The hottest Investing Strategies Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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benn.substack 639 implied HN points 27 Dec 24
  1. Data-driven companies get a lot of attention, but many people still prefer investing in companies led by experienced individuals. This shows that experience holds significant value in business decisions.
  2. People like to be seen as unique or contrarian, but they often know what others like. This means that even when choosing something different, they still have a sense of the mainstream.
  3. There’s a funny perspective on what robots are, with younger generations seeing different meanings in technology compared to older ones. What one generation sees as a robot, another might just see as a gadget.
The Generalist 620 implied HN points 26 Nov 24
  1. Mullet Capitalism is a new trend in venture capital where firms combine a traditional business with venture investments. This means they can use their existing business to identify promising startups and invest in them.
  2. Many emerging managers in the venture space are facing tough times, and Mullet Capitalism offers a fresh approach for them to adapt and thrive. It highlights the importance of blending stable income with the potential for high returns in investments.
  3. Examples of Mullet Capitalists include recruiting firms and media companies that also invest in startups. These firms leverage their industry connections and insights to make informed investment decisions while providing valuable services.
QTR’s Fringe Finance 32 implied HN points 19 Dec 24
  1. The market reacted sharply after the Federal Reserve cut rates, but this might not be a good sign for investors. Historically, market crashes often happen after rate cuts, indicating potential risks ahead.
  2. There are concerns about high levels of leverage in the market, especially in options and cryptocurrency. This borrowing can make market movements more extreme and unpredictable.
  3. The current market euphoria might be misleading, as past patterns suggest a sudden downturn could come. It's important to be cautious and not ignore the reality of valuations and economic conditions.
Clouded Judgement 5 implied HN points 16 May 25
  1. Net new ARR, which shows the growth in quarterly revenue from cloud software companies, has decreased in the latest reports. This is concerning since a drop can suggest financial struggles.
  2. Valuation for SaaS companies is often based on revenue multiples, giving a quick way to compare their worth. The current median multiple is 5.5x, but top companies can reach much higher valuations.
  3. Companies with higher growth rates tend to have larger valuation multiples. It's essential for investors to watch these trends to better understand the market landscape.
DeFi Education 519 implied HN points 26 Feb 23
  1. There was a market update with a recommendation to reduce risk for those who had invested heavily during the recent cycle. It seems ETH was trading around $1700.
  2. The post often shares insights on the DeFi market, indicating that it doesn't usually express an overall market view but does when it considers it important.
  3. The content is intended for paid subscribers, suggesting there might be more valuable insights available for those who choose to subscribe.
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Musings on Markets 0 implied HN points 07 Jun 09
  1. The efficient market hypothesis claims that markets are generally accurate in pricing assets, meaning it’s tough for investors to consistently beat the market. Some people believe this idea is not entirely true.
  2. There are criticisms of the notion that financial leaders fully trusted the efficient market hypothesis. Many academics recognized market inefficiencies long before the crisis and warned about issues like asset bubbles.
  3. The idea that the financial crisis is largely due to the efficient market theory overlooks other factors. Issues like poor regulations, the creation of complex financial products, and incentive structures also played significant roles.
Musings on Markets 0 implied HN points 21 Jun 13
  1. The Fed has a big influence on the stock market, but it's not as powerful as many investors think. Market reactions often come from what people believe the Fed will do with interest rates.
  2. Interest rates are determined not just by the Fed, but also by supply and demand in the economy. As the economy grows, interest rates tend to rise because of increased demand for capital.
  3. Investors need to be careful about how they assume the economy and interest rates will behave together. Scenarios where growth happens while keeping interest rates low may not be realistic.
Musings on Markets 0 implied HN points 15 Jul 15
  1. Countries have different levels of risk based on their political, economic, and legal situations. For example, emerging economies are often more unstable than developed ones.
  2. Economic concentration can make a country more vulnerable. If a nation relies heavily on one industry or commodity, it faces greater risks than those with a diverse economy.
  3. Political events can greatly affect business risks. Factors like corruption, political violence, and the legal system are crucial to consider when investing in different countries.
Musings on Markets 0 implied HN points 16 Mar 20
  1. Price and value are different concepts. Price is what you pay in the market, while value is what a stock is really worth based on its cash flow and risk.
  2. During market chaos, prices can swing wildly based on mood and speculation. This means prices might not reflect true value for a long time.
  3. Investors need to figure out their approach based on their belief in value, their cash situation, and where they think they have an advantage in the market.