Spilled Coffee • 28 implied HN points • 21 Feb 26
- US stocks rallied last week — the S&P gained 1.1% and the Nasdaq 1.5%, with small caps (Russell 2000) leading the charge and now the clear YTD winner at +6.5%.
- A surprise Supreme Court decision struck down the tariff program and sparked buying, and markets held those gains even after a quick presidential response announcing a new 10% global tariff.
- Gold jumped sharply and is up 17.4% YTD, showing many investors are still hedging against uncertainty rather than fully committing to the equity rally.