The hottest Voter trends Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top World Politics Topics

The Most Accurate Pollster of 2020 Releases Their Prediction!

COVID Reason • 713 implied HN points • 01 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Polling Elections Voter trends Political Analysis Demographics
  1. Atlas Intel was the most accurate pollster in the 2020 election, using a digital-first approach to track voter demographics effectively.
  2. In 2024, Trump is gaining more support among Hispanic and Black voters compared to 2020, showing a notable trend.
  3. Kamala Harris has solid support among Democrats but is struggling more with Independents compared to Biden in 2020.

Happenings in Pennsylvania! Latest Numbers and Trends

COVID Reason • 456 implied HN points • 22 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Voter trends Party Dynamics Polling Campaigns
  1. Voter registrations in Pennsylvania are changing, with more Democrats switching to the Republican Party. This shift can impact the elections in a big way.
  2. Early voting trends show that Republicans have greatly increased their early turnout compared to previous elections, while Democrats' early voting is down. This could change who wins in the state.
  3. Polls indicate a tight race for the 2024 election in Pennsylvania, with both parties needing to work hard to win over voters as Election Day gets closer.

Mid-day reading: Harris’s Campaign, Voter Trends, and 2024 Stakes

COVID Reason • 337 implied HN points • 18 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Campaigns Voter trends Political Analysis Media Coverage
  1. Kamala Harris needs to create a strong, positive message if she wants to win against Trump. She should focus on being a visionary leader rather than just bringing up past issues.
  2. Harris is facing challenges connecting with important voter groups, especially Black men and Latino men. How she addresses these voters could really impact her campaign.
  3. The outcome of this election is crucial not just for Harris, but also for the Obama-Biden legacy. A loss could change the Democratic Party's future and influence.

The Death of Twitter and Generalized Identity

The Discourse Lounge • 797 implied HN points • 30 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Social media Political Discourse Identity politics Cultural Shifts Voter trends
  1. Twitter is losing its importance and is now filled with misleading content and bots. Many users have moved to other platforms that promote better quality discussions.
  2. While Twitter helped popularize many leftist ideas, it also made some views seem more common than they actually were among broader communities. Not all ideas on Twitter reflect the majority opinion.
  3. The way media and politicians used Twitter as a guide for understanding diverse communities can be misleading. Terms like BIPOC gained traction on Twitter but don’t always resonate with how people identify in real life.

A shocking Iowa poll means somebody is going to be wrong

Silver Bulletin • 1606 implied HN points • 03 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polling Political Analysis Voter trends
  1. A new poll in Iowa shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump, which is surprising given recent trends favoring Trump. This could mean a shift in political dynamics in the state.
  2. Pollster Ann Selzer is known for her accurate predictions, but this bold claim may not hold up given the statistical uncertainties involved. The margin of error could sway the actual results significantly.
  3. Different polls are showing varying results, which highlights the uncertainty and complexity of polling in elections. Some polls are seen as more reliable than others, making it hard to know which to trust.
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How Young Canadians Lost Faith in Justin Trudeau

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 751 implied HN points • 04 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Parties Voter trends Public Opinion Economic Policy
  1. Young Canadians are feeling financial stress, even with good jobs, due to high costs of living and taxes. They're finding it harder to buy homes and plan for the future.
  2. There's a noticeable shift in young voters moving away from Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party towards the Conservative Party. Many feel that their economic worries aren't being addressed.
  3. Issues like high housing costs and inflation are making young people rethink their political loyalties. They are prioritizing financial stability over previously supported values.

The 2028 Election

In My Tribe • 349 implied HN points • 20 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political strategy Voter trends Party Dynamics Social Issues
  1. Voters often select candidates based on what they dislike instead of what they like. This can lead to politicians misunderstanding the actual public sentiment.
  2. Democrats are facing challenges attracting diverse groups who are increasingly open to Republican ideas. They need to engage these groups as equals rather than treating them as inexperienced.
  3. The future political landscape will depend on people's economic feelings and the dynamics between masculine and feminine approaches in society. Both of these factors could shape the 2028 election.

Bad Hombres

KERFUFFLE • 77 implied HN points • 12 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political parties Voter trends Border issues
  1. A mostly Latino county in South Texas just voted for a Republican president for the first time in 130 years. This change shows a big shift in political views in that area.
  2. The recent election results and conversations with local voters reveal ongoing changes in political allegiance among Latino communities. Many are moving away from the Democratic Party towards the GOP.
  3. The writer plans to explore these political changes further over the next few years, indicating that this trend might continue.

A guide to Greece’s election (May 2023)

The Greek Analyst • 439 implied HN points • 27 Apr 23
🌍 World Politics Political landscape Party Dynamics Voter trends
  1. Greece's election in May 2023 is shaping up to be a tight race between the ruling New Democracy party and the radical left-wing opposition party Syriza.
  2. The election is under a proportional representation system, making it difficult for a single party to secure a majority.
  3. Key players include not only the main parties but also smaller ones like KKE, Greek Solution, MeRA25, and others at the political periphery.

Lessons from Kamalageddon

Taipology • 63 implied HN points • 07 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Candidates Campaigns Parties Voter trends
  1. Candidates should focus on being genuinely talented rather than just fitting a diversity quota. Strong candidates tend to perform better in elections.
  2. Engaging with potential allies is crucial. Democrats should reach out to those who can help, instead of pushing them away over strict political stances.
  3. In today's media world, being authentic and relatable is more important than traditional campaign methods. New approaches are needed to connect with voters.

Mid-termination

Diane Francis • 419 implied HN points • 10 Nov 22
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Candidates Parties Voter trends Political strategy
  1. The mid-term election showed that many voters are tired of both Trump's style and extreme progressive policies. This suggests a demand for more moderate candidates in the future.
  2. Governor DeSantis from Florida is emerging as a strong Republican contender for the presidency, while Governor Newsom from California is positioning himself as a potential leader for the Democrats if Biden steps down.
  3. Younger voters, particularly from Generation Z, are starting to make their voices heard, and issues like abortion rights remain very important to many people, influencing election outcomes significantly.