The hottest Polls Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top U.S. Politics Topics

Goodbye Ron, Good Luck Nikki

The Status Kuo • 11950 implied HN points • 22 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Primary Campaign Polls Candidates
  1. Ron DeSantis dropped out of the GOP primary race due to lack of charisma and inability to outdo Trump.
  2. Nikki Haley faces challenges catching up to Trump in the primary race, lacking voter enthusiasm and support.
  3. Trump's strong lead in polls signals his likely nomination, which could be a strategic advantage for Joe Biden in the upcoming election.

The Backlash in Deep-Blue America

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 2508 implied HN points • 04 Mar 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Policies Candidates Polls
  1. One in ten 2020 Biden voters now support Donald Trump, indicating trouble for Biden's reelection bid.
  2. Progressive places like San Francisco and Oregon are embracing law-and-order policies, signaling a shift towards 'common sense' approaches.
  3. Conservatives are gaining ground in political fights in deep-blue areas like Washington, D.C., New York, and California, reflecting a broader conservative backlash.

Byelection slaughter: Yeah, so it turns out the Tories are screwed after all

Striking 13 • 2835 implied HN points • 16 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Parties Leaders Polls Candidates
  1. Despite negative headlines, Labour's performance in byelections remains strong with significant swings in their favor.
  2. The Conservative party is facing significant struggles and losses, marked by the largest fall in post-war history.
  3. Reform party is making a mark in elections, potentially impacting Tory wins and skewing expectations.

Why the 2024 Polls are So Confusing Right Now

The Message Box • 2162 implied HN points • 04 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Polls Election Third-Party
  1. Polls are not predictions, but snapshots of the current situation based on educated guesses about voter turnout.
  2. The 2024 election is unique with unpredictable variables like a former president running again and a high interest in third-party candidates.
  3. Polls are showing inconsistencies due to varying treatment of third-party candidates, and targeting hard-to-reach groups like Independents and young voters.
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Could October 7 Bring Down the Squad?

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 964 implied HN points • 21 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Congress Lobbying Polls Democrats
  1. Democratic Rep. Summer Lee faced backlash from Pittsburgh's Jewish community for her actions and comments regarding Israel and Hamas.
  2. The Squad members, including Summer Lee, are facing serious primary challenges from well-funded opponents due to their stance on Israel and their support of movements like Ceasefire Now.
  3. The Democratic Party is experiencing internal conflict over attitudes towards Israel, with more moderate Democrats and the pro-Israel lobby opposing the harsh criticism of the Jewish state by some left-wing members of the party.

The White House is betting the election on a theory of skewed polls 🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩

Silver Bulletin • 308 implied HN points • 05 Mar 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polls Campaigns White House Media
  1. Democrats have historically not been trailing in presidential race polls until now, leading to a sense of confidence within their campaign officials.
  2. In the current presidential race, Joe Biden is behind in the polls against Trump, hinting at potential challenges ahead.
  3. The White House has shown signs of poll denialism, reacting negatively to polling data that does not align with their expectations.

The Cocoon Election

Slack Tide by Matt Labash • 176 implied HN points • 06 Mar 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Candidates Polls Age Presidency
  1. The current presidential candidates are significantly older than the average age of past presidents and the average age of death for former presidents, raising concerns about capability for such a stressful role
  2. Polls show that Trump is consistently leading over Biden in national polls, suggesting a strong showing for Trump in the upcoming election
  3. Despite the dissatisfaction with current choices, there is a lack of viable alternatives in the current presidential election

Some Fascinating Poll Results - Americans are starting to agree on some very important things

startupdreams • 741 implied HN points • 29 May 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Polls Election interference
  1. 70% of Americans are concerned about election interference by the FBI or intelligence agencies, showing lack of confidence in elections.
  2. 71% of Americans believe wide-ranging reform is necessary to prevent election interference by government institutions, indicating a bipartisan distrust in government.
  3. A large majority of Americans are not surprised that the FBI violated its own policies, highlighting a bipartisan distrust of the FBI.

Young Voters Are Furious at Biden. That’s Nice.

American Dreaming • 212 implied HN points • 10 Nov 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Polls Voting Youth Foreign Policy
  1. Critics argue that young voters are angry at Biden due to his support for Israel, but data shows this may not be impacting his re-election chances.
  2. Despite concerns about young progressive voters turning away from Biden, the data indicates that they are not a significant voting bloc and may not sway elections.
  3. Changing his stance on Israel/Palestine would not benefit Biden politically, as it could alienate reliable voters to cater to a smaller, less reliable group.

Robert Hur Just Gave Democrats An Off-Ramp

Gideon's Substack • 42 implied HN points • 09 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Democrats Special counsel Election Polls
  1. Special counsel Robert Hur hinted that President Biden may not be mentally capable of criminal conspiracy, posing a challenge for the Democrats.
  2. The Democrats face the task of convincing the public that Biden is fit for the presidency amid doubts about his capacity raised by Hur's comments.
  3. The Democrats have a tough decision ahead on whether to stick with Biden for the election or make a change based on public perception and past electoral outcomes.

Elite? Or Ultra-Citified?

In My Tribe • 2 HN points • 21 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Polls Political Influence Political Beliefs
  1. A buzzy poll about elites actually surveyed a specific group that does not represent the entire elite population.
  2. The criteria used to define 'elite' in the poll may not be very strict, potentially leading to a misrepresentation of the group.
  3. The 'ultra-citified' cohort, while affluent and educated, tends to think and behave notably differently from the rest of the American population.

Trump '23/'24

Wide World of News • 0 implied HN points • 02 Apr 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Trump Supporters Polls Campaign Finance Indictment
  1. Many Republican figures and donors are showing support for Donald Trump following his indictment.
  2. A poll conducted after Trump's indictment shows him with a significant lead over potential Republican challengers like Ron DeSantis.
  3. Speculation on the impact of Trump's indictment on his political future suggests uncertainty about potential legal repercussions.