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The MacroTourist, authored by Kevin Muir, is an almost daily newsletter focusing on financial markets, providing insights into market dynamics, Federal Reserve policies, equity and bond markets, and specific investment opportunities such as crude oil and Japanese stock index forwards. It includes weekly wrap-ups and exclusive content for paid subscribers.

Financial Markets Federal Reserve Policies Equity and Bond Markets Investment Opportunities Market Forecasts Economic Analysis

The hottest Substack posts of The MacroTourist

And their main takeaways

CRUDE OIL'S RISK REWARD IS SKEWED TO THE UPSIDE

569 implied HN points • 26 Jan 24

💰 Finance Investing

The author is bullish on crude oil due to optimism about the global economy.
The author mentions being Canadian and naturally inclined to invest in energy resources.
The post discusses the skewed risk reward of investing in crude oil to the upside.

THE FED IS NOT CUTTING BECAUSE THE ECONOMY IS WEAK

491 implied HN points • 31 Jan 24

💰 Finance Economy Interest Rates Federal Reserve Policy Prediction

Fed is not cutting interest rates because the economy is weak
Fed tends to cut rates late when the economy weakens, but not this time
Speculation about the Fed cutting rates remains uncertain

WEEKLY WRAP-UP (s2024 e6): Vol-control funds and CTAs sold stocks. A clue for timing a correction?

275 implied HN points • 10 Feb 24

💰 Finance Markets Investing Stocks

Volatility-control funds and CTAs sold stocks, hinting at a potential market correction.
Timing a correction can be inferred from the actions of specific investor groups.
Monitoring the behavior of different funds can provide insights into market movements.

DOES THE MARKET REALLY BELIEVE THE FED WILL CUT OVER 5 TIMES THIS YEAR?

550 implied HN points • 08 Jan 24

💰 Finance Economics Investing Markets Central Banks

The market may not believe the Fed will cut interest rates over 5 times this year.
The bond market experienced challenges in October, with yields spiking.
Jerome Powell must face tough situations as the head of the Federal Reserve.

CHEAP JAPANESE STOCK INDEX FORWARDS

412 implied HN points • 19 Jan 24

💰 Finance Stocks Investing Trading Indices Volatility

The author has a new favorite Japanese stock index position betting on Nikkei outperforming S&P 500 and getting long volatility.
The focus of the article is not on fundamental reasons for the position, but on a unique trading edge.
The content of the post is available only to paid subscribers.

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SCARCE TO ABUNDANT RESERVES

432 implied HN points • 15 Jan 24

💰 Finance Federal Reserve Monetary System Interest Rates Banking Economics

In 2008, the Federal Reserve had a significant change with Congress allowing them to pay interest on reserves.
This change led to a shift from a monetary system of scarce reserves to abundant reserves.
It's important to consider this shift when analyzing the Federal Reserve and the yield curve for forecasting.

WEEKLY WRAP-UP (s2024 e5)

275 implied HN points • 05 Feb 24

💰 Finance Investing Markets Economy Analysis Updates

Weekly wrap-up for the week ending February 2nd, 2024.
Post is for paid subscribers only.
Opportunity to subscribe for more content.

WEEKLY WRAP-UP (s2024 e2)

334 implied HN points • 15 Jan 24

💰 Finance Investing Stock Market

The equities market saw an increase in prices driven by expanding P/E ratios.
This post is only accessible to paid subscribers.
The content includes a 'tourist chartbook' focusing on market trends.

WEEKLY WRAP-UP (s2024 e4)

196 implied HN points • 28 Jan 24

💰 Finance Investing Market Analysis Economics Financial News Stocks

The post is for paid subscribers only
The weekly wrap-up covers content for the week ending January 26th, 2024
The author is Kevin Muir, known as themacrotourist

WEEKLY WRAP-UP (s2024 e3)

157 implied HN points • 22 Jan 24

💰 Finance Investing Markets Analysis Economics

The post is a weekly wrap-up for a specific week in 2024
The content is available for paid subscribers only
Kevin Muir is the author of the post

WEEKLY WRAP-UP (s2024 e1)

196 implied HN points • 08 Jan 24

💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Earnings

The stock market was down this week.
Forward EPS is worth checking out.
This post is for paid subscribers only.

EQUITY RISK PREMIUM

452 implied HN points • 12 Oct 23

💰 Finance Investing

Recent rise in long-term yields has made bond term premiums more important to investors.
Equity risk premium is a topic that needs attention.
Investors are considering selling stocks and buying bonds.

M'tourist Private Feed Recap

58 implied HN points • 08 Feb 24

💰 Finance Investing

The post is for paid subscribers only.
It includes a recap of the M'tourist Private Feed for February 7th, 2024.
The content is shared on substack.com.

A WEEK WHEN LOTS CHANGED

687 implied HN points • 20 Mar 23

💰 Finance Market News Financial Institutions Mergers & Acquisitions

The past week has been significant in financial history with notable news over the weekend.
There was an acquisition involving Credit Suisse and UBS.
The post discusses various topics, starting with the recent takeover.

M'tourist Private Feed Recap

19 implied HN points • 07 Feb 24

💰 Finance

This post is for paid subscribers only
Kevin Muir runs The MacroTourist
The feed recap is dated February 6th, 2024

M'tourist Private Feed Recap

0 implied HN points • 09 Feb 24

💰 Finance Investing

The post is for paid subscribers only.
The content seems to be a recap or summary.
The author is Kevin Muir from The MacroTourist.