The hottest Trading Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top Finance Topics

Fighting The Fed

Points And Figures • 426 implied HN points • 27 Feb 24
💰 Finance Markets Investing Economics Trading Banking
  1. Interest rate futures, including SOFR and Fed Funds, are indicating market expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve by the end of the year.
  2. The author predicts that the Federal Reserve will not lower rates in 2024 due to concerns about inflation and unemployment.
  3. Considering predictions about the Fed and interest rates, strategies like buying real estate without waiting for lower rates, buying out-of-the-money puts, and playing butterfly spreads are suggested.
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wind and rain and sun and data

Dan Davies - "Back of Mind" • 334 implied HN points • 19 Jan 24
🕹 Technology Energy Data Trading Algorithms Regulation
  1. Supply and demand for electricity become more unpredictable with an increasing proportion of wind and solar energy
  2. The profit motive drives the application of information processing power and bandwidth to solve energy planning problems
  3. Market trading and the profit motive are ways to match the variety of the energy problem with the regulatory system

There are Complex-Number One-Norm Square-Root of Probability Amplitudes of 0.006 in Which Sam Bankman-Fried Is Happy

Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality • 676 implied HN points • 05 Oct 23
💰 Finance Investing Risk management Probability Psychology Trading
  1. Amplitudes in quantum-mechanical superposition relate to philosophy-of-probability vs. psychology.
  2. Understanding the Kelly Criterion for betting based on win-loss odds and maximizing returns.
  3. Traders use the Kelly Criterion for survival, making positive-value bets, and psychological factors.

chainEDGE 3.0 Is Live

Onchain Wizard's Cauldron • 137 implied HN points • 02 Feb 24
🕹 Technology Data Analysis Cryptocurrency Web Development User Interface Trading
  1. The chainEDGE 3.0 update brings significant improvements for users, including enhanced UI and filtering options.
  2. The new version features tools like auto-filtering of low liquidity tokens and detailed insights into smart money swaps.
  3. chainEDGE 3.0 offers optimized token and wallet pages, along with a Portfolio God dashboard for sorting and filtering smart money holdings.

Solana's Triangular Arbitrage Explored: A Case Study on Jito

Wisdom of DeFi by EigenPhi • 58 implied HN points • 26 Jan 24
💰 Finance Cryptocurrency Trading Blockchain DeFi
  1. On Solana blockchain, arbitrage transactions don't always rely on signals and bots execute transactions frequently
  2. Built-in computation might facilitate executing arbitrage in Solana
  3. Understanding intricacies of arbitrage on Solana can provide insights into the ecosystem and help in devising efficient trading strategies

This is Flow

Malt Liquidity • 17 implied HN points • 09 Jan 24
💰 Finance Investing Cryptocurrency Markets ETFs Trading
  1. Trading becoming majority-passive may disincentivize real trading based on information asymmetry
  2. Introduction of a BTC spot ETF may not benefit those seeking exposure to Bitcoin for actual trading
  3. Transition of crypto into traditional system through ETFs may contradict the original ethos of crypto being outside regulatory control

How I buy crypto at the best price

Steve Kirsch's newsletter • 4 implied HN points • 03 Mar 24
🔮 Crypto Investing Trading Blockchain Bitcoin
  1. The author shares a technique to buy and sell crypto on Coinbase with ease, which could be advantageous in the current market.
  2. With new money entering through Bitcoin ETFs, the price of Bitcoin is predicted to increase significantly.
  3. Paid subscribers will receive exclusive access to the author's method of buying crypto, potentially giving them an edge in trading.

Notes on Trading using Tom Dante's teachings.

Philoinvestor • 58 implied HN points • 26 May 23
💰 Finance Trading Strategies Psychology Mistakes Discipline
  1. You are the edge in trading, not the systems.
  2. Tom Dante created the Demon Finder tool to identify and clear trading mistakes.
  3. Common errors in trading include boredom, FOMO, fear, moving stops prematurely, biased thinking, and lack of discipline.
  4. Remember in trading: no free trades, don't rely solely on momentum, profitability in a niche is useless without patience.

Lawyers, Coins and Money

Malt Liquidity • 5 implied HN points • 12 Oct 23
💰 Finance Cryptocurrency Trading Legal Court Proceedings Fraud
  1. During the trial of Sam Bankman-Fried and Alameda Research, evidence pointed towards potential fraud and mismanagement of funds, shifting the focus from trading competence to potential fraudulent activities.
  2. The testimony of key witnesses, Gary Wang and Caroline Ellison, revealed damning details about the misuse of customer funds, false financial statements, and manipulation within the organization.
  3. The trial shed light on the complex dynamics involving a hypercompetent coder, a junior trader, and a manipulative leader, emphasizing the need for accountability and transparency in the financial sector.

Part 1: Deep dive writeup on Albemarle ($ALB)

Jonah’s Growth Stocks • 0 implied HN points • 12 Feb 23
💰 Finance Investment Stocks Trading Earnings Valuation
  1. Albemarle (ALB) is a company expected to show strong revenue and earnings growth due to the increasing demand for lithium from the EV industry.
  2. ALB is considered undervalued, trading at a low multiple of earnings despite the positive growth projections.
  3. Analysts are cautious about ALB's future performance, but if EV adoption remains strong, the stock could outperform.

The Case for Buying WTI Crude Oil Futures & Selling Crude Oil ETFs (USO) Cash Covered Puts

The Tweetsift Report • 0 implied HN points • 02 Mar 23
💰 Finance Investing Stocks Commodities Markets Trading
  1. The price of WTI Crude oil & USO tends to fluctuate throughout the year, being higher at year-end and more volatile in the first quarter.
  2. Global economic state, geopolitical events, and technological advancements impact oil demand and prices.
  3. Considering patterns in oil trading, historical data, and global economic growth can guide investment decisions in oil futures.