The hottest Financial Risks Substack posts right now

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This Next Market Crash Will Break Our Fragile Brains

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 67 implied HN points • 23 Feb 25
💰 Finance Market Trends Investment Strategies Economic Theory Behavioral Finance Financial Risks
  1. The next market crash may have serious psychological effects on investors. Many people today haven't experienced a long-lasting downturn, which could be shocking for them.
  2. Current stock prices are very high compared to earnings, which might lead to a big correction. People are buying stocks without truly understanding their worth.
  3. The economy is facing challenges that could lead to stagflation. If that happens, it might hurt everyday people more than the wealthy, widening financial inequalities.

Why the low multiple series: Rental Car companies edition, part 1

Yet Another Value Blog • 2103 implied HN points • 10 Jan 24
💰 Finance Investing Stocks Earnings Financial Risks
  1. The rental car companies Avis and Hertz are trading at extremely low multiples compared to their earnings.
  2. Investors have concerns about the sustainability of the earnings of rental car companies due to potential overearning from increased rental prices and undervaluation of depreciation from high used car prices.
  3. Despite the record earnings of rental car companies, there are serious bear cases to consider, such as inflated earnings potentially dropping significantly in the future.

It's Christmas (Chaos), All Over, Again

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 32 implied HN points • 19 Dec 24
💰 Finance Market Trends Economic Policy Investing Strategies Market Analysis Financial Risks
  1. The market reacted sharply after the Federal Reserve cut rates, but this might not be a good sign for investors. Historically, market crashes often happen after rate cuts, indicating potential risks ahead.
  2. There are concerns about high levels of leverage in the market, especially in options and cryptocurrency. This borrowing can make market movements more extreme and unpredictable.
  3. The current market euphoria might be misleading, as past patterns suggest a sudden downturn could come. It's important to be cautious and not ignore the reality of valuations and economic conditions.

Come Hell Or Hyperinflation

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 32 implied HN points • 08 Dec 24
💰 Finance Investing Market Trends Economic Analysis Financial Risks Stock Market
  1. The stock market currently seems to be very overvalued, which is raising concerns about its stability. Investors might want to be cautious as prices continue to rise unexpectedly.
  2. As we approach 2025, it's important for investors to reflect on their strategies and consider potential future risks. Making informed decisions now could be crucial.
  3. The ongoing growth in the market may lead to a situation where investors aren't truly aware of the risks involved. It's a good time to question whether the current trends are sustainable.
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