The hottest Stocks Substack posts right now

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Everyone's Talking About Lululemon ($LULU) Earnings. Nobody's Looking at This. | PULSE Framework

Behavioral Value Investor • 81 implied HN points • 24 Mar 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. Lululemon has consistently positive and rising economic profits and free cash flows, which points to a high-return, growing business.
  2. The company carries almost no net debt so financial leverage is low, though retail lease obligations should be reviewed as a form of off‑balance debt.
  3. Valuation appears attractive with a smoothed free cash flow yield near 7% and an EV cap rate around 10%, so the stock merits further research.

You Pick the Stock. I'll Run the Vitals.

Behavioral Value Investor • 104 implied HN points • 20 Mar 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. A new weekly video called Subscriber PULSE Check will screen three or four subscriber-submitted tickers each Friday, with the host opening the PULSE template on camera and walking through the analysis.
  2. PULSE is a quick triage tool that anchors on hard historical financials—like economic profits, underlying free cash flow, leverage, smoothed FCF yield, and EV cap rates—to decide if a stock deserves deeper research.
  3. Everyone can watch the episodes for free, but only paid subscribers can submit tickers (submissions stay in a queue if not picked), and the regular free Tuesday PULSE articles will continue.

The Bear Cave #311

The Bear Cave • 1352 implied HN points • 01 Feb 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. Multiple activist and short-seller reports allege accounting problems, sanction breaches, and misleading partnerships at a number of public companies, driving fresh scrutiny of firms like Ubiquiti, Richtech, and Carvana.
  2. There’s notable executive turnover, especially sudden CFO departures and terminations, which could point to governance or financial-control issues at affected companies.
  3. Regulators, the press, and research groups are increasingly calling out fraud, disclosure failures, and suspected pump-and-dump activity, underscoring heightened market and legal risks for investors.

Investing Update: Was That The Market Flush?

Spilled Coffee • 52 implied HN points • 21 Mar 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. Stocks fell for a fourth straight week, with the S&P 500 down 1.9% and the Nasdaq and Dow about 2.1%, marking the longest losing streak in over a year.
  2. Gold plunged 11.1% this week — its worst weekly drop since 1983 and on pace for its worst month since 2013 — showing that even traditional safe havens can get crushed.
  3. Crypto and commodities diverged: Bitcoin dropped 5.7% on the week and is nearly 20% down year‑to‑date, while oil remains the big winner, up more than 70% YTD.

Market Movers - 5 October 2024

The Wolf of Harcourt Street • 579 implied HN points • 05 Oct 24
đź’Ľ Business Stocks
  1. InPost launched a rewards program called InCoins, which allows users to earn coins for using their services. This strategy aims to make delivery more fun and encourage more people to use InPost.
  2. Sea Limited opened a new fulfilment center in Brazil to improve logistics for sellers. This move is expected to help local businesses grow and provide faster service to customers.
  3. Airbnb saw a big increase in bookings in Thailand, especially for group travel and long-term stays. This growth is due to better flight options and new visa policies that attract remote workers.
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Fringe Finance Stocks To Watch

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 3 implied HN points • 23 Mar 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. Collects proprietary stock ideas and shows the most recent stocks to watch along with past performance for selected picks.
  2. Features a yearly "Stocks I'm Watching" roundup that highlights specific picks and tracks how they performed across each year.
  3. The page is behind a paywall, so you need a paid subscription or to sign in to access the full content.

The Bear Cave #310

The Bear Cave • 1049 implied HN points • 25 Jan 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. Short-seller and activist reports are piling up, accusing companies of accounting problems, customer disputes, and regulatory compliance risks.
  2. Several high-level executives have recently resigned, suggesting growing management turnover and possible governance or performance issues at those firms.
  3. Regulatory and legal enforcement is active, with SEC and DOJ actions underscoring increased legal risk for public companies.

I Don’t Know (And Neither Does Warren Buffett)

Spilled Coffee • 52 implied HN points • 18 Mar 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. Nobody truly knows what the market will do; even famous investors and big firms are just making educated guesses.
  2. Better investors succeed through a rigorous process — disciplined research, solid risk controls, and the honesty to admit and cut losses when they’re wrong.
  3. Accept that investing is probabilistic: don’t trust confident guarantees, do your own homework, and focus on managing downside while letting winners run.

The Bear Cave #312

The Bear Cave • 466 implied HN points • 08 Feb 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. Activist and short-seller reports are increasingly targeting public companies, alleging overstated assets, insider enrichment, sham contracts, and hidden credit or revenue risks.
  2. A notable string of abrupt CFO and CEO departures across big firms points to rising management turnover and potential governance or operational problems.
  3. Markets and investors are increasingly worried about AI disruption hitting data, legal, finance, and outsourcing businesses, triggering stock selloffs and talk of shorting vulnerable incumbents.

10-Minute Investment Autopsy No. 6: Amazon.com

Behavioral Value Investor • 59 implied HN points • 12 Mar 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. What looked expensive by traditional valuation metrics in 2012 ended up being the cheapest thing to buy over the next decade because growth and reinvestment paid off.
  2. Amazon’s durable advantages — better price, selection, convenience, personalization, habit formation, higher inventory turnover, plus AWS — strengthened over time and drove widening economics.
  3. Those advantages translated into real results: roughly 24% sales CAGR and 32% EBIT CAGR from 2012–2022, and about 25% annual stock returns through 2026, well ahead of the S&P 500.

Hovnanian 1Q 2026 Earnings

Erdmann Housing Tracker • 168 implied HN points • 26 Feb 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. There are speculative signs that the housing market may be turning.
  2. Hovnanian's 1Q 2026 earnings report is being used to test those speculations about a market turn.
  3. Full analysis of the results is behind a subscription/paywall, though a limited free preview is available.

Top Links 983 Yo-yoing defense stocks. ICE in decline. Tar wars, monsters and boogeymen.

Chartbook • 629 implied HN points • 15 Jan 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. Defense stocks are described as yo-yoing, signaling high volatility and frequent swings in that sector.
  2. ICE is said to be in decline, and the piece also highlights tariff wars along with themes called monsters and boogeymen.
  3. The post is a curated newsletter of links and images that credits artwork, and it offers a free post plus a paid subscription option.

The Bear Cave #307

The Bear Cave • 489 implied HN points • 04 Jan 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. New Era Energy & Digital faces a New Mexico lawsuit that could block its data-center plans, and there are allegations the company used paid stock promotion.
  2. Thirteen deep-dive investigations published in 2025 underperformed the market on average, falling about 8.5% from publication while the S&P 500 rose about 9.9%.
  3. Several CEOs and senior executives recently resigned or were terminated, and multiple companies disclosed paid stock-promotion campaigns, highlighting governance and market-risk concerns among smaller public firms.

War Expands, Markets Fragile: Latest Portfolio Update Heading Into Monday

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 34 implied HN points • 08 Mar 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. The conflict has expanded into a multi-front regional war with strikes on Iran’s infrastructure, attacks across the Gulf, and Hezbollah involvement, increasing the risk of a larger, prolonged confrontation.
  2. Iran’s leadership appears to be shifting after the reported killing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, with his son Mojtaba reportedly poised to succeed and hardliners likely to retain control, creating major political uncertainty.
  3. A focused 26-stock portfolio is still outperforming the S&P 500 by roughly 5% year-to-date, but markets are on edge and investors should expect heightened volatility and sector-specific risks.

Investing Update: Why All Eyes Are On Oil

Spilled Coffee • 40 implied HN points • 07 Mar 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. The market weakened last week with major indexes down and the S&P 500 slipping into negative territory for the year after several consecutive losing weeks.
  2. Oil surged dramatically—pushing energy to be the only sector in the green and the clear top performer year-to-date.
  3. The S&P has traded in an unusually tight range so far, but underlying sector rotation, historical mid‑March seasonality, and fresh jobs concerns increase the odds of a bigger move soon.

Problems at Aduro Clean Technologies (ADUR)

The Bear Cave • 233 implied HN points • 15 Jan 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. The company is an early-stage clean tech with very little revenue (around $200k) but sizable losses (about $11M) and a very small team.
  2. Management has spent heavily on paid marketing, investor relations, and sponsored social media campaigns, including cash fees and stock options to promoters.
  3. The stock’s big rally looks driven more by retail promotion and paid liquidity support than by clear business fundamentals, so investor enthusiasm may be premature.

If Financials Fall, Does the Bull Market Follow?

Spilled Coffee • 24 implied HN points • 11 Mar 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. The financial sector is now sending a clear warning that could precede a broader market pullback, and that signal feels important to watch.
  2. A technical breakdown first flagged on Feb 28 has continued to deteriorate, making the concern more urgent than before.
  3. The full, detailed analysis and updates are available only to paid subscribers, indicating deeper coverage behind a paywall.

đź’ĄLeaky Containerđź’Ą

PETITION • 2456 implied HN points • 28 Jan 24
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. The post discusses underperforming retailers like The Container Store Inc. ($TCS) specializing in storage solutions.
  2. The Container Store Inc. is known for its premium pricing compared to competitors for products like coat hangers and laundry baskets.
  3. The company's history involves acquisitions by PE firm Leonard Green and Partners LP and an IPO in 2013.

10-Minute Investment Autopsy No. 3: Nestlé

Behavioral Value Investor • 66 implied HN points • 19 Feb 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. A great, durable company isn't guaranteed to deliver high returns if you buy it at an only-average price.
  2. Actual EPS growth turned out far lower than expected — roughly 2–3% per year instead of the hoped-for high single digits — and that weak growth hurt performance.
  3. Small near-term underperformance can compound into a much larger long-term shortfall, so valuation and growth assumptions matter for long-horizon results.

The Market’s Favorite Exception

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 23 implied HN points • 05 Mar 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. Elon Musk’s personal fortune is larger than all the revenue Tesla has ever earned combined.
  2. Betting against Tesla has historically been a losing trade, with skeptics repeatedly proven wrong as the stock keeps climbing.
  3. Many smart investors have shorted Tesla with conviction and still watched it rise instead of fall.

Best Buys February 2024

Compounding Quality • 1867 implied HN points • 04 Feb 24
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. The post provides a list of favorite stocks for February 2024.
  2. Automatic Data Processing and Text SA are among the recommended stocks.
  3. The stocks are highlighted for their industry position, financial performance, undervaluation, and potential returns.

Why the low multiple series: Rental Car companies edition, part 1

Yet Another Value Blog • 2103 implied HN points • 10 Jan 24
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. The rental car companies Avis and Hertz are trading at extremely low multiples compared to their earnings.
  2. Investors have concerns about the sustainability of the earnings of rental car companies due to potential overearning from increased rental prices and undervaluation of depreciation from high used car prices.
  3. Despite the record earnings of rental car companies, there are serious bear cases to consider, such as inflated earnings potentially dropping significantly in the future.

đźš© 7 Reasons Not To Buy A Stock

How They Make Money • 1985 implied HN points • 09 Jan 24
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. The value of a stock lies in the underlying business's ability to generate profits over time.
  2. Most stocks underperform the index, so discerning smart investment choices is crucial.
  3. Avoid stocks with poor unit economics, as growth should not come at the cost of profitability.

Introducing the "Why the low multiple" series

Yet Another Value Blog • 1985 implied HN points • 08 Jan 24
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. Companies trading at low multiples may face market doubts about the sustainability of their earnings.
  2. Low multiples can present interesting opportunities if a company's earnings hold up longer than expected.
  3. Industries like tobacco and coal can trade at low multiples, but still create value before their 'inevitable' demise.

3 Stock Ideas from Guy Spier's Event

Compounding Quality • 1533 implied HN points • 11 Feb 24
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. Investing in yourself is always valuable and pays off in the long run
  2. The people you surround yourself with play a big role in your success and growth
  3. Learning from successful individuals who are humble and constantly seeking knowledge is key to personal and professional development

My favorite FAANG stock

Compounding Quality • 1690 implied HN points • 28 Jan 24
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. FAANG stocks (Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, Google) have shown impressive performance, but sustainability is a key consideration
  2. Facebook (Meta Platforms) has a massive user base, over 3.96 billion monthly active users
  3. Companies like Apple, Netflix, and Google have interesting founding stories and have evolved significantly over time

The Last Living Value Investor's Portfolio

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 21 implied HN points • 02 Mar 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. The market looks like a big bubble with stretched valuations that could snap back hard if conditions change. A fair-value PE near 17.6x implies roughly a 30% drop from current levels if earnings don’t rise.
  2. The portfolio stance is defensive and skeptical: largely on- and off-net short to protect against a bubble popping, though shorts can be temporarily covered for specific catalysts like geopolitical events.
  3. There are five deep-value long positions (two added recently), and three of those longs yield over 6% in dividends, reflecting a preference for high-yield, fundamentally cheap opportunities inside an overheated market.

Weekend thoughts follow up: $NYCB insider buying and mea culpa

Yet Another Value Blog • 1395 implied HN points • 10 Feb 24
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. The loan book for NYCB is in worse shape than expected, potentially facing huge losses due to rent-regulated properties and increasing expenses.
  2. Despite the challenges, NYCB has over $7 billion in tangible equity, which could help the bank navigate through the crisis.
  3. Insider buying at NYCB following a special update call shows confidence in the institution, highlighting efforts to stabilize the stock amid a tough situation.

đź‘‘ Everything you need to know about valuation

Compounding Quality • 2614 implied HN points • 23 Feb 23
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. In the short term, stock prices are driven by fluctuations in valuation, while in the long term, they follow the intrinsic value of a company.
  2. When investing, it's crucial to buy stocks at a discount to their true worth to avoid poor results.
  3. Consider factors like Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) and expected growth when evaluating the value of a company to make informed investment decisions.

Shit Is Getting Ugly In This One Sector I'd Avoid

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 33 implied HN points • 19 Feb 26
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. A specific market sector is beginning to show serious problems, and the early signs suggest the situation could worsen.
  2. One company’s recent troubles are exposing cracks that hint the sector’s foundation may be weak, which could spill over and hurt the broader market.
  3. This isn’t a brand-new concern—there have been repeated warnings for years that this sector could be a hidden time bomb.

Weekend thoughts: Buffett's Wells Fargo Opportunity Cost $WFC

Yet Another Value Blog • 1159 implied HN points • 27 Jan 24
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. The concept of an opportunity cost stock is important in investing for making trade offs and decisions.
  2. Buffett's choice of Wells Fargo as his opportunity cost stock highlights the importance of timeless industries and consistent returns.
  3. Flexibility and adaptability are crucial in managing opportunity cost stocks as circumstances and information change.

Problems at Pheton Holdings (PTHL)

The Bear Cave • 886 implied HN points • 29 Jul 25
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. Pheton Holdings' stock may be manipulated by overseas scammers. They spread false rumors about a potential acquisition to boost the stock price.
  2. These scams often lead to dramatic stock crashes, with some stocks dropping up to 90% after the rumors are proven false.
  3. Investors should be cautious and pay attention to warning signs, especially when it comes to unverified news about company acquisitions.

🏆 Cannibal stocks

Compounding Quality • 2024 implied HN points • 01 Jun 23
đź’° Finance Stocks
  1. Cannibal stocks are companies buying back their own shares, increasing your ownership without effort.
  2. Buybacks create value when a stock is undervalued, like investing in your own company.
  3. 15 high quality cannibal stocks have criteria like ROIC, profit margin, EPS growth, and decrease in shares outstanding.