The hottest Stock Performance Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top Finance Topics

Market Multiples and the Magnificent Seven

The Informationist • 1002 implied HN points • 16 Jul 23
💰 Finance Stock Performance
  1. Equity basics involve understanding ownership in public companies through shares and their value
  2. Market multiples like PE ratios help gauge stock valuations based on earnings
  3. The 'Magnificent Seven' tech stocks have seen huge growth, but caution is advised as multiples expand and history shows similar patterns

Problems at 130 Long-Term Underperformers

The Bear Cave • 419 implied HN points • 03 Jul 25
💰 Finance Stock Performance
  1. The report lists 130 companies that have performed poorly over the long term. They looked at companies in the S&P 1500 that have not seen their revenues grow.
  2. Experts reviewed many sources to understand why these companies are struggling. They checked employee reviews and press coverage about the companies' management.
  3. This analysis is useful for short-sellers who want to know why these companies might keep failing in the future. It's a great read if you're looking for investment insights.

Daily Chatbook #207

Daily Chartbook • 1467 implied HN points • 31 May 23
💰 Finance Stock Performance
  1. Case-Shiller Home Prices for March showed a slight decline year-over-year but beat estimates.
  2. FHFA House Prices in March saw a monthly increase exceeding expectations for three consecutive months.
  3. Debt ceiling deal reached only addresses a portion of the projected budget deficits over the next decade.

Investing Update: A Rotation Is Underway

Spilled Coffee • 68 implied HN points • 08 Feb 25
💰 Finance Stock Performance
  1. All major stock indexes ended the week down, showing a shift in market sentiment. This can indicate a possible change in the current bull market.
  2. Despite the recent downturn, some key stocks like Nvidia are bouncing back, and the overall market remains strong as the S&P 500 is near its all-time high.
  3. Historically, February is known for being a tough month for stock performance, especially after Valentine’s Day, which could be a concern for investors.

Investing Update: Insiders & Hedge Funds Bearish?

Spilled Coffee • 48 implied HN points • 01 Feb 25
💰 Finance Stock Performance
  1. January showed positive trends for the Dow, indicating a potentially good year for the market. The Dow was up 4.7%, a promising start compared to the other indexes.
  2. Many S&P 500 stocks are reaching new highs, suggesting a strong market performance. This is the highest level since last November, which could be a positive sign.
  3. Investors are shifting money into U.S. equities, with noticeable inflows in financials and consumer cyclical sectors. This trend indicates growing confidence in these areas.
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The Aftermath

The Last Bear Standing • 22 implied HN points • 08 Nov 24
💰 Finance Stock Performance
  1. After the election, the stock market jumped a lot, especially small and tech stocks, showing a positive reaction to the new leadership.
  2. Different companies reacted in various ways; some like energy stocks did well due to traditional support while others, like solar, saw drops.
  3. Concerns about tariffs and manufacturing shifts are growing, with many companies considering moving production out of China to avoid potential issues.

Oxford JPM Market Breakdown

ASeq Newsletter • 14 implied HN points • 14 Jan 25
💰 Finance Stock Performance
  1. Oxford's market mostly focuses on research, making up over 80% of their business. This is different from Illumina, which has a bit more than 50% of its work in clinical areas.
  2. There seems to be some confusion about how much applied research is included, as it may come from a service provider.
  3. The information comes from a presentation at the JPM conference, which is aimed at understanding the different market sectors for these companies.

Factor anomalies 1900 to 1925

Klement on Investing • 2 implied HN points • 15 Jul 25
💰 Finance Stock Performance
  1. Momentum investing worked well even before 1926, showing that it has been a reliable strategy for a long time.
  2. Small-cap stocks performed better than large-cap stocks in some markets, but results varied and were not consistent everywhere.
  3. Low volatility stocks generally outperformed high volatility stocks, but the evidence for this was mixed across different markets.

Clouded Judgement 3.8.24

Clouded Judgement • 6 implied HN points • 08 Mar 24
💰 Finance Stock Performance
  1. Some 2024 company guides are below consensus, possibly indicating a conservative approach to set achievable targets.
  2. SaaS businesses value is often based on revenue multiples, considering future growth potential.
  3. Analyzing EV/NTM Rev Multiple versus NTM Rev Growth can show how cheap/expensive a stock is relative to growth expectations.

IPO Lessons for Public Market Investors

Musings on Markets • 19 implied HN points • 11 Oct 19
💰 Finance Stock Performance
  1. IPOs are more about pricing than true value. Investors often focus on trends and momentum rather than the real financial health of the company.
  2. Estimating how much to pay for a new public company can be tricky. Many lack a solid peer comparison and only have past funding rounds to guide them.
  3. Many young companies have unstable share counts, which can lead to major miscalculations in their market value. Always double-check the number of shares when valuing an IPO.

The year in review: Apple's universe?

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 28 Dec 12
💼 Business Stock Performance
  1. Apple had an exciting year in 2012, becoming a major focus in both finance and culture. Their products and earnings announcements attracted a lot of attention, almost like celebrity news.
  2. Debates about how Apple should manage its enormous cash reserves heated up, leading to decisions around dividends and stock buybacks. Ultimately, Apple returned cash to shareholders but less than some expected.
  3. Investors in Apple need to watch for changes in stock price and understand that different groups of shareholders may have conflicting expectations. It's important to focus on Apple's overall value, rather than get distracted by small details.

January 2016 Data Update 8: Pricing, with an end of month update

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 01 Feb 16
💰 Finance Stock Performance
  1. Global stock markets lost over $5 trillion in January 2016, mainly influenced by drops in China and falling oil prices. This marked an overall decline of about 8.42% in market value.
  2. The equity risk premium in the US was noted to be high during January, indicating increased market risk. This was driven by factors like high cash returns that exceeded earnings.
  3. Market impacts varied significantly by region and sector. China was hit hardest, while sectors like utilities and tobacco fared better compared to others like biotech and electronics.