dynamics have favored sensationalism and polarization, but a shift towards a more transactional government might change that.
  3. Journalists and commentators could face challenges as the political landscape shifts away from identity wars towards policy-driven governance.

It's time for the White House to put up or shut up

Silver Bulletin • 1000 implied HN points • 19 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Presidency Media Interviews
  1. Biden's re-election prospects are diminishing due to poor approval ratings, trailing in polls, and concerns about his age.
  2. The White House may be strategically limiting Biden's public appearances to avoid negative outcomes and protect his image.
  3. Critics suggest Biden should engage in more challenging interviews to prove his mental sharpness and suitability for a second term.

joe biden can beat trump

Airplane Mode with Liz Plank • 1159 implied HN points • 09 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Presidency Candidates Democracy Foreign Relations
  1. There are concerns about Biden's memory and cognitive function affecting his potential reelection campaign.
  2. Biden could prevent Trump's second term by stepping down and allowing new Democratic candidates to enter the race.
  3. Allowing a different candidate to replace Biden could address challenges like lack of enthusiasm among voters and the threat of a second Trump presidency.

In a Deep-Blue City, Will Locals Get Tough on Crime?

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 677 implied HN points • 04 Mar 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Crime Progressives Election Democratic Party Policies
  1. The city of Austin, Texas is facing a surge in crime rates, with concerns over the progressive criminal justice reforms led by District Attorney José Garza.
  2. The upcoming Democratic primary race for District Attorney in Austin will determine the future of criminal justice policies, with moderate candidate Jeremy Sylestine challenging Garza's progressive agenda.
  3. There is a divide among Austin residents, with some supporting Garza's approach of reducing incarceration and addressing root causes of crime, while others criticize him for leniency towards criminals and lack of justice for victims.

Election Countdown, 240 Days to Go: The General Election Campaign Has Begun.

Breaking the News • 564 implied HN points • 11 Mar 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Foreign Policy Policy Analysis
  1. The speech by Joe Biden at the State of the Union address effectively shifted audience focus and message from previous years.
  2. The speech avoided the typical laundry-list approach, presenting a more cohesive thematic structure to deliver key points.
  3. Biden's speech reflected a strong stance against Putin and Trump, aiming to motivate and connect with his own base rather than attempting to win over Trump's supporters.

Why's Kentucky Worried About Mike Lindell?

Emerald Robinson’s The Right Way • 3911 implied HN points • 26 Oct 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Legal Media Conservative Government
  1. Monitoring Wi-Fi connections in Kentucky has suddenly become illegal.
  2. American corporate media is concerned about Wi-Fi monitoring devices by MyPillow CEO Mike Lindell for the 2024 election.
  3. Kentucky election officials expressing concern about Lindell's devices may indicate potential cheating in the 2024 election.

Corporate media is catching up: Trump is weak, economy is strong

The Signorile Report • 1395 implied HN points • 23 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Media Economy Republican party Political Analysis
  1. Corporate media is acknowledging Trump's weakness and the strong economy in contrast to earlier narratives.
  2. Trump's representation as an incumbent, not a newcomer, is highlighted by media reports which could impact the 2024 election.
  3. Beltway reporters are recognizing positive feelings about the economy and how it could influence the election narrative.

What is the Positive Vision for Biden’s Second Term?

The Liberal Patriot • 1395 implied HN points • 17 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Campaign Strategy Patriotism Bipartisanship
  1. Voters are looking for a positive vision and clear mission from leaders.
  2. Biden should focus on a 'pro-worker, pro-family, pro-America' agenda for a successful second term campaign.
  3. Instead of relying on negative messaging, Biden should emphasize patriotism, humility, and unity to appeal to a broader audience.

Former Obama CIA Chief Backs Nikki Haley

All-Source Intelligence Fusion • 762 implied HN points • 20 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Intelligence Government National Security Campaign
  1. Former Obama CIA Chief Michael Morell publicly supports Nikki Haley's presidential campaign with both donations and endorsements.
  2. Morell organized efforts to shape the 2020 presidential election by discrediting a report on Hunter Biden, a move tied to intelligence officials interfacing with the Biden campaign.
  3. Several high-ranking former intelligence and national security officials, including Michael Morell and Douglas Feith, are backing Nikki Haley's campaign for president despite limited voter support.

Election Countdown, 270 Days to Go: The Elderly Man in the White House.

Breaking the News • 872 implied HN points • 10 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election President Age Media Campaign
  1. Biden's age is a complex topic, with some seeing him as a 'superager' like Oliver Wendell Holmes and John Paul Stevens.
  2. Biden's experience might make him more capable of making sound judgment calls compared to younger presidents.
  3. Biden's stutter affects his speech but not his intelligence, showcasing his resilience in navigating his condition.