The hottest Party Dynamics Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top U.S. Politics Topics

The Saturday Read: The velvet curtain

The Saturday Read • 119 implied HN points • 02 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Analysis Political culture Populism Party Dynamics Geopolitics
  1. The rise of pop political movements, like MAGA and Thatcherism, show that they can reshape party identity and power dynamics in profound ways. This isn't just a short-term trend; it's likely to stick around.
  2. There's a real worry about the growing alignment of countries in the Brics group, which could change how global politics work. Many leaders aren't addressing this potential shift, leaving concerns about balance of power.
  3. North Korea sending troops to help Russia in Ukraine raises alarms, especially for neighboring countries like South Korea. It's a reminder of how tensions can escalate and lead to a larger conflict.

Harris Could Win. So Could Trump.

Erick Erickson's Confessions of a Political Junkie • 2437 implied HN points • 28 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political strategy Voter Turnout Campaigns Party Dynamics
  1. Kamala Harris has a real chance to win if women voters turn out in higher numbers, especially in swing states. Early voting trends show women are leading in participation.
  2. The Republicans are worried about voter turnout, especially among women and Black voters. Both parties need to focus on getting their supporters to the polls.
  3. Trump's controversial jokes and radical comments could harm his campaign. The media is likely to highlight these issues, which might discourage some potential voters.

SHOW NOTES: Bullies, Authoritarians, and French Fries

Erick Erickson's Confessions of a Political Junkie • 1278 implied HN points • 22 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Campaigns Polling Political Commentary Party Dynamics
  1. Kamala Harris is struggling to connect with voters, especially Black voters in Georgia, who feel she lacks relatable experience. Many are undecided and may not vote at all.
  2. There's a growing sense among Democrats that they might lose the election, with signs of weakening support for Harris. Their current tactics seem to rely more on shaming than persuasion.
  3. Voter turnout patterns indicate that less engaged voters might be supporting Trump, which poses a challenge for pollsters trying to predict the election outcome.

Happenings in Pennsylvania! Latest Numbers and Trends

COVID Reason • 456 implied HN points • 22 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Voter trends Party Dynamics Polling Campaigns
  1. Voter registrations in Pennsylvania are changing, with more Democrats switching to the Republican Party. This shift can impact the elections in a big way.
  2. Early voting trends show that Republicans have greatly increased their early turnout compared to previous elections, while Democrats' early voting is down. This could change who wins in the state.
  3. Polls indicate a tight race for the 2024 election in Pennsylvania, with both parties needing to work hard to win over voters as Election Day gets closer.

Today's Reads: Election Tensions!

COVID Reason • 376 implied HN points • 23 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political strategy Party Dynamics Political Analysis
  1. Kamala Harris is under pressure as she tries to connect with voters, but her efforts may not be making a big impact. It's important for her to change her focus to what people really need.
  2. Donald Trump remains a strong figure in politics, gaining attention despite the challenges he faces. This shows how both parties have shaped the current political climate.
  3. Democrats are worried about losing support from Black voters and need to find ways to regain that trust. Knowing what matters to this group could change the election's outcome.
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What drove Asian and Hispanic voters to the right in 2024

Noahpinion • 16529 implied HN points • 20 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Voting behavior Political trends Demographics Party Dynamics
  1. Asian and Hispanic voters shifted to the right in the 2024 election due to a mix of economic concerns and perceived disconnection from the Democratic Party's values. Many felt that their priorities were not being addressed.
  2. For Asian voters, issues like crime and education were key factors. Many were frustrated with rising crime rates and felt that the Democrats were not prioritizing their safety and educational opportunities.
  3. Hispanic voters also expressed economic concerns, especially about inflation and rising costs. Some felt that the Democratic Party was out of touch with their family values and priorities, contributing to their shift toward Republicans.

Big Mommy is Not Coming to Save Us

Freddie deBoer • 15408 implied HN points • 29 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political Behavior Media influence Party Dynamics Political Ideology
  1. People like Donald Trump, and no amount of media criticism seems to hurt his popularity. Many voters support him despite knowing his flaws.
  2. Democrats often struggle to connect with voters because they don't have a clear message or identity. They need to focus on issues that matter to everyday people.
  3. Expecting that a higher authority will correct wrongs in politics is unrealistic. Voters are looking for practical solutions, not just complaints about Trump.

Dingus of the week: Democratic party spending $20 million on men

Men Yell at Me • 391 implied HN points • 30 May 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Analysis Campaign Strategy Voter Demographics Party Dynamics Public Policy
  1. The Democratic National Committee is planning to spend $20 million to win back young male voters, but many believe this may not address the root causes of their declining support.
  2. Research shows that male support for Democrats drops significantly when a female candidate is on the ballot, highlighting potential biases among male voters.
  3. Some suggestions for the Democratic platform include humorous ideas that appeal to men, like guaranteed matches on dating apps, but the real issue may be deeper societal attitudes rather than party policies.

Construction

Points And Figures • 1172 implied HN points • 25 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political strategy Elections Party Dynamics Government Campaigning
  1. Trump's experience in construction gives him an advantage during natural disasters, as he can expedite recovery efforts.
  2. There are issues within government agencies that seem to hinder effective communication and response, which some believe should be eliminated or reformed.
  3. Republicans are urged to prepare and organize for upcoming elections to ensure they support candidates who align with small government principles.

Election Update 6: The Puckering

TK News by Matt Taibbi • 7102 implied HN points • 06 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political Analysis Campaigns Voter Behavior Party Dynamics
  1. Democrats are feeling anxious as key states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin show Trump leading. It's crucial for Harris to win all three to take the presidency.
  2. Many Democrats may have overlooked voter sentiments, which can lead to big consequences. There's a sense that the Democratic Party needs to reconnect with American voters.
  3. This election isn't just about who wins but also reflects broader public opinions on political messaging. The results could spark major changes in media and party leadership.

The Trump Restoration

Justin E. H. Smith's Hinternet • 1762 implied HN points • 07 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political theory Electoral Politics Party Dynamics Media influence Populism
  1. The idea that the Trump family could become part of the elite class in the future seems possible, especially with younger generations like Barron's kids. This shows how power dynamics can shift over time.
  2. Many people are confused by the political state where a convicted felon can become president. This blending of reality TV and politics complicates our understanding of what's real and what's a show.
  3. Democrats seem to have lost touch with everyday Americans, focusing too much on identity politics instead of real economic issues. This disconnect has allowed Trump and his supporters to thrive.

Donald Trump Is Systematically Terrorizing MAGA Voters Via Trillions in Suspensions or Cuts to Aid They and Their Families Need

Proof • 108 implied HN points • 28 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Policy Governance Political Ideologies Party Dynamics
  1. Some wealthy people are believed to have a lot of power in the government now, and their ideas can be harmful.
  2. MAGA voters are facing serious financial difficulties due to cuts in aid that they really need.
  3. The changes in support and government help may cause fear and uncertainty among supporters of the MAGA agenda.

The story of Trump's win was foretold in New York City

Silver Bulletin • 1588 implied HN points • 06 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political strategy Voter Demographics Party Dynamics
  1. Trump's support is growing even in traditionally Democratic areas like New York City. His vote share has significantly increased compared to past elections.
  2. The Democratic Party needs to understand why they lost and reassess their strategies. Many people are questioning what went wrong and looking for answers.
  3. The mood after the election was calmer than in 2016, suggesting people are more prepared for surprises in politics now. This clarity might help the Democrats focus on better decisions moving forward.

Controversial opinion: Democrats can win men back

Sex and the State • 23 implied HN points • 10 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political strategy Gender Issues Party Dynamics Voter Behavior
  1. Democrats need to focus more on winning back male voters if they want to be successful. Many believe that focusing only on women has caused the party to lose touch with men.
  2. There is evidence that some men are feeling left behind and more reactionary. Democrats should engage these men and offer them better alternatives to the right's messaging.
  3. It’s important for the Democrats to change their approach and focus on broader issues that matter to men, rather than just cultural or gender debates. They need to present realistic solutions that appeal to all voters.

Indifference to Woke Isn't Enough

Richard Hanania's Newsletter • 3950 implied HN points • 12 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political trends Party Dynamics Election Strategies Activism
  1. Democrats need to actively confront woke activists, not just ignore them, to gain people's trust on social issues. Simply being indifferent won't work.
  2. Many voters are concerned about wokeness impacting Democratic policies, especially around identity issues like sports and affirmative action. This shows that people connect these views with the party as a whole.
  3. Political parties are made up of different groups, and changing one leader's image won't change the party's values overnight. The overall coalition matters more in the long run.

Four THB Takeaways from the Incredible 2024 US Election

The Honest Broker Newsletter • 1079 implied HN points • 06 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Policy Party Dynamics Media Voter Behavior
  1. There has been a big shift in U.S. politics, showing that more voters are supporting Trump than in previous elections. This could change the political landscape for years to come.
  2. Policies are really important for making actual changes in government. It's crucial for Congress to play a bigger role in creating effective policies that help everyone.
  3. Independent media has become more important because they provide thoughtful and diverse viewpoints. Many traditional media outlets missed key points during the election, so people are turning to independent sources for better insights.

Election Countdown, 20 Days to Go: Eyes Wide Open as We Near the End.

Breaking the News • 1115 implied HN points • 16 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Voting Economy Scandals Party Dynamics
  1. The economy is doing really well, which usually benefits the party in power. Strong economies often lead to successful elections for the candidates of the ruling party.
  2. There aren’t any major scandals surrounding the Democrats, unlike the troubles facing Trump. This gives the Democrats a cleaner slate going into the election.
  3. Despite positive factors for Democrats, polls show the election is still close. This leaves uncertainty about the outcome, as historical trends may not predict this race accurately.

SBSQ #15: Democrats have a "fool me twice" problem

Silver Bulletin • 642 implied HN points • 26 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Voting behavior Political theory Party Dynamics Campaign Strategy
  1. Voters often feel betrayed when political parties don't keep their promises, which can lead them to punish those parties, even if they prefer their policies in the long run.
  2. Democrats have faced a challenge where their messages seem abstract and hard to connect with, making it difficult for voters to feel excited or trust them.
  3. Prediction markets and other indicators may make accurate calls about races, but there's a question of whether they are just lucky or truly insightful, reflecting the unpredictability of voter behavior.

The chilling dawn of multiracial fascism

Wrong Side of History • 650 implied HN points • 11 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Populism Party Dynamics Political Discourse
  1. Democrats are losing popularity because people care more about rising prices than political debates. Many voters prioritize their economic well-being over party loyalty.
  2. Trump has changed the game by uniting different racial groups in his support. His approach shows that diversity can work well in politics, differing from traditional views.
  3. Right-wing populism may be growing in non-traditional ways, with diverse communities supporting it. This reflects a shift in how voters align their beliefs with political parties.

Organized and Coordinated Attacks

Points And Figures • 879 implied HN points • 03 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political strategy Election Process Party Dynamics Voter Behavior Media influence
  1. The Democratic Party operates in a top-down manner, allowing members to understand their roles without needing direct instruction. This structure helps them coordinate efforts effectively, especially during elections.
  2. Republicans are more decentralized, leading to a wider variety of beliefs and approaches. This can create challenges in organizing efforts like voter turnout compared to Democrats.
  3. Recent polls and media narratives might not accurately reflect voter sentiment, raising concerns about their credibility. Many believe that political manipulation and biased reporting can skew public perception ahead of elections.

My Highly Decoupled Election

Richard Hanania's Newsletter • 2755 implied HN points • 18 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Analysis Election Strategies Party Dynamics
  1. In politics, some people see their side as both morally and intellectually superior, while others recognize flaws in their own group. Those who can see both sides more realistically might have an edge in understanding what's really happening.
  2. Political ads can sometimes focus on negative stereotypes rather than real issues, showing how some campaigns manipulate fears to gain support. This reflects a deeper issue within the political messaging from both major parties.
  3. The outcome of the election may not bring significant change, as either group represents a mix of flawed people and policies. Regardless of who wins, there's an opportunity to hope that either negative behavior or bad policies won't prevail.

The Battle to Shape Trump's China Policy

ChinaTalk • 622 implied HN points • 06 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Foreign Policy Political strategy Party Dynamics International relations Trade policy
  1. Trump's China policy is uncertain and has many different viewpoints among his supporters. They all agree about China's importance but disagree on how to deal with it.
  2. There are two main debates: one about economic issues and the other about military and geopolitical strategies. People might agree on economic solutions but have different ideas on military actions.
  3. Some view the U.S. as strong and capable of taking on China, while others are more pessimistic and believe the U.S. needs to lower its ambitions. This difference shapes their ideas on how to approach U.S.-China relations.

January 6th was Successful

Unpopular Front • 114 implied HN points • 06 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political strategy Constitutional Law Media Criticism Party Dynamics Political polarization
  1. The January 6th attack on the Capitol was seen as a political success for Trump. Even after the chaos, he managed to rally support among his followers.
  2. Trump's approach has shifted the political landscape, making opposition seem less credible. Some critics are now viewed as supportive of him, whether they realize it or not.
  3. There is a sense that Trump's actions have broken the systems of law and norms, leading to a more raw and partisan political environment, where traditional standards no longer apply.

Top Links 560 It's happening! Partisan economic sentiments are flipping. Transfer nation & Trump's golf course in Vietnam.

Chartbook • 443 implied HN points • 14 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Opinions Party Dynamics Government Policies
  1. People's feelings about the economy are changing along party lines. It's becoming noticeable that opinions are shifting.
  2. The term 'Transfer nation' is being discussed, which suggests a focus on how wealth and resources move between different groups.
  3. Trump's golf course in Vietnam is a point of interest, highlighting the combination of politics and business on a global scale.

My Father and the Trumps

Political Currents by Ross Barkan • 36 implied HN points • 07 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political History Elections Political Figures Party Dynamics Legislation
  1. Donald Trump mentioned a politician named Sy Halpern, who impacted his father's early career. It's interesting to see how past connections can shape present political figures.
  2. Halpern was part of a different kind of Republican party that focused on bipartisanship and social issues like civil rights. This shows how political identities can change over time.
  3. Donald Trump represents a link to a bygone era in New York City, where local politics involved personal connections and community-focused leaders. It's a reminder of how history shapes current events.

The GOP Uniparty Must Vacate The Chair!

Emerald Robinson’s The Right Way • 4543 implied HN points • 03 Oct 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political corruption Party Dynamics Legislative Process Government funding Bipartisanship
  1. The two-party system is collapsing, leading to a one-party system.
  2. The GOP establishment is aligned with Democrats, pushing for uni-party rule.
  3. There is a battle within the GOP between Matt Gaetz and Kevin McCarthy, highlighting broken promises and alliances with Democrats.

17 Thoughts on the Election

Richard Hanania's Newsletter • 1536 implied HN points • 04 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political trends Party Dynamics Public Opinion
  1. Trump has a unique appeal that other Republicans struggle to replicate. His strong support shows he stands out in the party.
  2. Abortion might be a key issue in the election, especially for women voters. Depending on the outcome, it could change how politics handles abortion going forward.
  3. Trump may redirect blame for abortion issues to pro-life supporters if things don't go well for him, which might shift their influence in the GOP.

The Court of Trump

Comment is Freed • 69 implied HN points • 19 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political strategy Governance Political Figures Party Dynamics
  1. Trump often says things that confuse people, making it hard to know what he really means. This can cause chaos in politics and business.
  2. His team is often divided, with people competing for Trump's attention rather than working together. This creates a lot of turnover and instability.
  3. The people around Trump can greatly influence his decisions and policies, so it's important to watch those relationships to understand future conflicts.

Black Republicans and Big Man Syndrome

Richard Hanania's Newsletter • 1536 implied HN points • 09 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political theory Voting Trends Party Dynamics Identity politics
  1. Some black Republicans are seen as performing for the audience, trying to challenge leftist views. Their backgrounds and statements can lead to controversy.
  2. Republicans may actively seek out black leaders to show they aren't racist, even if those candidates have questionable traits.
  3. The term 'Big Man Syndrome' describes leaders who gain power through charisma and personal control, rather than official positions. This idea comes from studying how some societies operate around influential figures.

Born to be wild

Jeff Giesea • 898 implied HN points • 16 Apr 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Identity Election Issues Party Dynamics Populism
  1. Embracing political homelessness can feel freeing. It's like hitting the road after a tough breakup, where you can think for yourself and explore new ideas.
  2. The writer feels disillusioned with the Trump movement, seeing it as more of a threat to America. They now want to support a healthier political landscape instead.
  3. Despite political changes, the writer still holds onto many center-right values. They recognize the need for better solutions and are looking to contribute to positive political and global changes.

DRAFT: A Very Peculiar Kind of Triumph of the Will Indeed

Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality • 261 implied HN points • 08 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Misinformation Political Behavior Party Dynamics
  1. There is a question about whether people supported Trump because they wanted to believe false information, or if they believed false information because they supported Trump. It's a bit of a chicken-and-egg situation.
  2. Misinformation has a strong influence on voters, making it hard to trust what is said by those who oppose it. This makes it challenging for others to communicate different perspectives effectively.
  3. To make progress, some Republicans who want change may need to find ways to help their supporters understand the truth and make better choices about who to trust.