The hottest Trading Strategies Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top Crypto Topics

Investment heuristics cage match

Klement on Investing • 2 implied HN points • 25 Jun 25
💰 Finance Investing Behavioral Finance Market Analysis Trading Strategies Heuristics
  1. Many investors, both retail and institutional, often rely on simple rules of thumb to make investment decisions. While some of these rules can be useful, others are not effective at all.
  2. Retail investors tend to use a variety of heuristics more frequently than chance, especially those influenced by social factors like peer behavior. This includes strategies like buying stocks from industries where they've previously profited.
  3. Institutional investors, on the other hand, use heuristics less often, but still show a reliance on social influences. Interestingly, their use of heuristics generally leads to better outcomes compared to retail investors.

Market Flow “Starting To Show Cracks”: Sang Lucci

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 13 implied HN points • 24 Feb 25
💰 Finance Market Analysis Trading Strategies Investment Risk Options trading
  1. The market is facing a critical moment, showing signs of weakness in its flow. It's important to pay attention to these signs.
  2. For a long time, the same few popular stocks have been the focus, but there's less new money coming in from big investors. This could be a problem for future growth.
  3. Retail traders have been the main buyers lately, but if their buying decreases, there could be trouble ahead for the market that relies on their activity.

Quant Letter: June 2025, Week-3

The Parlour • 21 implied HN points • 19 Jun 25
💰 Finance Quantitative Investing Market Analysis Risk management Trading Strategies
  1. A new forecasting method called Bayesian VAR can predict complex time series data accurately by handling multiple variables and irregular data.
  2. Research on electricity markets reveals how hedging can be connected to market power abuse, which helps understand the economic behaviors in these markets.
  3. Recent studies show how machine learning and quantum methods are being applied to optimize trading strategies and predict market fluctuations.

Bullish or Bearish? Market Update

DeFi Education • 939 implied HN points • 05 Jul 24
🔮 Crypto Market Analysis Trading Strategies Asset management
  1. The current market has low liquidity, which makes it risky for traders with leveraged positions. This can lead to a lot of liquidations when prices change suddenly.
  2. Recently, there was a massive amount of crypto liquidations on July 4th, the largest since the FTX incident. This shows how volatile the market can be.
  3. The post offers a market update and a detailed overview of specific sectors for subscribers. It's designed to help them understand current trends and make informed decisions.

3 Quick Notes Of Perspective On The Market This Week

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 14 implied HN points • 10 Feb 25
💰 Finance Market Trends Trading Strategies Investment Advice Stock Analysis
  1. The market is behaving unevenly, with different sectors experiencing ups and downs instead of a unified trend. This makes it hard to find clear trading opportunities.
  2. Some big tech stocks, like Microsoft and Tesla, are not performing well right now while others like Apple are doing better. This inconsistency can confuse traders.
  3. It's important to remember that trading carries risks and to get advice from a financial advisor before making any decisions. The opinions shared do not count as professional trading advice.
Get a weekly roundup of the best Substack posts, by hacker news affinity:

Ethena: Fundamentally Flawed?

DeFi Education • 819 implied HN points • 21 Feb 24
🔮 Crypto Decentralized Finance Stablecoins Ethereum Trading Strategies Risk management
  1. Ethena aims to provide attractive yields through a unique trading strategy that combines staking ETH and selling futures contracts. This could help users earn money while managing risk.
  2. There are concerns about Ethena's design, including the fact that it relies on staked ETH, which carries more risks. If things go wrong, users might face significant losses.
  3. While Ethena might seem like a good option now, it's important for investors to be cautious and understand the risks involved, as past attempts in this area have often failed.

Crypto Market Update

DeFi Education • 999 implied HN points • 09 Nov 23
🔮 Crypto Market Trends Investments NFTs Regulation Trading Strategies
  1. Bitcoin's price might not go up much more right now, so some investors are selling it and looking for better opportunities in other assets like Ethereum or NFTs.
  2. Coinbase stock has grown significantly recently, showing that investing in established crypto companies can be a good strategy for long-term growth.
  3. NFTs are getting more attention again, with recent high-profile sales indicating a possible resurgence in the market.

Market Right Now Is "A Story Of Contrasts"

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 13 implied HN points • 20 Jan 25
💰 Finance Market Analysis Trading Strategies Investment Advice Economic Trends Risk management
  1. The current market is unpredictable and may not be the best time to make forced trades.
  2. It's important to watch for short-term price jumps created by sentiment changes and market positioning.
  3. Relying on experienced traders for insights can be helpful, but always consult a financial advisor before making decisions.

What is a Derivative?

Concepts of Finance 🧠 • 279 implied HN points • 11 Feb 24
💰 Finance Investing Risk management Market Analysis Financial Instruments Trading Strategies
  1. Derivatives are financial tools that get their value from something else, like stocks or commodities. They don't have value on their own; their worth depends on the performance of the underlying asset.
  2. Derivatives exist to help with risk management, leverage potential gains, and allow speculation on price movements. They can protect investments or amplify losses based on how they're used.
  3. There are different types of derivatives, including futures, options, and swaps. Each has its own way of working, but all can increase financial risk if not used carefully.

HFT Does Not Make Sense Anymore

Low Latency Trading Insights • 255 implied HN points • 29 Jan 24
💰 Finance Trading Strategies
  1. Early high-frequency trading (HFT) relied on low latency network technology for fast communication between nodes.
  2. HFT became popular during the subprime crisis of 2007-2008, but faced increased competition and regulatory challenges in the 2010s.
  3. The term HFT has evolved; it's now more about 'low-latency' trading and technology applications for better market execution.

This Ticker is the New Game

Malt Liquidity • 17 implied HN points • 14 Dec 24
💰 Finance Investing Market Trends Cryptocurrency Economic Policy Trading Strategies
  1. The value of things is often based on attention rather than real productivity. People might buy trendy items as a bet on their popularity instead of actual worth.
  2. Change can lead to uncertainty, and while it may feel uncomfortable, it can also create opportunities for innovation and improvement.
  3. Social media has shifted how people perceive discussions and opinions, sometimes prioritizing profit over rational thought and leading to unhealthy behaviors in society.

How to think about token prices, emissions, and liquidity

DeFi Education • 539 implied HN points • 30 Aug 22
🔮 Crypto Tokenomics Investing Market Analysis Decentralized Finance Trading Strategies
  1. Market cap is more important than token price. You should look at the total value of all tokens, not just how much one token costs.
  2. Keep track of token emissions and unlock schedules. Knowing when new tokens enter the market can help you predict price changes.
  3. High trading volume is vital for token participation. A token with low volume isn't worth your time because it can be hard to buy or sell without affecting the price.

Coinbase Earnings + How To Avoid Troubled Companies

DeFi Education • 459 implied HN points • 25 Aug 22
🔮 Crypto Blockchain Investing Market Analysis Trading Strategies
  1. Coinbase is considered a leading company in the crypto space but still faces challenges. It's important to stay updated on how larger market trends affect even strong companies like Coinbase.
  2. Investors should be aware of signs that companies might be struggling, especially in unpredictable markets like crypto. This can help them make better decisions about where to put their money.
  3. Keeping a close watch on public crypto companies is essential for making informed investment choices. Monitoring these companies can reveal important insights about the overall health of the crypto market.

Quant Letter: December 2024, Week-2

The Parlour • 0 implied HN points • 12 Dec 24
💰 Finance Investment Market Analysis Quantitative finance Trading Strategies Financial Technology
  1. Leveraged ETFs can be useful for long-term investment strategies when using advanced methods like neural networks. They might outperform regular benchmarks if used wisely.
  2. There is a new AI model designed for predicting market volatility, showing the growing role of technology in finance. This can help investors make better decisions.
  3. The importance of keeping up with the latest research and trends in finance is highlighted, as it can give investors a competitive edge. Staying informed is key to success.

Transactions Costs and Beating the Market

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 15 Feb 10
💰 Finance Investing Market Analysis Portfolio Management Behavioral Finance Transaction Costs Investing Market Analysis Behavioral Finance Portfolio Management Trading Strategies
  1. There are many ways to beat the market that sound good on paper, but very few fund managers actually succeed in doing it consistently in real life.
  2. One major reason for this failure is the impact of transaction costs, which include fees from buying and selling stocks and the difference between buying and selling prices.
  3. While the market has inefficiencies, it's difficult for investors to profit from them in practice, making real investment success much harder than it seems.

The Little Book of Valuation

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 03 May 11
💰 Finance Valuation Investment Investing Valuation Stocks Market Analysis Financial Education Stock Market Financial Analysis Trading Strategies
  1. Valuation can seem complicated, but it's actually quite simple. The goal is to empower investors to learn how to value different types of companies themselves.
  2. Understanding the key factors that drive a company's value is crucial. Identifying these value drivers helps investors create better investment strategies.
  3. The book is designed to be accessible and easy to read, focusing on practical tools rather than overwhelming details. It aims to make valuation understandable for all investors.

Introducing Exchange Flow Metrics

Coin Metrics' State of the Network • 0 implied HN points • 22 Oct 24
🔮 Crypto Data Analysis Market Trends Trading Strategies Investor behavior
  1. New metrics help track Bitcoin and Ethereum flows to and from exchanges. This data can show how much people are buying or selling and help understand the market.
  2. There has been an increase in miners sending Bitcoin to exchanges recently. This could be due to them wanting to secure profits before changes in Bitcoin rewards.
  3. Crypto.com is gaining a larger share of the Bitcoin market lately. By looking at trading volumes and flow data, we can tell if market activity is genuine or just fake trades.