Evidently

Evidently explores statistical insights in sports, culture, and economics, focusing on unconventional wisdom and data-driven analysis. It sheds light on patterns and trends affecting performance, participation, and perception across diverse fields, using data to challenge common narratives and uncover underlying factors in success and failure.

Sports Analytics Cultural Analysis Economic Trends Data-Driven Insights Performance Statistics Technological Impact on Performance Professionalization in Sports Book Ratings Analysis Employment Trends International Competitions

The hottest Substack posts of Evidently

And their main takeaways

Graham Potter's problem with blocked shots

78 implied HN points • 08 Jul 23
🎾 Sports Soccer Coaching Analysis
  1. Graham Potter's teams consistently scored fewer goals than expected, facing issues with blocked shots.
  2. Blocked shots have been a persistent issue for Potter's teams, leading to underperformance in expected goals.
  3. Potter's attacking style may make it easier for opponents to block shots, affecting goal-scoring performance.

Better luck next time?

39 implied HN points • 06 Aug 21
  1. After disappointment, many athletes often think about the future and competing in future Olympic Games.
  2. Data shows that the percentage of repeat Olympic athletes has been gradually increasing over time.
  3. Professionalization of the Olympics and better support for athletes are key factors contributing to more athletes competing in multiple Olympic Games.

3 lessons from Redcar Steelworks

39 implied HN points • 23 May 21
  1. Unemployment remained high for two years after the Redcar steel plant shutdown.
  2. The closure hit older male workers the hardest, affecting their ability to find new employment.
  3. The new jobs created after the closure were different from the old steelworks jobs and paid less.

Turning tables

19 implied HN points • 01 Jan 22
  1. Chinese and Indian players are challenging the domination of Russian and Eastern European players in the chess world.
  2. Xie Jun's success paved the way for a generation of successful Chinese players in chess.
  3. Viswanathan Anand's achievements boosted the popularity of chess in India and inspired a new generation of players.

Are chess players getting younger?

2 HN points • 19 Dec 21
  1. Top chess players have become younger over medium and long term.
  2. Computer preparation has become vital in chess.
  3. Increasing professionalization of chess has contributed to younger players.
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There’s no I in team but is there a team in baseball?

0 implied HN points • 25 Jan 21
  1. Baseball is a team sport with 9-10 players facing off against each other.
  2. Team chemistry matters in baseball but not as much as individual player ability.
  3. Switching teams in baseball does not significantly impact player performance.

Why do sequels get such good ratings on Goodreads?

0 implied HN points • 21 Feb 21
  1. Sequels often get higher ratings on Goodreads than the original books.
  2. The group that rates sequels is more likely to be positive towards the author, which can inflate the ratings.
  3. Users generally prefer authors' first books over the sequels, but this preference might not be immediately apparent on Goodreads due to certain factors.

Exploring data across sports, culture and economics

0 implied HN points • 02 Jan 21
  1. Eduin Latimer explores data in sports, culture, and economics.
  2. The newsletter Evidently covers topics like economics and data analysis.
  3. Readers are encouraged to share the post with friends and subscribe.

Do teams matter in the NBA?

0 implied HN points • 03 Jan 21
  1. Switching teams in the NBA can drastically impact a player's performance.
  2. Team chemistry and roles play a significant role in individual player performance.
  3. Metrics like usage percentage, assist rate, and turnover rate are most affected by switching teams.

The points that matter

0 implied HN points • 28 May 22
  1. Points in tennis matches have varying levels of importance based on their impact on the overall match win probability.
  2. Break points, set points, and tiebreak points tend to have higher importance compared to other points in a match.
  3. The most critical points in tennis are situation-dependent and can significantly influence the outcome of a match.

Club and Country

0 implied HN points • 25 Nov 22
  1. Recent domestic league performance is a better predictor of a footballer's performance in international tournaments than previous international performance.
  2. Previous international performance is still useful in predicting a player's performance at the international level, but may have more variability.
  3. The best prediction for player performance combines both domestic league performance and previous international performance.

Raising your game when it matters

0 implied HN points • 13 Jul 22
  1. Top female tennis players may not necessarily perform better in important points.
  2. Some players like Petra Kvitova and Caroline Garcia consistently raise their game in crucial moments.
  3. Serena Williams stands out for winning more important points than others, showcasing her excellence even in pressure situations.

Five sets for favourites

0 implied HN points • 26 Sep 21
  1. Emma Raducanu's grand slam win was a significant upset in tennis history.
  2. Female underdog stories are more common in women's tennis compared to men's due to different game structures.
  3. Men's tennis structure, favoring top players, could be reconsidered to level the playing field for all genders.